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squally1313

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Everything posted by squally1313

  1. squally1313
    I see the expectations are set at ‘we need to improve our already full major league offense with established major league impact talent and we also need to get optimal value for our near ready offensive prospects or else the trade will be bad, even if it obviously improves the major league roster’. Should be fine!
  2. squally1313
    57 players this year appeared in 152 games of more, so less than 2 per team.
  3. squally1313
    I'm with you on this. Bellinger doesn't need to be guaranteed a daily spot just because of the amount of money he's getting paid. Tauchman got 350 PAs last year. Wisdom got 174. Mastro 106, Madrigal 94. That's with Happ, Hoerner, Dansby, and Busch all playing 149+ games. Bump those all down to 140 games and that's another 220ish. That's 1000 PAs. Before injuries. We're fine.
  4. squally1313
    The last year Contreras was in Chicago he had a catcher's ERA of 3.96 in 72 games, Gomes had a CERA of 3.66 in 69 games, and PJ Higgins had a CERA of 4.96 in 34 games, so going to go ahead and say this is wrong. Ultimately it's a dumb stat, and while I'll agree that he's historically been seen as struggling with some of the skills that aren't traditionally picked up by metrics, we don't really have any definitive ways of knowing what kind of impact it has.
  5. squally1313
    Do we know that's true? Amaya: Contreras:
  6. squally1313
    We've got 2 this year.
  7. squally1313
    https://www.fangraphs.com/players/reynaldo-lopez/16400/stats?position=P
  8. squally1313
    Three years of control and the whole point was to make him a 4-5 inning starter. I think you're probably right big picture, but I also think that we should be prepared to take a little less than equal value for the Alcantara/Caissie/Canario group if Bellinger opts back in and every other team realizes we've got 4 outfielders locked in for the next two years.
  9. squally1313
    this thread from back in august is a good/quick summary of their main problem and also very prescient going into tonight
  10. squally1313
    Yeah I don't know anything about the pitching prospect the Cubs would be sending, but no interest in Vazquez so just make the bare bones of the trade Jax for Alcantara and see how it lines up from there. Get the innings concerns and obviously it's not a video game simulation, but if you're looking for guys like Horton and Brown (and Wicks) to contribute to the rotation at limited innings next year, almost makes more sense to load up on the 100 innings guys and swap them in and out.
  11. squally1313
    Fair point on the injuries, and I guess you hope one of the old guys turns into a second round pick in February. But I mean....the second power play has Martinez and Smith on it. Seems like there's plenty of availability for 'big minutes'
  12. squally1313
    That one I can at least understand how the head injuries happen. Might need someone to explain track and field to me. Is every single pole vaulter getting concussed?
  13. squally1313
    I'm not going to pretend to be a hockey expert but it seems really dumb to roll out guys like Craig Smith (35), TJ Brodie (34), Patrick Maroon (36) with the kind of talent they just sent down to Rockford. Like, it's another lost year anyways, who do you want developing Nazar, Korchinski, etc....Richardson and the coaches you are paying NHL salaries for, or the Rockford guys?
  14. squally1313
    Right, but obviously that game, in its traditional slot, can never have an impact on the conference championship game. Is the plan for Army/Navy to eventually play each other in advance of the conference title game, whether or not the Week 15 traditional game stays on the schedule?
  15. squally1313
    Given the tradition of the Army/Navy game, is there some sort of agreement that they will never play a true conference, before the conference title game, game? Or is part of the conference movement that this last week of the year game become essentially an exhibition?
  16. squally1313
    Trying this out to marry the 'good starting pitching' and 'well rested bullpen' ideas (which were kinda the same thing anyways). By month, team rankings in starting pitching innings and reliever fWAR April: 25th, 25th May: 9th, 8th June: 10th, 28th July: 5th, 2nd August: 18th, 5th September: 6th, 30th I realized halfway through this (dumb) experiment that I was trying to find correlation between two stats that should trend in opposite directions because they're both cumulative and pulling from the same finite amount of innings. But even still, I think when people think about the bullpen being bad they think about early season struggles and the correlation is pretty good there.
  17. squally1313
    The best bullpen is a good offense. And/or starting pitching.
  18. squally1313
    Indians priority this offseason is getting some shut down relievers
  19. squally1313
    Said another way, wanting three guys that you can rely on and saying that we only have one right now, and at this time last year he was coming off a 5.13 ERA in AA, is pretty telling.
  20. squally1313
    How many non-JAGs do you think exist in the population of relief pitchers in baseball to the extent you can count on them over a period of multiple years? As an example: I think you hit on where I'm at towards the end though. Trying to build a bullpen through offseason acquisitions is futile and a waste of resources. Whatever problems the pen has (and your mileage may vary on blaming external factors like injury, overuse, overuse due to starter ineffectiveness, bad sequencing, etc), the blame should be placed much more on the internal coaching and development rather than the front office.
  21. squally1313
    Locked in!
  22. squally1313
    I don't know, I just don't look at 'we have either $50m or $80m to spend this offseason but we don't have any obvious holes in our lineup to put a new player' as an 'issue'. I also still don't really know what the Aggressive Road Not Taken was last offseason. I don't know how it's going to play out. But there's 5.5 months till baseball still.
  23. squally1313
    Alright my bad, that's a semantics thing I think. The season is over, none of those guys, with the exception of maybe Bellinger, is getting paid or taking up a roster spot for the Cubs on a go forward basis.
  24. squally1313
    Don't necessarily disagree with any of that. None of them were some huge problem, by your own math above they cost us all of like...one more Jameson Taillon. This doesn't seem to be a Cubs specific problem. Pick another team, I'm sure you could find $20m in bad deals. Brewers, as an obvious example, are on the hook to pay Rhys Hoskins $22m next year after he gave them all of 0.1 fWAR in 131 games this year. And, to get back to the question I asked, the only person you named that is still employed by the Cubs (maybe!) is Cody Bellinger. We have 7 non-arbitration guys under contract for next year. They were all in the top ten of team fWAR.
  25. squally1313
    What are our current bad contracts
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