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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    Curious if someone is hurt or if he's just been killing down in South Bend. If he's looking good out of the pen, swapping out Underwood and Winkler for him and Quintana does quite a bit for the bullpen. Also gives ~2 weeks to evaluate what else might be needed at the deadline.
  2. Bertz
    What Jeffress has done thus far has felt way too smoke-and-mirrors-y for my comfort level. That said, his velo had been 91-93, but tonight it jumped to be more 93-95. If he can get it back up one more tick, and be more 94-96, I'll be less skeptical of him if the results stay good.
  3. Bertz
    Might be about time for Dylan Cease to make the conversion to reliever (where I bet he'll be awesome)
  4. Bertz
    I said DH, 3 Batter Rule, and 28 Man rosters. - I prefer the NL rules within games because I like the strategy. Not the double switches and stuff, but more about the inning management from the pitcher's perspective and when/how to use the auto out. I also like rewarding the Zambranos, Greinkes, and Bumgarners of the world. That said, from a team-building perspective the DH opens up SO MANY possibilities that it ultimately wins me over - I've loved the idea of the 3 batter rule since I heard of it. I know it has a smaller effect than you would think, but reducing those patented Bruce Bochy innings does so much from a watchability standpoint - The 28 Man roster is great because teams have actual benches again, and the 3 Batter minimum has kept the reliever changes to a reasonable level. The only negative is that I think we need additional incentive to have starters go 6. Maybe keep bullpens to 8 guys even with the two extra spots? Get more restrictive with DL/Option rules? I'm fine with starters averaging 4.5 per start in this fake season but that's not okay long term
  5. Bertz
    People will also enjoy this bit. Sounds like Almora is probably on his last chance, and he's gonna have to prove it from the bench.
  6. Bertz
    This is quite the break
  7. Bertz
  8. Bertz
  9. Bertz
    I'm curious if the league is going to really commit to winning percentage determing playoff spots if there's a massive games played discrepancy. Like if the Cubs go 37-23 (.617), and the Cards go 25-15 (.625), are you *really* going to give the Cards the division?
  10. Bertz
    https://twitter.com/SomeonesAnIdiot/status/1291224885390434305?s=19
  11. Bertz
    A vague level of fastball command and some actual soft contact...still quite a bit further to go but that's some progress. Plus I believe that was the first swing at his curve all season.
  12. Bertz
    I wonder if that was it for Underwood. The curve ball that was getting pub in summer camp hasn't been there outside of one outing, and the fastball has taken a step back. Maybe bring Steele right back?
  13. Bertz
    If we had to lose I do like that it's like this. Chatwood didn't walk anyone, and the huge margin early means we can get all the bullpen dreck into this game to keep sorting through them. Good outings from any of Rea/Winkler/Tepera would be real clutch tonight. And obviously any sort of progress from Kimbrel would be huge.
  14. Bertz
    Love love love that even with all this traffic on the bases Chatwood kept throwing strikes. I think that convinces me most of these gains are real more than a couple of clean innings would have.
  15. Bertz
    Love the Morel quote too. 112 is some serious exit velo. Only 23 guys have done that even once this year. Pretty great for a guy who probably still has physical maturing left to do.
  16. Bertz
    About the same as their costs? You think the Cubs org had 0 costs between April and July? Mostly just non-uniformed staff, a piddling enough chunk of change that it's completely or at least mostly paid for by their revenue streams not directly tied to gamedays (e.g. Marquee's crappy non-game programming)
  17. Bertz
    What were ratings for April through mid-July? About the same as their costs?
  18. Bertz
    Remember this in January when they're crying poor
  19. Bertz
    This funk he's in is certainly just A, but I think B is a very real thing. Like I don't thinks he's bad now or anything, but unless you're talking about Trout you should generally assume your MVP candidate is going to be more of an All Star going forward. It's just so hard to stay at that top level for more than a season or two. I do think it's interesting no one is talking about his knee. That was a pretty gruesome injury less than a year ago, it's not unreasonable to think it is contributing.
  20. Bertz
    Fangraphs now has the Cubs at 95% to make the playoffs and 68% to win the division
  21. Bertz
  22. Bertz
    I believe the LT hit for this season is based on planned salary not the prorated amounts, so trading Q should be good enough to get them under. If I could have reasonable assurance that it would positively impact next season's payroll, I'd 100% do it. I'm kinda skeptical it matters though. Also, depending on how we're feeling about Hoerner at that point, I'd look to try to cash in Bote for his equivalent in the form of a pen arm. Someone young and still 4-5 years from FA.
  23. Bertz
    Yeah I don’t have faith they’d take on the money/risk he opts in and I think they’re gonna clearly go under the LT next year. So doubt it, but he’d be a great addition to this lineup. Hopefully Mills remains looking like an option for next year. They should have ~$25 mil to spend and stay under the LT to fill SP spots and any other holes/do extensions. Do they need to stay under the luxury tax next year to avoid bad penalties? I'd hate to think that the last year with all of Javy, Rizzo, Bryant and Schwarber would be a 'stay under the luxury tax' season, but then again who knows if all 4 will be here Opening Day 2021. Maybe if they get JD Martinez and he opts in they find a home for Schwarber or something. I think given the revenue hit this year, there's about a 0% chance they cross the LT line next year. Even if public data is off by a bit and they succeeded in resetting the tax this year, it just looks like way too convenient a line in the sand for that ghoul PTR to draw.
  24. Bertz
    This might be why no Almora against the lefty. Although it makes Schwarber in left instead of Bryant or Happ weird
  25. Bertz
    I think what to do with Chatwood really depends on how much money the team is willing to spend. Assuming they decline Lester's option, there's about 25-30 mil to the luxury tax line. That's probably enough to do something like resign Chatwood, sign a reliever, and trade for a starting pitcher in arb (e.g. Jon Gray). As things currently stand, that ought to be a solid offseason. But if PTR decides to PTR even more than anticipated, Chatwood is probably not an efficient use of resources.
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