squally1313
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Everything posted by squally1313
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I'll lean towards the side of defending the writers putting in all the work and producing all the content over repeatedly criticizing them for content you clearly don't care about. Also as a heads up, maybe don't check out the Social Forum.
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I'm sorry the website made you click on and read the article.
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96 win pace at the halfway point. 48th win came on July 21st last year. June 25th for the 2016 team, which is pretty wild. 48-25 at that point, but still.
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Road split against a good team. Totally fine with that.
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Do you think Gorman is going to hit a 96 mph/41 LA home run to the left field corner or the right field corner
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1. Agreed on the clubhouse stuff. 2. Sorry, but 49 PAs is not going to convince me that Reese McGuire at age 30 figured out how to be a good hitter. I mean, I guess there's a chance he cracked the code to maintaining a 27% HR/FB rate? But otherwise there's probably a reason he's always graded out well defensively and still couldn't find a consistent big league job, and I mean that in actual baseball reasons not weird parking lot reasons.
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I'm guessing the answer here is that he stays instead of Turner. Which is the wrong answer.
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Would prefer more offense at some point here. Hopefully Cardinals are in getaway mode, but 9 more outs with a low strikeout bullpen is just asking for a BABIP disaster, and that's before considering the concept of the Cardinals doing annoying Cardinals things
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76 pitches, 5 scoreless innings from Shota. Pretty much all you can ask for (besides more Ks). Thinking he starts the 6th but we'll see.
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Carson Kelly single: .130 xBA Matt Shaw lineout: .740 xBA Tucker groundout: .430 xBA Giveth, taketh away, etc.
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The smallest of sample sizes but 2024 Shota instead of April 2025 Shota would be incredibly appreciated
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107.2 MPH off the bat for Shaw is encouraging
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(after making myself ignore all the Dansby batting order complaints because I'm fully on the side of the argument that lineup construction doesn't matter) Busch and PCA should switch spots in the lineup
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Think the pitching coach who's name I am bizarrely blanking on right now said 85 pitches, which is basically the same thing. Edit: Hottovy
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road split against an over .500 is very far from the worst outcome
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Question of the week: Who is your first-half MVP?
squally1313 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Hot take: Tucker's going to overpass PCA in fWAR by the ASB. (the correct answer is still PCA) -
Bulls trading the 45th pick for the 55th pick and cash is fun. Anytime you can receive 'cash' in a deal, you have to do that.
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Yeah unless we're like, changing the sample group to just be big market teams, calling 83-90 wins 'mediocre' is just not really how that word works.
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Nightengale: Chicago Cubs Have Asked About Mitch Keller
squally1313 replied to Matthew Lenz's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
I don't really have a sense of what Keller would cost. Baseball Trade Value (grain of salt) has him with about as much value as Shaw, and as much as he's been struggling, that seems pretty steep. As mentioned a couple times above, I would like someone in this ilk (and would be fine with going worse/cheaper) immediately to give us some cushion in the rotation heading into the ASB, but I'm worried he's in the middle ground where he's better than an innings eater but not at the level to be a difference maker in the playoffs. Pairing him with Bednar and reworking your strategy into a Bednar/Brown/Horton-featured bullpen of death is appealing, as is the idea of getting those guys into a pennant race/full stadiums for the first time in their career, as is the idea of getting them into a organization with significantly more resources on the developmental side. But I just am not letting myself believe we're going to get this Matt Boyd for 30 starts and then into October, and Shota was real shaky to start the year. We need someone better than Keller eventually. -
Offense YTD: 3rd in wRC, 2nd in baserunning, 6th in defense, 3rd in fWAR Offense in June (with all these black holes in the lineup): 11th in wRC, 5th in baserunning, 6th in defense, 10th in fWAR Pitching YTD: 16th in ERA, 17th in FIP, 21st in xFIP, 18th in fWAR Pitching in June: 1th in ERA, 22nd in FIP, 24th in xFIP, 24th in fWAR All resources should be going to improving the pitching staff.
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Well, yeah, the youngest guy there is Liberatore who we already saw. Mathews as mentioned above and then I guess Tink Hence (22 yo, injured in spring training but more than handled AA last year and has made one very good start there) are theoretical options to give the rotation a boost if they wanted to dump one of the low K guys (Mikolas, Fedde, Pallente), but to your point no one with the AAA track record that Horton has, and even more to your point Horton has had more success in the majors than most of the top pitching prospects.
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Quinn Mathews was regarded as a much better prospect than Horton going into this year (32 v 79 per FG), but he seems to have basically developed the yips at AAA. He was drafted as a crafty, high ceiling college arm and then added a bunch of velocity and pretty much dominated A, high A, and AA last year over 22 starts. Then he got to AAA, walked 14 guys in 17 innings, and so far this season he's walked 30 in 32. If they really wanted to go for it this year he's probably their best trade chip, but don't think he's near the point where they could feel comfortable giving him crucial starts down the stretch.
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If I can nitpick a little, Boyd having 12 strikeouts in his last 4 starts (23 innings) is a little concerning. I say this because, and I mean this as a compliment to him and an indictment of the team, he’s pretty clearly our game one starter at the moment.
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Little bit of loud contact but we’ve got a good cushion and are already through their top 3 hitters again
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Elite middle infield defense is such a luxury
