squally1313

The 50/50 raffle thing is an extremely weird thing to complain about in a Cubs-centric way. It’s been standard across professional sports for years now. All the other stuff isn’t cubs centric either. Beers are expensive, there’s advertisements at the stadium, lights flash occasionally…you guys just don’t like modern baseball.

Said in a less Tom way, Dansby is a very good player by all conceivable measures and thinking lesser of him because he signed the contract offered to him is a terrible position to take.

The absolute stupidest argument in the world

lol yeah that was insane

The Cubs traded for Paredes (or, perhaps more importantly, they traded away Morel) on July 28th. Since then, they are: 2nd in offensive fWAR 3rd in OBP 5th in slugging 3rd in wOBA 4th in wRC 2nd in baserunning 2nd in defense 24th in pitcher fWAR during that stretch.

Sorry, was probably an unnecessary shot in your direction. It's hard to build that elite of a team and simply being in a big market doesn't automatically make that the baseline. Ultimately though, while moving in the right direction (FG projected 79 in 2023, 82 in 2024, I'm aiming for 87 or so in 2025), and while I think the franchise is generally pretty healthy at this point in time, at the end of the day it's 4 straight years without a playoff appearance, and that's too long.

$11.5m next year, $12m the year after that.

Cubs player being good after being bad? You'd be surprised how much that is, in fact, news around here.

Teams projected to win 90+ games (per FG) going into the year: Atlanta Braves Los Angeles Dodgers Baltimore Orioles

- how do you beat the game? - easy, set it on beginning difficulty and then turn off any rules that makes the game hard

Yeah, it helps by minimizing their load and also by giving yourself whatever combo of Wes/Wicks/Assad as 'go throw as hard as you can for two innings' bullpen options (at basically league minimum!)

Agreed on the pen but also don't really know any scenario where you go into a season not worried about it. Cleveland has the best pen this year. Last year they were 16th. It's the starting pitching by a pretty large margin for me. I would like the offense to be better but realistically we're going to be talking about somewhere between the 8th and 12th best offense and it's just going to be marginal differences one way or another. Shota or Steele goes down for any extended period of time and things can very ugly, very quickly.

Look man, I don’t go find conversations you’re having and tell you to stop the ‘pedantic bull horsefeathers’. There’s an entire rest of the internet out there if this isn’t up your alley. It’s a message board about a sports team, this is all pointless.

this you?

In terms of semantics, I specifically said small point. Others made that into a bigger deal. But, officially, no. If the winner of the Masters shoots -10 and then 8 guys shoot -9, the guy who shoots -8 doesn't tie for third. They (and roughly 25 other relief pitchers) pitched a lot over a 2 month stretch. Throwing notoriously streaky Leiter in the mix kinda weakens your argument on the long term damage because he came back in 2024 pitching effectively (but streaky) and obviously held up enough to get traded at the deadline. You can't call it 'lucky' on the healthy side but somehow pre-ordained on the unhealthy side. I'm guessing if you look at those other 25 pitchers you'd see a mixture of 2024 effectiveness/ineffectiveness/injury. I'd guess if you looked at the next 25 guys after that you'd see a similar mix of results. Pitchers break, relief pitchers ERA explode, etc. If this was anywhere close to an exact science people would be a lot better at it. I don't know. It seems like a narrative that's easy to put together in hindsight. We were in a playoff race and Ross leaned on his best pitchers. If he would have handed the ball to Michael Rucker or Palencia and we missed the playoffs all the same, that's a whole different narrative to throw at his feet. We had a garbage May/June and had to treat the entire second half like they were September playoff chase games, and at the deadline Jed (and everyone else in baseball) decided to go get a AAAA reliever and roll with that. There weren't good answers.

Because he’s saying anyone who threw 28 games was 1st, anyone who threw 27 games was 2nd, etc. Which isn’t correct. 4 guys threw 28 games, 6 guys threw 27, 7 guys threw 26, 12 guys threw 25

So are we done with the Kevin Alcantara experiment? I’d like to open up this spot to give the kids some opportunities to give us a spark here.

A 3 fWAR third baseman with three years of team control? Yes, he has value. I’m open to trading him, by the way. But ‘if he has any value whatsoever’ is very over the top.

Small point: calling it tied for 2nd and tied for 4th is disingenuous because you’re leaving out how many other pitchers also did the same thing. also, at the risk of sounding callous, leiter was a 32 year old lightning in a bottle guy who you ride until he loses the one pitch he has. And he was also fine this year, so whatever wrongs for this year you’re trying to pin on Ross don’t apply here.

Also I know his nickname is actually the Jaguar but my old brain turned it into Panther, and then very quickly Sex Panther in the Paul Rudd from Anchorman. Therefore....welcome to Chicago, Sex Panther!

Laughing at the idea of Mastrobuoni reporting for duty at the Arizona Complex League in late September.

The 14 innings that Alzolay and Merryweather both threw in August puts them tied for 23rd in baseball for that month. Now, obviously there are some Rays-type shenanigans in there. But one pitcher threw 15 games, 12 pitchers threw 14 games (including Alzolay), and 23 pitchers threw 13 games (including Merryweather). None of this screams some unique managing crime, especially for a team in the thick of a playoff race.

Are there good metrics for a bullpen pitcher?

Yeah, you can either 'failure model' your way through league minimum dudes and AAAA guys or you can pay guys $8-$12m a year and also 'failure model' through them but more expensively or you could spend $75m/year on your bullpen.

Sure, I don't disagree with this. I think we use 'luck' as a high level term to describe non-sustainable events or pieces of events that have been largely proven to be non-sustainable. Wins are wins, however you got them, they are banked and credited to your team, and the Cubs haven't gotten enough of them one way or another. The simplest way I can describe it is if you declared tomorrow that the MLB season would go another 100 games starting Monday, you could make a strong argument that relying on pythag over W/L records YTD would be a better indicator of what your record would be for those 100 games. Obviously we're coming to a significant cut off point and rosters will churn and guys will grow 6 months older and pick up and lose skills and injuries and I think we're all aware of that. I think CubinNY would disagree with the statement that the job of an offensive player is to produce runs. He would say it's to win games, I think. Apologies if not. And, honestly, it's not an incorrect argument. But all of our individual statistic tracking (that drives 'player value') is based on a players ability to produce runs (or avoid outs). And vice versa for pitching and defense. And so a statistic that looks, at a macro level, of how many runs an offense were produced vs how many runs were allowed, with no regard to how those lined up in 9 inning chunks, is beneficial in predicting future performance.