Bertz
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Everything posted by Bertz
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I wonder how much $$ you'd have to offer Mason Edwards to get him to slide down to 62...
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I consistently find myself liking what the Rockies are doing these days and I know they have a new FO but it still scares the horsefeathers out of me
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If he is it's only by a smidge. He was supposed to go in the 20's, maybe early 30's
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Do you not remember what Taillon was like in his 20's?
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I'm happy with this. Now give me Kaiden McCarthy and the younger Wiggins with our 2nd rounders kthxbye
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Longenhagen has us taking Townsend but hasn't confirmed
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Peterson and Flukey have no business getting to us and we should be doing backfilps if they do. I really really like Dietz too but that's less of a consensus choice. I'm also willing to stomach the health risk for Reddeman if the org is. We're at the point though where there's definitely going to be multiple SPs on the board I'd be happy with.
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Angels going prep right there is more surprising than Rose at 6 IMO
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So we're getting an arm at 23, or we're getting an underslot bat like Hughes to help pay for an extra 7 figure arm this evening Cool. Cool cool cool
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If all of these college bats that were supposed to go in the teens are coming off the board now it increases the odds there are fun college SPs there at 23....
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He said he was getting some dissent among his sources shortly after And holy hell 6 is way rich for Rose, and I like Rose
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Eric Longenhagen is currently Woj'ing picks and says Booth then Burress 6/7
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Jinx!
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I'm not watching Harold Reynolds, but there is about a 10,000% chance he compared Lackey to Charles Johnson I assume?
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Nah. 130 is when they switch over to Peacock for picks 11-40. Cubs will pick closer to 3 most likely
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1000% this. Especially with the Sox finally becoming as fun as they have
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Why yes I will take our 20 year old infielder with 70 grade raw power cutting his K rate by a third thank you so much
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Klaw Obviously no at 23 bu a name to stash for later
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FWIW if I were doing a farm ranking today it'd look something like this (not necessarily in order within tiers) Tier 1: Hartshorn, Rojas Tier 2: Wiggins, Conrad, Ayers Tier 3: Kepley, Sanders, Wing, Caple Tier 4: McGwire, Beck, Southisene, Cepeda, Reid Tier 5 would be where it really opens up and I don't feel like listing every name, but a combo of lower ceiling guys closer to the majors (Long, Triantos, Trice) and higher ceiling guys a million miles away (Lovich, Mule, the complex league guys, etc.) Our first rounder will almost certainly slot into that Tier 2, even if it's someone they underslot. From there, especially with the comp pick, they should end up with 5ish guys across Tiers 3&4, ideally three of each. Broadly IMO a 7 figure bonus and a draft ranking in the 50-100 range would be T3, a $500K+ bonus and a draft ranking in the 100-200 range would be a T4. We all have preferences in terms of demographics and player styles, but just broadly from a value standpoint this is what the expectation should be IMO. And with Kantrovitz's talk about just trying to add wins, I presume this is roughly how the team is thinking about it.
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On the one hand the big league team is good, the farm is in pretty good shape, catcher in particular is not a huge org worry in the short or long term, what better time to take a big swing for a potential super-duper star? On the other hand I thought Kantrovitz laid out a pretty compelling argument about banking some wins to allow yourself to load up on pitching. Feels like a guy whose hit tool is this problematic is not setting that floor? On yet another hand Mike Zunino had a deceptively good career and that feels like a very attainable bar to clear....so maybe he is high floor?
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2026 MLB Draft
Bertz replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Longenhagen has you covered -
Minor League Discussion & Boxes, 7-10-26
Bertz replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
I think that 1st simply gassed him. He was 96.6 in the 1st and hovering just over 95 in the 2nd and 3rd. I would expect it to take another couple starts before he's back at something resembling full strength.
