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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Brandon Birdsell sitting 95-96 in the first inning including a 97.2 at one point
  2. While this conversation shows they're not treating the LT as a hard line, if we do treat it as one just for the sake of having a firm number to work towards there is $45M to spend this offseason if Bellinger opts in and $70M if he opts out. That accounts for arbitration salaries, player benefits, etc.
  3. I wonder what it costs to hang onto Lopez for next year. He's been legitimately great since he came over, and lately he's actually been doing it in leverage time. If he costs ~$5M and is the "other" FA reliever added I think I'd be pretty down.
  4. I'm not much of a traditionalist, but I'm very much of the mind that baseball loses something when the starting pitcher isn't the main protagonist of the day. There's some non soft factors too like the impacts on strikeouts and injury rates.
  5. Yeah I think this is the way. Make 6 innings not a mandate but a threshold that you're rewarded for crossing. If your starter fails to make it six, you lose the DH and the first guy out of the pen must be a long reliever. It feels like that has some real teeth but doesn't introduce any icky safety concerns. If you want to employ an opener? That's fine but you need to weigh that cost against playing NL Baseball for a day. Want to rotation some inefficient 4 IP/start guy? Cool but you need to plan for a consistent piggyback. It is a shame that there are not good short term rewards that could be implemented. I feel like anything they did wouldn feel too video-gamey.
  6. I don't broadly have a problem with MLB's various deals with the streaming companies but making a Friday 120 game an Apple exclusive is pretty messed up
  7. I don't have a ton of confidence Kilian will stick as a SP but yeah this is where I'm at. Maybe we start by having him piggyback a time or three and see how that goes, but he should be up and Hendricks should be the guy losing innings for it.
  8. Like TT said, none of this matters if Tom isn't willing to have years where he blows past the cap. If Tom's absolute ceiling for payroll is something like $15-20M past the cap, the difference between a 20% penalty and a 50% penalty is like $5M. And Jed hates signing QO free agents as is so that's not a major consideration either. There was a poison pill in the last CBA where 3rd time offenders lost out on revenue (it was something tied to the Oakland A's revenue sharing), but to this point as far as we know it's just those tax rates nowadays.
  9. Feels like Kilian should be done at Iowa. Bring him up to the MLB bullpen for long relief IMO.
  10. Yeah I need to noodle on this more but I think I like it. Maybe combine it with some other carrot or stick? i.e. you can remove a pitcher without hitting any of these thresholds, but if you do then double hook or reliever limits kick in or something else. Maybe a combination of things.
  11. Is Mathis hurt? A little surprised he's not at an affiliate yet.
  12. So you just made wild speculation up with zero basis? This is what MLB.com has FWIW He's out for the season because the season only has another ~6 weeks, not because he needs surgery or 11 months of rehab.
  13. What indication do you have that the tendon is injured to this degree?
  14. Based on what?
  15. Thinking about this more...if you go with the A's you could probably do Langeliers + Rooker as more or less a one stop shopping experience for the offense. Plus there's ~$40M left to throw at FA pitching. That could get you something like Robbie Ray and Kenley Jansen?
  16. Get on a three way call with the Angels and A's and treat it like an airline trying to bump someone from a flight. Just start adding prospects to a pot and the first team to say yes gets it. Solving catcher, and doing so at a league minimum salary, substantially raises both the floor and the ceiling for next year's team.
  17. Kyle getting skipped with all the off days
  18. Alcantara hitting the ground running at Iowa is so big. Next year being his last option year sucks regardless, but if he has a good six weeks to close out the season you feel a lot better about him being able to be up for good by the end of next year.
  19. Yeah for sure, that passed ball last night on the pitch where he faked like he was going to steal is a great example.
  20. His full season numbers have him playing at a 3 WAR pace. If his offense settles in even at around that 3rd row he's a star. It makes me so happy to have a baserunning menace. I've wanted one for so long.
  21. Myrtle finally ready to play again!
  22. The Cubs' next 8 game opponents as they currently line up: CWS - Garrett Crochet CWS - Chris Flexen CLE - Ben Lively CLE - Matthew Boyd CLE - Alex Cobb (first start off IL) TOR - Yariel Rodriguez TOR - Chris Bassitt TOR - Bowden Francis Even with Cleveland being a first place team on the road this feels like a good opportunity for a 5-3 or 6-2 stretch.
  23. Crochet has been seemingly wearing down his last 5 starts. ERA a little above 4, peripherals a little below so certainly still good but much less than what he was doing earlier in the season. And he's not working deep into games at all, hasn't completed more than 4 innings in any of those starts.
  24. Jack Neely got a 4 out save tonight after just working on Tuesday. Generally guys only work every 3 days until a callup is imminent. I would not be surprised if he's pretty close to next man up status.
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