We're definitely in "just stay alive and we'll worry about results later" mode currently but Justin was closer to 94 in short relief back at the start of his career.
Yeah as one of the more vocal "let's pump the brakes on Kepley" voices he's fine. He's probably hitting the ball in the air too much, minor league popup numbers tend to be inflated but they have him at an astronomical 27%. But largely Kane is the same guy he was at SB.
God damn Cepeda is on absolute fire
Triantos also continues to hit post big league callup. He's not hitting the piss out of the ball but lots of line drives and lots of walks
Contrary to popular belief, pitchers who throw hard tend to age the best. The idea is that dropping from e.g. 97 to 94 still leaves you with above average velo, and maybe you've picked up some command or another pitch to compensate. When you go from 92 to 89 it takes almost supernatural levels of command and deception to stay viable.
I suspect that as we get more data on bat speed we'll learn a similar lesson. Tucker wasn't an insane athlete to begin with, more of a good athlete with ++ skill. So I do wonder if he's to your point hit like an inflection point where a small loss of explosiveness (his bat speed is down almost 1 MPH) is having an exponential effect on his performance.
He's also CLEARLY pressing so some of this is not permanent and will fade once his confidence is back.
This is probably good news for the lockout. It doesn't magically prevent a lockout but generally the most problematic owners from a labor standpoint have been Moreno, Reinsdorf, and the small market guys like Nutting.
As someone who has generally felt like the risks to next season were are overblown one of the few legitimate scenarios for us missing a lot of games IMO was Moreno or Reinsdorf self sabotaging in a misguided act of legacy building. One fewer wildcard in the game now.
Fangraphs has Assad with one last option next year, though these things are complicated enough they're not always right until we get closer
And yeah fair point that all 6 of those guys making it to April healthy and rostered is far from a guarantee. I guess mainly with how many question marks are going to be there on the big league staff and the injury experience this year I assume Jed's going to go for max-depth. Two long relievers on the big league team, Assad on paper at Iowa, probably a Vince Velasquez type signing or two, etc.
No lie this bit is starting to get weird
Caple's probably ready for Iowa. Curious if he's able to open next season there or not. Feels like:
Assad / Wiggins / Sanders / Franklin / Wicks / Kipp
Is probably closer to what it looks like to open the year? Health permitting.
I mainly don't care about what guys' performance looks like the summer pist draft. Some guys are tired, some are getting used to pro ball, some are impacted by the layoff, etc. etc. Don't get too up or too down on anyone.
But if Sorrell's contact numbers are even close to this bad next year you can write him off immediately. Absolutely unplayable amounts of swing and miss to have in A ball.
Ariel Armas 1/2 with a dong so far. Since the ASB through 2 PAs tonight:
116 PAs, .252/.328/.456, 105ish wRC+, 9.5% BB, 13.8% K, 5 dongs (~26 homer pace)
Reminder that this is an elite defensive catcher as well