Bertz
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Everything posted by Bertz
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Week 15: Green Bay @ Bears Sunday at noon on Fox
Bertz replied to jersey cubs fan's topic in Other Sports
Conversely, this means Bakhtiari is active, which I believe was in question earlier in the week. -
I think my no Harper offseason at this point would be: - Sign Tulo, catapult Russell out of town - Chatwood for Russell Martin - Sign Descalso for what Kinsler just got (2/8) - Grab Puig from the Dodgers - Use Almora and second tier prospects to bring in a high leverage reliever (lets say Kirby Yates) and dump Kintzler + Duensing. This is probably two separate deals That gives us: Zobrist KB Baez Rizzo Puig Schwarber Conteras Heyward BN: Descalso, Happ, Martin, Tulo, and sometimes Bote SP: Yu, Cole, Kyle, Lester, Q RP: Morrow, Yates, Strop, Carl, Cishek, Montgomery, and the Iowa Shuttle (which should actually be kinda fun this year) Payroll should be in the $235-240 range, so there's room to sign another reliever in February (or hold onto Duensing) and still have money for the trade deadline. And everyone besides Descalso and Yates is gone after this year, so next offseason there's a decent amount of financial flexibility next offseason. Roughly $50 or $60 million, depending on if we want to hold on to Morrow.
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Tulo costs the league minimum and lets us fire Russell into the sun. He would be a phenomenal signing. Other than being able to get rid of Russell there’s nothing good about this move. Tulo is washed up, but I guess he’s a name who use to be good so will get fans excited when we don’t spend on Bryce or anyone else good. Other than being able to get rid of cancer, there is nothing good about chemotherapy. Tulo still projects as an above average player. Bring him to camp, hope that a Zobrist type workload keeps him vaguely healthy, and if it fails go grab a more typical backup SS like Adeiny Hechavarria in June. There's literally no downside here.
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Tulo costs the league minimum and lets us fire Russell into the sun. He would be a phenomenal signing.
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If they think he's still a viable backup SS, I quite like this. If they don't, I'm not sure he's much better than La Stella, certainly not enough to justify the increase in cost given that we're allegedly out of money. Considering he hasn't played SS regularly since 2016, I doubt they view him as more than an emergency option there.
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Dombrowski mentioned adding an offseason deadline, and it's such a good idea I can't believe I've never heard it brought up before. It could probably only be a trade deadline, since there's almost no way you could do a FA deadline that didn't horsefeathers the players, but it would still help immensely.
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Ummm
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Jon Daniels is drunk
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I would not be too keen on moving Alzolay, because I think he can be a big part of the 2019-2020 Cubs, but I'm totally down for them using Amaya for this. He's a fun prospect but he's quite far away and also I tend to think a lot of TINSTAAP principles apply to catchers as well as pitchers.
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Dodgers are apparently shopping Puig hard. If Bryce is not happening I want him real bad.
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Not a ton beyond the benefits of winning. Most revenue from merch and other stuff like that goes into one big league-wide pot. Because the Cubs are actively negotiating a tv deal and Bryce is the only baseball player with a decent Q Score this situation might be an exception though.
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The next rumor he gets right will be his first. Is everyone excited for Greg Maddux pitching coach though? I'm really enjoying how much all this attention he's getting is getting under your skin
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[tweet] [/tweet] This is going to be a really good winter to build out a bullpen on the cheap
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Week 14: LA Rams at Bears Sunday Night on NBC
Bertz replied to jersey cubs fan's topic in Other Sports
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This is from Sharma's athletic article this morning, and reads like a mad libs of ways to make me hate this offseason
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2018-19 Other Team Offseason Transactions Not Worth a New Thread
Bertz replied to Cubswin11's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Wrong thread -
Week 14: LA Rams at Bears Sunday Night on NBC
Bertz replied to jersey cubs fan's topic in Other Sports
The Vikings are not going into Seattle and winning a game. Win one more game and it's over, and it would be soooooooo sweet if it came next week against the Packers. -
My mind went to Jed Lowrie or Brantley Gross, though admittedly a little less than my names. In my mind, if they can't get a star the plan should be to wait until February and grab the best guy left who will settle for a one year deal, probably someone like Kinsler or Dozier. I don't want to get locked into a 3-4 year deal for just a dude, some guy who we're all going to wish we can get off the books so we can go after Arenado or whoever next winter. Go big and bold or go austere and efficient, no half measures. The exception is someone who can backup shortstop. That lets us move on from Russell, so it's different.
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I don't like the sounds of "professional hitter." Especially when coming from a guy like Ralph, that evokes some half measure horsefeathers like Lemahieu or McCutchen. Hard pass.
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IF....the Cubs sign Harper - how in the hell do they re-sign Bryant? Between Harper and Heyride alone - thats projected to be $60M for 2 players for 2019-23. Craziness. Most of the pitching staff will be free agents after two more seasons, and most of the position players are in line to hit FA along with Bryant after three. If the farm has produced enough talent that the bones of a good team is still there heading into the '21-'22 offseason, there will be plenty of money to resign Bryant and probably Javy too. If the farm hasn't delivered by then, the team is going to be due for a fallow year or three regardless, so they probably let Bryant walk and save that money for when they are ramping back up again.
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if you wanna do wishful thinking, just pretend that we have the budget for harper and he wants to be here, but we're trying to move other pieces so we can sign both he and machado. harper wants to be here strongly enough that he's delaying his signing and the terms of his contract until we're further along with machado. If you replace Machado with Andrew Miller or Zach Britton, I think that's the optimistic but reasonable interpretation of what's going on right now. Like, we have enough money for Bryce, but because of Hamels there's no room for anything else. We desperately need to add another high end reliever and maybe something else on the position player side (like a backup catcher or hopefully a backup SS who's not a scumbag), and so they're trying really hard to move money in the trade market. The people that Mooney et all are talking to see how desperately they're trying to move money. and assume they don't already have the 30+ million lying around for Bryce. More realistically, they've got 15-20 million to play with and would need to move all of Chatwood just to get Bryce, to say nothing of bringing in another reliever and/or other stuff.
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And Cole! I like Cole and think he'll be solid but spending $20 million with this supposed tight budget doesn't seem like a great use of resources. And Kintzler. Cole and Kintzler are moves they made late enough in the game that if there were budget concerns they should have already been well aware of them. That's $25million, plus add in the 3-4 that Schwarber's going to get, and you've nearly paid for Bryce. If they don't even try to make a run at Harper, it's because they chose Schwarber, Hamels, and Kintzler over Harper and whatever pitching Schwarber would net in trade. We don't know exactly what Schwarber's value is but that seems foolish to me
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The long and short of it is that all of our beat writers except Sharma are morons, and Sharma's not a big time inside sources guy. If Passan/Rosenthal say something, give it some weight, otherwise it's either nonsense or coming from someone who puts out enough nonsense that you can't really say what's actually real.
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The Cards were always going to make a big move on offense. This sucks, though it fortunately sucks way less than them getting a comparable player in Donaldson for only money or them getting much better players in Harper/Machado. I expect them to end up with Kimbrel as well.
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They're totally going to spend $30m on Hamels, a reliever, and a backup catcher and then try and tell us with a straight face that they didn't have the money for Bryce, aren't they?