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squally1313

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Everything posted by squally1313

  1. squally1313
    I mean, Swanson is 6th in offensive fWAR since the beginning of last year. You can make the argument that a guy putting up a .771 OPS is not a great player, but that's more a statistics/advanced metrics argument. If we're going off WAR, he's a star. You've got Hoerner at 37th, Happ at 51st, Bellinger at 82nd. Having four dudes in the top 90 in a thirty team league is good. On the pitching side, Steele is 25th since last year, Stroman is 38th, but obviously both are performing much better this year (7th and 10th). I think this is an above average team that isn't far off from being a Good team, and seems like most people want to blow it up because they don't see a path to being a Great team. Which, maybe? But starting over I think just puts us back in this same spot in like 2 years.
  2. squally1313
    Yeah it's really easy to say that 'anyone can play first base' until you make the cheap free agent signing to do that, you make the even cheaper signing to hedge against that, and then you also have the dude who raked all year (and into this year in AAA) as a further hedge, and then that all adds up it being the end of June and you've OPSed .633 from that spot. Give me consistency, and very much give me consistency with 50 dongs.
  3. squally1313
    He's always going to run hot and cold on the BABIP train given his complete lack of power. The 2 walks in his last 31 PAs is probably more concerning.
  4. squally1313
    Just go get CJ Cron for a bag of balls, give Mancini a phantom injury, let Cron start for a month and see if he find his way to the .336 xwOBA he's got so far this year (league average for first basemen is .329). If so, cool, if not and we're in it, go see who else is out there, if he sucks and we also suck, Mervis gets a two month audition.
  5. squally1313
    If you were playing this out on a video game, you could retain Hall's salary (or as much of it as the rules allow) and flip him for future assets. As it plays out in real life, you probably hold onto him to give Bedard someone to play with, and hope he maintains a high enough level to flip him at some point in the 24/25 season.
  6. squally1313
    Yeah obviously they are going for simplicity in the presentation but probably need to include some sort of clarification on what you're talking about, and then today in the bottom right corner my buddy put who played for the team but didn't make the HOF for that team and so it didn't count.
  7. squally1313
    Well we've tripled our playoff odds in two weeks, from 7.1% to 21.9% as of today. Brewers are still the clear favorite, although a lot of that is based on projections that just haven't really played out so far this year....Burnes has been simply above average, not dominant, even before he got blown up in his last start. Peralta has a well earned 4.60 ERA so far this year, Zips has them for 3.5 more fWAR this season and they've combined for 1.6 so far this year, 72 games in. Who knows with Woodruff, and then you're left with Teheran (5.86 K/9), Houser (5.49 K/9), Wade Miley (5.4 K/9) and Colin Rea (Colin Rea). Yelich and William Contreras are the only hitters over 100 wRC. Basically all these teams suck, might as well give it a shot.
  8. squally1313
    Yeah the biggest advantage the Reds have over us right now is the 3.5 game lead already baked into the standings.
  9. squally1313
    Four games made up on the Brewers in the last 10 is pretty encouraging. The Reds offense looks like it has some teeth, but man that pitching is dire, especially with Greene on the IL. https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=pit&lg=all&qual=20&type=8&season=2023&month=0&season1=2023&ind=0&team=18&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&startdate=2023-01-01&enddate=2023-12-31&sort=6,d
  10. squally1313
    The Cubs have a top 10 farm system and magnitudes more revenue that they can theoretically use to supplement the roster. That's going to trump whatever we've seen this year. They're still at the top of my list because they should always be at the top of this list.
  11. squally1313
    The kid is 17 years old, his entire childhood was framed around the Hawks being the best and most exciting team in hockey. And he's still way too young to understand all of the garbage parts of it. (And he's a teenager raised as a once in a generation prodigy in a clearly toxic hockey culture with people fawning over him and enabling him at every turn, I certainly wouldn't bet on him being a 'good dude')
  12. squally1313
    So horsefeathering gross
  13. squally1313
    I know it's a bit of cherry picking to look at his season numbers immediately after a 3 hit, HR night, but man...all of a sudden he's almost improving on his high A numbers as a 21 YO in AA. Granted, still has a way to go to get back to his single A numbers, but then again those numbers would make him the best player in baseball, so probably not the most realistic path to success. But comparing AA to high A, seems like the walk rate is better, the K rate is better, his HR rate is slightly above where it was last year, SBs are similar. 2Bs and 3Bs are down, but hard to maintain the 15 triples/year pace he was on in high A. Just really encouraging looking ahead to 2024.
  14. squally1313
    Well that just seems very unlucky and mathematically should turn around soon given the overall performance of the offense this year. Will it be too late? Probably! But hard to get like, specifically angry at anyone in particular.
  15. squally1313
    Patrick Wisdom from 5/31/2021-6/8/21 hit 379/438/1138 (yes, that's slugging), with 7 home runs in 32 PAs. Morel from 5/15/23-5/23/23 hit 357/419/1071 with 6 home runs in 31 PAs. Patrick Wisdom the rest of 2021 hit 211/288/450. Morel in 2022 hit 235/308/433. Morel is probably a little better than Wisdom, but otherwise either good jokes or relax.
  16. squally1313
    Checking in here to apologize for missing a game thread start. And then to basically say that between getting a new computer at work and the URL hopping back and forth, this site has somehow ended up on the blocked list for my company. Which is where I am for basically 99% of my NSBB consumption. Which sucks. So might have to get used to coming here through my phone more. more relevant: More Morel is good, but he is not a lead off hitter. Just put Swanson there and be done with it. Ross is getting very tiring.
  17. squally1313
    I don’t understand this at all. This roster is, somewhat by design, completely devoid of talent from top to bottom. Look at Edmonton with McDavid up to (and maybe including) this year. This isn’t the NBA, you need depth.
  18. squally1313
    lol what
  19. squally1313
    Rios is the obvious send down here, but would be pretty pleased if they made it Hosmer to send a message to Ross by taking away one of his veterans. Though ultimately I think Rios is similarly pretty worthless (or at least his ceiling is pretty low), so it doesn't really matter. Nelly is different in that he's stuck behind Happ/Bellinger/Seiya and he's just not supposed to be the caliber of hitter that Mervis is (despite what his 87 PAs tell you this year), so it's not as egregious when he doesn't get DH appearances.
  20. squally1313
    I mean, better than what we have now. But if this is the big move to make within the organization, we're still a long ways away. Maybe I'm just haunted by the LaHairs/Hoffpaiurs of the world (or I have unrealistic expectations based on the KBs/Javys of the world), but upgrading from league average first baseman to above average first baseman is about the most inconsequential thing you can do.
  21. squally1313
    This is almost definitely the wrong thread but I couldn't think of a better one and I'm still terrified of starting new threads for anything that's not a game thread, even 20 years in. Saw a tweet about Robinson Chirinos retiring, and figured he was maybe just calling it quits early? Nope, 38 years old, probably on the older end for a catcher. Just a name that's been bouncing around in my head for the last 15+ years thanks to you degenerates. Dude was traded for Matt Garza! With Hak Ju Lee! And the current GM of the Phillies! Sorry for reminding everyone of their own mortality, but still. A first ballot Name around these parts.
  22. squally1313
    Do better than this website and win!
  23. squally1313
    Is there anyway to embed more than one post when you're quoting? This is probably just me getting old, but seemed easier to track the conversation when I could, for example, quote A quoting B and have both their messages show up with mine in my post.
  24. squally1313
    A while? It's April. And he has a 16.8% walk rate. Do you have a better option than the dude with the .396 OBP?
  25. squally1313
    And it's a pretty drastic overreaction regardless.
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