Bertz

this scares me. was it Watson who wanted to hitch his ride to Flores or was it mutual? I dont want another HC who wants nothing to to with our young, in-house QB Yeah, it seems pretty clear the Dolphins are trying to nuke his rep because of the reaction to their firing him. But some of this bad stuff the past ~week is pretty compelling and scary, so I'm definitely nervous if we go with him

I know organizations are complex and we can't just ascribe an org's actions to every employee, but I do not love the Titans as an org to poach from. They've done some savvy things the last few years, but seems like most of their success comes from playing in a dumpster fire of a division. And unlike, say, the Browns it doesn't seem to me like they've had a great process and just lost some key dice rolls.

Yeah it seems to be a consistent enough theme that they're clearly making a concerted effort. On top of that too I assume that Kelly, if he doesn't get a full GM job here or elsewhere, seems likely to be the #2 in the new FO.

Do not like

Dunno the specifics of this proposal, but MLB owners could very easily continue manipulating service time and just dispense bonus draft picks when those guys place highly in the Rookie of the Year voting, which many of those prospects would obviously do The tweet says they have to play a full year AND place highly in awards voting. If that's accurate, I think this is uncharacteristically helpful solution from the owners. Tying it to awards voting is dumb but using the carrot instead of the stick for service time is smart. Maybe instead use counting stat milestones (e.g. 20 Home runs)?

Curious how bad the owners' proposal was. If it's merely bad I think it's just negotiating, if it's awful they're clearly dug in.

I'd lean no? Regular season he's a clear "Hall of Very Good" type, but his postseason record is incredible. 154 innings of a 2.54 ERA is nuts, and IMO is going to make him a very hard case.

Do we think a Daboll + Fangio combo is doable? Those two and Kwesi at GM is probably my dream for the moment.

The results haven't been there obviously, but I think what Cleveland's done the last few years has been mostly good process. (This guy was not around for the scorched earth tanking prior to the Mayfield era I believe)

It's these sorts of unforced errors that are why he had to go. I think he's a really good scout but just way too much of this horsefeathering nonsense.

Brown's an interesting candidate, but I'm definitely LOLing at pretending like Quenton Nelson was a savvy pick. He was the best O-line prospect in like a decade.

I agree on Pace. I think he'll get a role as like an AGM or Scouting Director or something like that, and probably be pretty successful. Nagy though? I think he's gonna have to drop down to college, and not a good one. Most failed head coaches were highly thought of coordinators, and can just slide back into that role. But after the last 2-3 years, who in their right mind would give Nagy an OC job?

WOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!

Should I read anything into the Minnesota duo getting announced simultaneously and Nagy announced solo?

Night and day from this year. Barring some insanity this offseason that's an average at worst schedule. Based off of that schedule, put the O/U right now at 8.5. Yeah. So looking at this year's DVOA, assuming this week doesn't change results appreciably: - WAS, DET (X2), MIA, NYG, HOU, NYJ, ATL are all in the bottom 10 in the league - MIN (X2), PHI are in the 10-16 range, so on the good side of average - SF, GB (X2) are in 5-10 range - BUF, DAL, NE are all top 5 Packers, Vikings, and Dallas are in rough cap shape, and the Packers obviously have the Rodgers question. Like I could see Miami or San Fran improving substantially but collectively this already easy schedule has more downside than upside.

Night and day from this year. Barring some insanity this offseason that's an average at worst schedule.

For reference, Baseball Savant had Alex Reyes averaging 2811 rpms on his curve last year and said that was 88th percentile in MLB

They will not start the season on time. This isn't something that can be hammered out in a week due to both sides being so far apart unless one side capitulates. Honestly I think it absolutely can be hammered out in a week. Both sides have made all their asks, it's a matter of the owners beginning to actually negotiate. The owners want three things, the players want like a dozen. The owners are going to get all/most of their asks, so both sides just need to figure out which combo of player asks make that a "fair" trade. But right now the owners are doing essentially this move, hoping the players negotiate against themselves The question is when will one or both sides hit a sufficient level of urgency. We always knew that right now there'd be a lot of obstinacy. So where have the groups in private drawn their lines for where they'll cave? There are a couple of milestones that IMO mark the likely dates around where something will happen. - If the sides hammer out a deal by Feb 1, the 2022 season is like 99% normal. The second half of the offseason is crunched into two weeks, and some international players get to ST late, but it's a status quo season in terms of revenue. Despite the acrimony, this plus or minus a week is still probably the smart money. The owners are full of bluster but IMO won't stand for a third straight year or down revenue - If they don't reach a deal until closer to March 1st, we're looking at a borked ST, but the regular season is largely untouched. That ST revenue is material, but I don't believe it's huge. Up until this point I believe would only hurt the owners, players don't get paid for ST. But ehen you get past roughly March 1st you impact the regular season, and once that happens players are staring at lost paychecks. I tend to think if it gets here players will cave - April 1st is likely the date for things going nuclear. Most of the TV contracts stipulate that teams need to provide ~140+ games. Fall short of that and you start getting into catastrophic revenue issues for the owners, and players are staring at ~1/5th of their salary vanishing. I don't see why it would get here, but if it gets past here I imagine we're in it for the really long haul, and at best getting another weird bastardized 2020ish style season

I'd still be shocked if the season gets pushed back, but Spring Training sounds like it will definitely get crunched

Feels like trading Quinn would be a good litmus test for how progressive our (hopefully new) FO is? Everything except Quinn's sack number paints a picture of more of a good season than a great one. Selling high on what is likely an inflated sack total for a guy over 30 is probably the savvy play?