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17 Seconds

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Everything posted by 17 Seconds

  1. You must be joking. Acting like Coors stats are an accurate measurement of a players worth is dumb, yeah. Home/Road splits for Holliday's career 04 home- .338/.406/.603 (1.009) (10 HR) 04 away- .240/.287/.367 (.654) (4 HR) 05 home- .357/.409/.593 (1.002) (12 HR) 05 away- .256/.313/.416 (.729) (7 HR) 06 home- .373/.440/.692 (1.132) (22 HR) 06 away- .280/.333/.485 (.819) (12 HR) 07 home- .376/.435/.722 (1.157) (25 HR) 07 away- .301/.374/.485 (.860) (11 HR) 08 home- .332/.413/.584 (.997) (15 HR) 08 away- .308/.405/.486 (.892) (10 HR) Career home- .352/.420/.634 (1.054) (88 HR) Career away- .282/.351/.457 (.808) (44 HR) Uhh, yeah. SLIGHTY SUSPICIOUS In a neutral park, which half of those numbers is he more likely to come close to? I think it's pretty obvious, assuming you know what numbers are. The good news is that his road numbers have gotten progressively better each year. I think he can probably ne like a .900 OPS guy in a neutral park right now. Is he a really good hitter? Probably. You can take into account the fact that many hitters hit better at home too. The point is, when there are GIGANTIC splits EVERY single year of his career, it is extremely obvious that his numbers are greatly influenced by that park. I think this is common sense. I didn't think people still fell for Coors numbers, even after the humidor. Like I said, I'm not acting like Holliday isn't a very good hitter or that he's not a big middle of the order bat. He probably is. But is he the .980-1.000ish OPS guy that he's been over the last 3 years? Doubtful, unless you want to pretend like Coors didn't help his numbers at all. The problem is, he's going to be THE big bat on the market. Teams are going to be competing for him, and the team that gets him is probably going to pay like he's a 1.000 OPS guy, when really he's probably like a .900 OPS guy. So before you respond with something that implies that I'm saying Holliday isn't good or that Coors is the only reason he's good, please read my entire post. Never have I said Holliday isn't a good hitter. I just think it would be stupid to not realize he's not as good as he's been the past few years. All I'm saying is that Coors made him look like Manny Ramirez, when really he's probably more like Jason Bay (pre-2009 Jason Bay, that is).
  2. Kouzmanoff is better than the type of guys I'm talking about. And he'll likely cost far too much in prospects for the value he'll bring the team. i know
  3. well it's common knowledge that internet hecklers with unique avatars get tons of ass
  4. *posts slash stats from 10 years ago* yeah, because those are the stats i always show from bradley. 2004-2006 is 10 years ago, right? *posts bradley's arlington numbers and 2003 numbers that make him look a lot better than he is*
  5. yeah, i'm so silly for paying attention to road numbers when talking about a guy who played his home games at coors. i bring up road numbers because those are the only neutral numbers we have to look at for him. i don't know why that's hard for you to understand. holliday has never ops'd .900 without the help of coors, and he's only come close to it once. i guess he was just unlucky on the road for several years in a row, huh? and wrigley is only a hitters park when the wind is blowing out, which is only like half the time. comparing it to coors is dumb. not surprising you'd bring that up. if you aren't smart enough to realize that hitters who play in parks like coors field and arlignton have inflated numbers and refuse to look at obvious splits, then you're not really worth talking to. p.s. your sig doesnt make him look dumb. it makes you look dumb for wasting your time in fantasy leagues with morons. congrats. Are Holliday's numbers inflated due to Coors? Of course. Does that mean that his away numbers are his true talent level? Of course not. But that's all we have to go on. Looking at Coors numbers is pointless Im not saying Holliday isn't a good hitter. He is. I'm saying that his numbers are inflated by Coors. It's pretty obvious that they are
  6. yeah, i'm so silly for paying attention to road numbers when talking about a guy who played his home games at coors. i bring up road numbers because those are the only neutral numbers we have to look at for him. i don't know why that's hard for you to understand. holliday has never ops'd .900 without the help of coors, and he's only come close to it once. i guess he was just unlucky on the road for several years in a row, huh? and wrigley is only a hitters park when the wind is blowing out, which is only like half the time. comparing it to coors is dumb. not surprising you'd bring that up. if you aren't smart enough to realize that hitters who play in parks like coors field and arlignton have inflated numbers and refuse to look at obvious splits, then you're not really worth talking to. p.s. your sig doesnt make him look dumb. it makes you look dumb for wasting your time in fantasy leagues with morons. congrats.
  7. Kouzmanoff is better than the type of guys I'm talking about. Then please, say who you're talking about. Who should they get to fill this one month void until Ramirez is back? I'm not a GM. I have no idea who is available. I'm talking simly aout a backup 3B. Something that we should have had in the organization before the season started in the first place. Koskie would have been fine. If Freel can somehow get hot and give us like .285/.350/.360, even that would be fine. I'm simpl talking about a guy who can play the piosition and not be a complete black hole in the lineup like Blanco is
  8. Why are you including Lee? Lee has been awesome since April
  9. Kouzmanoff is better than the type of guys I'm talking about.
  10. Who? Carroll or Fox? Fox. He has a bit of a reputation of being a jerk and some people think he's uncoachable because of it. Actually I have been to spring training the last 8 years and I have to say outside of Juan Pierre, he is by far the most friendly and humble person and first one to sign autographs every single day Others that seemed like very nice people are Dempster, Wood, Jacque Jones, Marshall, Dusty Baker Biggest pr*ck ive seen since ive been going is matt murton Haha I always knew Matt Murton was a douche Who else? I like hearing what players are a-holes
  11. Wait, there's no trade to be made right now? None of us are talking about getting some great third baseman. We're talking about somebody who can actually play third base for a major league team. Don't act like that's so hard to find. As for me saying I wouldn't give up prospects for a win move... I never said that. I said I wouldn't do it for a rental player like Holliday Who's going to trade with you, and who's the target that's good enough to be worth parting with worthwhile prospects for? I don't really want to part with Casey Coleman or Tony Thomas because our underachieving offense hasn't started to pick up for the loss of Ramirez(who's probably back actually playing third base for a major league team after the all-star break), especially when they are very likely to begin doing so over the next few weeks. My apologies for misattributing you, although a bullpen arm would in all likelihood be a rental(and again, cost a heavy premium). Like I said, I'm not even talking about getting a good player. I'm talking about getting somebody who can actually play third base and OPS above .700 so Fontenot can move back to second. It really shouldn't be hard to find a backup third baseman.
  12. I don't know about that. The Brewers are playing way over their heads. They're on pace to win like 95+ games. If they won that many games with that rotation it would be the most efficient team in baseball history. I still think the cards are def. better as long as Carpenter and lohse stay healthy.
  13. Wait, there's no trade to be made right now? None of us are talking about getting some great third baseman. We're talking about somebody who can actually play third base for a major league team. Don't act like that's so hard to find. I mean, Ramirez has been out for weeks now and we're still going with Fontenot at 3rd and Scales.Blanco at second. That's ridiculous. Fontenot should be at second and we should have somebody who is actually a 3B at third. As for me saying I wouldn't give up prospects for a win move... I never said that. I said I wouldn't do it for a rental player like Holliday
  14. Leaving Fox in was the right move. Rhodes was ready in the pen if they brought in Fuku or Hoffpauir. I like Fox vs a righty much better than Fuku or Hoff against a lefty that has been dominant this season. Regardless of Lou not allowing Fuku to start vs leftys this year, hes hit them well this year. He has 6 at-bats vs lefties this season
  15. Leaving Fox in was the right move. Rhodes was ready in the pen if they brought in Fuku or Hoffpauir. I like Fox vs a righty much better than Fuku or Hoff against a lefty that has been dominant this season.
  16. What metric would you prefer? UZR has him as an above average defender and from what I've seen in his career, that's probably pretty accurate. I was concerned before the season that his defensive skills would have dropped off after not playing the field last year. I haven't seen all that many terrible plays so far this year. like i said, i don' put any stock into any defensive metrics. and i don't doubt that he's been a good defender in the past, but that's the past. now he reminds me of cliff floyd hobbling around there. just because you don't see him make any terrible plays doesn't mean he doesn't suck. he doesn't get to any balls out there. edit: as for defensive metrics..... they just aren't reliable at all imo. they jump around every year like crazy. anyways, i just don't see how you could possibly put defense into a statistic and have it be accurate on any sort of regular basis. there are just way too many factors and variables. it's just not logical.
  17. Until Jim actually does something, this is nothing more than a .500 team. It's very simple. This current team is not capable of making any kind of run. Terrible offense, defense, and bullpen. And Jim continues to do nothing.
  18. Blubber boy behind the plate helped too. That's twice we've lost in extras this road trip because he couldb't block a ball in the dirt
  19. i cant believe people still actually put any stock whatsoever into UZR and defensive metrics in general. i never said bradley is as bad as dunn anyways. just that he's bad.
  20. Uhh, Jim? Are you going to do something? Fontenot cost us 3 runs in the inning and then cost us the 4th run in extras. How can we have a gigantic payroll and be in "all out win mode" and not have a 3B because of one single injury? Absolutely inexcusable. Now we're forced to play the awful Fontenot as third and watch us cost us runs and also have to deal with garbage like Miles/Scales/Freel in the lineup. To not have gotten a third baseman by now is a joke. Almost anything is better than what we have. Thanks for the depth Jim.
  21. Type in Crosby Dive on You Tube and you'll get about a hundred more... it's not like I had those specific instances memorized. lol sure you didn't what a creepshow
  22. I was a Dunn supporter in the offseason, but keep in mind you have to weigh his offensive production with his awful outfield defense. That defense negates at least some of his value offensively. milton bradley is a pretty poor defender too. at least dunn isn't hobbling around out there and wouldn't make us hold our breath every time he has to use his legs
  23. how can you possibly say that when he has a career .823 OPS? How can you possibly keep throwing his career OPS number like it's supposed to predict exactly what he's going to do this year? You're including his first three season in the league (ages 22-24). It's like say that Sammy Sosa averaged a HR every 32 at bats in 1991 (age 22 season) and because of that it's obvious that he used steroids. Players get better and not everybody comes into the league and rakes right away. From 2003-08 Milton had an OPS of .879. And right on cue, here we go with the skewed Bradley stats to make it look like he's been a badass hitter over the 5 years. Saying he's been an .879 OPS hitter from 03-08 is dumb. No, more like he's been a 1.000 OPS hitter for the last 600 at-bats (most of which came in Texas, big surprise) and has been his typical .820ish OPS guy the previous 3 years 04- .786 05- .835 05- .818 so uhh, yeah... he's been an .879 OPS guy for the past 5 years. Except for those 3 straight year where he, uh, wasn't The reason I talk about his career OPS is because he's performed to that level for most of his playing career. You know how many seasons he's had with an OPS over .835? THREE And that's being really generous, considering the total PA's of those 3 seasons really add up to about 2 full seasons worth of at-bats. I don't understand why this guy continues to get some kind of free pass, like he has an awesome track record of hitting or something, and he's sure to turn it around. Guess what guys? For the vast majority of his career, he hasn't been a great hitter.
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