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squally1313

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Everything posted by squally1313

  1. squally1313
    If you were playing this out on a video game, you could retain Hall's salary (or as much of it as the rules allow) and flip him for future assets. As it plays out in real life, you probably hold onto him to give Bedard someone to play with, and hope he maintains a high enough level to flip him at some point in the 24/25 season.
  2. squally1313
    Yeah obviously they are going for simplicity in the presentation but probably need to include some sort of clarification on what you're talking about, and then today in the bottom right corner my buddy put who played for the team but didn't make the HOF for that team and so it didn't count.
  3. squally1313
    Well we've tripled our playoff odds in two weeks, from 7.1% to 21.9% as of today. Brewers are still the clear favorite, although a lot of that is based on projections that just haven't really played out so far this year....Burnes has been simply above average, not dominant, even before he got blown up in his last start. Peralta has a well earned 4.60 ERA so far this year, Zips has them for 3.5 more fWAR this season and they've combined for 1.6 so far this year, 72 games in. Who knows with Woodruff, and then you're left with Teheran (5.86 K/9), Houser (5.49 K/9), Wade Miley (5.4 K/9) and Colin Rea (Colin Rea). Yelich and William Contreras are the only hitters over 100 wRC. Basically all these teams suck, might as well give it a shot.
  4. squally1313
    Yeah the biggest advantage the Reds have over us right now is the 3.5 game lead already baked into the standings.
  5. squally1313
    Four games made up on the Brewers in the last 10 is pretty encouraging. The Reds offense looks like it has some teeth, but man that pitching is dire, especially with Greene on the IL. https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=pit&lg=all&qual=20&type=8&season=2023&month=0&season1=2023&ind=0&team=18&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&startdate=2023-01-01&enddate=2023-12-31&sort=6,d
  6. squally1313
    The Cubs have a top 10 farm system and magnitudes more revenue that they can theoretically use to supplement the roster. That's going to trump whatever we've seen this year. They're still at the top of my list because they should always be at the top of this list.
  7. squally1313
    The kid is 17 years old, his entire childhood was framed around the Hawks being the best and most exciting team in hockey. And he's still way too young to understand all of the garbage parts of it. (And he's a teenager raised as a once in a generation prodigy in a clearly toxic hockey culture with people fawning over him and enabling him at every turn, I certainly wouldn't bet on him being a 'good dude')
  8. squally1313
    So horsefeathering gross
  9. squally1313
    I know it's a bit of cherry picking to look at his season numbers immediately after a 3 hit, HR night, but man...all of a sudden he's almost improving on his high A numbers as a 21 YO in AA. Granted, still has a way to go to get back to his single A numbers, but then again those numbers would make him the best player in baseball, so probably not the most realistic path to success. But comparing AA to high A, seems like the walk rate is better, the K rate is better, his HR rate is slightly above where it was last year, SBs are similar. 2Bs and 3Bs are down, but hard to maintain the 15 triples/year pace he was on in high A. Just really encouraging looking ahead to 2024.
  10. squally1313
    Well that just seems very unlucky and mathematically should turn around soon given the overall performance of the offense this year. Will it be too late? Probably! But hard to get like, specifically angry at anyone in particular.
  11. squally1313
    Patrick Wisdom from 5/31/2021-6/8/21 hit 379/438/1138 (yes, that's slugging), with 7 home runs in 32 PAs. Morel from 5/15/23-5/23/23 hit 357/419/1071 with 6 home runs in 31 PAs. Patrick Wisdom the rest of 2021 hit 211/288/450. Morel in 2022 hit 235/308/433. Morel is probably a little better than Wisdom, but otherwise either good jokes or relax.
  12. squally1313
    Checking in here to apologize for missing a game thread start. And then to basically say that between getting a new computer at work and the URL hopping back and forth, this site has somehow ended up on the blocked list for my company. Which is where I am for basically 99% of my NSBB consumption. Which sucks. So might have to get used to coming here through my phone more. more relevant: More Morel is good, but he is not a lead off hitter. Just put Swanson there and be done with it. Ross is getting very tiring.
  13. squally1313
    I don’t understand this at all. This roster is, somewhat by design, completely devoid of talent from top to bottom. Look at Edmonton with McDavid up to (and maybe including) this year. This isn’t the NBA, you need depth.
  14. squally1313
    lol what
  15. squally1313
    Rios is the obvious send down here, but would be pretty pleased if they made it Hosmer to send a message to Ross by taking away one of his veterans. Though ultimately I think Rios is similarly pretty worthless (or at least his ceiling is pretty low), so it doesn't really matter. Nelly is different in that he's stuck behind Happ/Bellinger/Seiya and he's just not supposed to be the caliber of hitter that Mervis is (despite what his 87 PAs tell you this year), so it's not as egregious when he doesn't get DH appearances.
  16. squally1313
    I mean, better than what we have now. But if this is the big move to make within the organization, we're still a long ways away. Maybe I'm just haunted by the LaHairs/Hoffpaiurs of the world (or I have unrealistic expectations based on the KBs/Javys of the world), but upgrading from league average first baseman to above average first baseman is about the most inconsequential thing you can do.
  17. squally1313
    This is almost definitely the wrong thread but I couldn't think of a better one and I'm still terrified of starting new threads for anything that's not a game thread, even 20 years in. Saw a tweet about Robinson Chirinos retiring, and figured he was maybe just calling it quits early? Nope, 38 years old, probably on the older end for a catcher. Just a name that's been bouncing around in my head for the last 15+ years thanks to you degenerates. Dude was traded for Matt Garza! With Hak Ju Lee! And the current GM of the Phillies! Sorry for reminding everyone of their own mortality, but still. A first ballot Name around these parts.
  18. squally1313
    Do better than this website and win!
  19. squally1313
    Is there anyway to embed more than one post when you're quoting? This is probably just me getting old, but seemed easier to track the conversation when I could, for example, quote A quoting B and have both their messages show up with mine in my post.
  20. squally1313
    A while? It's April. And he has a 16.8% walk rate. Do you have a better option than the dude with the .396 OBP?
  21. squally1313
    And it's a pretty drastic overreaction regardless.
  22. squally1313
    Correct, but that puts us in a 7 way tie for 8th in blown saves this year as a team. Which is mostly just a way of saying it happens more often than you probably think, especially as starters get pulled earlier and earlier.
  23. squally1313
    No idea if it's still there but there was a house on the east side of Sheffield somewhere around Sheffield's bar that was freestanding, set back in the lot, and always had people out in the front yard playing whiffleball whenever I would walk up from the Belmont stop on the way to games. You'd go deaf from the train in your backyard, but that was my dream rental situation for like 6 years in my 20s.
  24. squally1313
    Yes and no on Wisdom. I don't think anyone was expecting top tier performance, but along those same lines no one was really expecting a playoff appearance. The way to move to that conversation is for players to exceed expectations/projections. We've obviously seen some of that this year, and some of it seems more sustainable. Wisdom's doesn't look particularly sustainable, in that a .398 iso would be the 7th best this century (and he's certainly not Barry Bonds or 2001 Sammy Sosa, or even 2023 Max Muncy). But the K rate has gone from historically bad to just very bad while the walk rate has stayed consistent, and ZIPs has him at a 3 win player for the year. With his power, I don't think we should really expect more dongs as the weather improves (unlike Dansby or Seiya) because Wisdom's are typically no doubters regardless. But splitting that difference on his 2022 and 2021 isos and defensive numbers the rest of the year puts him pretty comfortably at 2.5-3 wins.
  25. squally1313
    I was looking for holes in Morel's game. Admittedly, the K rate is bad. And probably won't ever be good. But I was hoping he'd be able to add some speed to the team (not that we're lacking, but speed is great), and was a little disappointed in him only having 8 steals. Figured 88 PAs, hitting over .300, has lots of chances. And then realized he has (going into today) 23 hits but only 8 singles, which is pretty nuts. That BABIP of .400 sounds a lot better if he's making loud contact that often.
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