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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    I would love to have age overlaid on this somehow too, or maybe filter out guys more than one year older than each minor league level's respective median. My guess is that the more context you layer on the better the offensive side of this chart would look for the Cubs. Conversely if you weight performance by prospectiness the Cubs would start sliding more towards middle of the pack on the pitching end. Asked and received!
  2. Bertz
    I'm pretty sure over the last decade the worst CFer who averaged 20+ bombs annually and was actually a legitimate defender at the position is Randal Grichuk. He's been a slightly below average everyday player. Given that PCA's purported to be more like a +10 defender, the plate discipline is going to really need to become a problem as he moves up the ladder to not end up an everyday player.
  3. Bertz
  4. Bertz
    It's deep in the weeds stuff, but this is always very important for the Trade Deadline. Teams are more likely to give up better players than they otherwise would have if players are on or due to be put on the 40 man roster. Like last year the Cubs got more talent than expected for Rizzo and Bryant, but part of that is because the 2nd prospect in each deal was an A-baller already on the 40 man roster. The difference between this year and last year is that now the Cubs have their own 40 man crunch. So the team is probably much less likely to take back more Alexander Canario types this year. I'd imagine returns will be either non-40 players or 40-players who seem pretty certain to get MLB playing time in '23. I also wonder if we see a consolidation trade or two, either something really big (Contreras + Happ) or small (sending a fringe 40 man guy e.g. Anderson Espinoza back in a trade with an MLBer for a slightly better prospect return).
  5. Bertz
  6. Bertz
    FWIW Fields is at the top of Tier 4, which is basically all the unproven guys. He's behind Jones and Lawrence and ahead of Wilson and Lance.
  7. Bertz
    Ken Rosenthal had an article yesterday that said the Padres were the *heavy* favorites. On the Cards, not that it would make it okay but I would take a Soto deal as a sign that Arenado is opting his way out the door. I don't think they can actually make 3 guys combining for ~$90M work, especially when it costs most of their MLB young talent that could help defray those costs. So it would *really* suck, but I don't think we're staring down the barrel of another long term Pujols/Rolen/Edmonds triumvirate of pain.
  8. Bertz
  9. Bertz
    Assumed Paciolla was gonna take more
  10. Bertz
  11. Bertz
  12. Bertz
    Yeison Santana with a dong, I believe his first in full season ball for his career The South Bend box score is nearly as meh as it could possibly be for having 9 runs through 5 innings
  13. Bertz
    I would love to have age overlaid on this somehow too, or maybe filter out guys more than one year older than each minor league level's respective median. My guess is that the more context you layer on the better the offensive side of this chart would look for the Cubs. Conversely if you weight performance by prospectiness the Cubs would start sliding more towards middle of the pack on the pitching end.
  14. Bertz
  15. Bertz
  16. Bertz
    Sean Newcomb since coming off the IL (and I believe a trip to the pitch lab?): 15.1 IP, 6 H, 9 BB, 20 K, 1.76 ERA Control still a bit spotty, but really strong stuff. I don't have the exact numbers, but a lot more groundballs than he's gotten even at his best. I'd really consider putting him in the MLB rotation down the stretch. It's probably not going to go anywhere, but there's enough there to give it a shot and find out. Plus with the likely innings limitations on Steele and Thompson running a six man rotation the last two months probably isn't the worst idea.
  17. Bertz
    I swear I'm not just going to post Canario's updated line every night but he's now up to .241/.323/.530 at AA. Walk rate now over 10% to boot.
  18. Bertz
    Chris Martin has only pitched once in the last two weeks. Pretty weird. He pitched a ton the few weeks before that, I kind of wonder if he's hurt.
  19. Bertz
    Amaya killing it for the rest of the year at Tenn would make this offseason a lot easier
  20. Bertz
    Also Canario has another walk and another dong
  21. Bertz
    Oppo!
  22. Bertz
    Very fun night unfolding in South Bend so far - Luis Devers with 6 hitless innings, only 2 Ks if we're nitpicking - Caisse 3/3 with a dong - PCA 2/4 with a double and a dong - Pinango 1/3 with a double
  23. Bertz
    Good Kilian came out to play tonight
  24. Bertz
    My reaction to Jed somehow acquiring both James Wood and Luis Campusano
  25. Bertz
    He would get absolutely manhandled by Zach Wheeler tonight, and I don't think that helps anybody. Definitely start him every game against lefties, but I'm fine relegating him to bad righties until he shows he's ready for more.
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