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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    Looking at the best availables, there's a bunch of HSers who will likely require extra money as well as several fun college pitchers. I imagine Ferris will cost most of what the team saved with Horton, but we'll probably know pretty quickly this afternoon.
  2. Bertz
    Fangraphs gives Horton the same grade as Cristian Hernandez and gives Ferris the same grade as Wicks, Herz, and Kilian. It's not what I would have done with Lee on the board but they did fine value-wise. And then you add the context of the org feeling like they're one of the smart ones in terms of understanding pitching and you see where they're coming from.
  3. Bertz
    I believe Ferris is another guy that gives the pitch design folks a huge boner. The org clearly has a type now.
  4. Bertz
    As a reminder given both guys are still on the board, the Cubs have been tied to Prielipp a bunch of times (as an underslot at 7), and then a few days ago VERY explicitly to Whisenhunt at 47.
  5. Bertz
  6. Bertz
    The Cubs have $504K to play with from the 5% overage. If Horton gets paid at Pick #10 money, that'd save the Cubs another $727K. Combine the two, and that's enough to give their 2nd rounder equivalent to the 25th overall pick, or give their 11th rounder 2nd round money. At pick 12, they save $1.12M. That would allow them to give their 2nd rounder 22nd pick money, or their 11th rounder 45th pick money Pick 15, $1.62M, 2nd rounder = 17th pick, 11th rounder = 35th pick Pick 18, $2.05M, 2nd rounder = 14th pick, 11th rounder = 28th pick Pick 20, $2.30M, 2nd rounder = 13th pick, 11th rounder = 24th pick Obviously you can spread the money around to multiple picks, or go overslot at any other point, but figure the above is illustrative.
  7. Bertz
    He thought the Cubs might take him at 47. He's not getting slot
  8. Bertz
    Horton shouldn't be anywhere near slot, at least I'd hope. He's got another year of college eligibility left, so they don't have a lot of leverage. Sure they do. Let's say the Cubs want to save $1.5M. Horton needs to be a top 15 pick again next year to beat that. That's a ton of risk.
  9. Bertz
    Longenhagen says people think now that Collier might slide far enough to go to school. Wonder if the Cubs could pull together enough scratch to get him at 47
  10. Bertz
    https://twitter.com/Wolak22/status/1548820448862945280?t=cywxBq5fxVoUbICEHRlKyw&s=19 2490 would be 5th amongst qualified pitchers in fastball spin rate between Dylan Cease and Gerrit Cole, 2610 would be 8th between Jordan Lyles (??) And Gerrit Cole
  11. Bertz
    I don see the Horton move much different from if they had done Neto, but I have a really hard time justifying that with Parada and Lee on the board.
  12. Bertz
    Absolutely no excuse to go signability now. At least two of the top 7 now have to be available, so even if the Cubs don't like one or they have outrageous $ demands there's still another
  13. Bertz
  14. Bertz
    The expectation was 15ish so hold onto your butts
  15. Bertz
    Didn't know about this, the seed is strong with Holliday apparently
  16. Bertz
    Jones for sure goes 2 now, then probably Parada #3 and the Pirates are the next inflection point
  17. Bertz
    Eric Longenhagen says the scuttlebutt is Holliday at 1 but he's not confident enough yet to Woj it
  18. Bertz
    There's not really a right answer except Jones, and not coincidentally he's one of the two guys (with Holliday) who have no chance of being there for us. Who you want ultimately comes down to your thoughts on college vs. highschool and hit vs power. For me personally, it's something like: Jones Lee or Johnson Holliday, Green or Parada Collier or Neto way underslot Berry, Jung, or Neto closer to slot Guys on the same line I see as roughly even.
  19. Bertz
  20. Bertz
    Canario with a walk in his first PA, now has more walks than Ks here in July, and honestly has his numbers into the acceptable range for his AA stint overall
  21. Bertz
  22. Bertz
    Not going to do the exact math right now, but he's OPSing about 1.300 the last two weeks. Just prodigious, Soriano-esque hot streaks
  23. Bertz
    Not an arm injury thankfully, but not good
  24. Bertz
    Stroman's had two very strong outings since coming off the IL, great to see. His overall numbers actually look pretty in line with what you expect sanz the disaster against the Cards.
  25. Bertz
    I would normally say there's no way Soto is available right now. That is a franchise altering move and not the sort of thing you do while a team is being handed off to new ownership. But maybe that's exactly why he's available. If you're a new owner and see that dealing him is the right thing to do, forcing your predecessor to pull the trigger and take the PR hit makes a lot of sense? I also imagine any deal would involve taking either Corbin or Strasburg back?
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