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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    Sounds like the defense is playable but not great.
  2. Bertz
    Gonna be a dong party today
  3. Bertz
    Mervis is interesting because the data on him is essentially perfect. Seriously, if you plug his AAA peripherals into a FG leaderboard search from the last 15 years the names you get are all monsters with MVP caliber offense like Mark Teixiera, Jose Bautista, Edwin Encarnacion, and Jose Ramirez. But the scouts are more or less lukewarm on him. Feels like there's a floor of roughly Rowdy Tellez, but the ceiling is impossible to gauge.
  4. Bertz
    Oh this would be ideal. Even if he can only go 3-4 innings
  5. Bertz
    With the outage this didn't get posted yesterday as far as I can tell, but ZiPS now sees the division as a four-way heat. All the non-Reds are within two games of each other.
  6. Bertz
    Yeah if Bellinger's back to hitting like a 1st division starter at 1B, it's pretty easy to lock him up because he could always slide back into the infield in the event you have too many good outfielders. You're probably limiting yourself to only rostering one of Davis/Nelly/Canario and only one of Mervis/Caissie, but there's a great chance attrition will force that hand anyway.
  7. Bertz
    Honestly, I think Neidert getting the start would be a sign they're about to call up Mervis so I'd take it even though I agree in not liking him on the merits. Having Assad take the start on short rest seems like the most straightforward option though, assuming Gomes goes on the IL. Setting aside any 40 man gymnastics, 3ish innings of Assad and 3ish innings from Merryweather/Estrada is probably the most likely path to a W IMO.
  8. Bertz
    I've refrained from getting too excited about McGeary since it seemed like he was just way too advanced to be at SB, but if he keeps hitting at Tenn there's not a ton of reason to pump the brakes
  9. Bertz
    Yeah I think this is right. I'm fine with Hosmer on the roster, but give him the Rios PT and Mervis the Hosmer PT unless/until Mervis fails. I hope/assume this is going to happen soon. We just finished a run with a ton of lefty starters, hence the near-0 playing time for Rios. But that's done, so I'd think once they make a call on Gomes and figure out what they're doing for tomorrow's SP it should be Mervis time. I've been amongst the most understanding of the leash Hosmer has received but Mervis not being on the roster Friday will make even me pretty irate.
  10. Bertz
    Hey guess what, the next pick is also super fast
  11. Bertz
    Matt Miller at ESPN had Scott at #57, Dan Brugler at the Athletic had him at 48. Seems like pretty great value
  12. Bertz
    Burner WR Tyler Scott
  13. Bertz
    Yeah my ideal would be to grab a C in the pick coming up in a few minutes here and then do exactly this. Maybe add TE to the list too.
  14. Bertz
    Yeah Edge is actually the one place in FA with some talent left before cuts happen during camp. Clowney, Frank Clark, Justin Houston, Melvin Ingram, and old friend Leonard Floyd. All older at this point but you'd feel good about them for this season at least. Address edge in FA next week, add a plug and play C, the aforementioned Luke Wypler seems right up Poles' alley (see below), and you've got more or less a complete team.
  15. Bertz
  16. Bertz
    That sucks. Rucker was looking good for a bit last year and wilted when he started getting harder opportunities. He might just not have the stones. These are the things you've gotta find out early in the year.
  17. Bertz
    Whether or not it works, really like Ross giving Rucker this opportunity
  18. Bertz
    Both guys
  19. Bertz
    A little bit. Rosenthal had an article this AM and had some remarks from Hosmer about how he'd be cool sliding into the veteran mentor role after Mervis gets called up. Definitely feels like the conversations are happening.
  20. Bertz
    Luzardo is the goods, so tonight will be tough. I kind of love the lineup against lefties now though so hopefully they can still pull this out. Especially with Kilian going tomorrow.
  21. Bertz
    This seems right
  22. Bertz
    Among other notes, Sharma days there's optimism that Taillon only misses the minimum 15 days
  23. Bertz
    I don't know about criminal, but yeah if we take a skill guy I'd rather have Bijan.
  24. Bertz
    Worrying about Wisdom feels like finding a $20 bill in your coat pocket and being disappointed it's not a $50. If you told me coming into the season that we'd get '22 Wisdom’s bat and '21 Wisdom’s glove I'd have been ecstatic. The fact that his offense appears to be improved a little bit from last year too? He'll have some slumps but given the full picture take them and don't ask questions IMO. The pen is interesting, and almost the opposite of the last few years. I like every reliever we have down there except Boxberger (and I don't completely hate him). But Alzolay and Hughes are probably the only guys I trust in a tight and close game right this moment? Fulmer can get back there pretty quickly, but right now it's just two dudes and the last week has featured several tight games against good offenses. It's exposed the cracks in the unit. Ross is dipping his toe into the water of giving Rucker high leverage work, and I'd like to see that continue to escalate. And Merryweather and Estrada don't need to be relegated to pure mopup work either.
  25. Bertz
    Re: Caissies strikeouts, I think it's more of a deep counts issue than a swing and miss issue. Entering today, of the 229 qualified hitters at AA, he's 38th highest in terms of swing and miss, but he's also 24th highest in terms of pitches per plate appearance (4.45). He's still gotta clean up the contact for sure, but it's probably not as egregious a problem as his 50% K rate would tell you.
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