I think they’re fairly even teams, with Boston maybe a bit better. Its tough to tell from last night though because of the extremes that happened for Boston. I tend to think the Horford/Smart/White drop off with be more of a negative than Tatum returning to normal levels will be a positive but we’ll see. The fact that Steph did Steph like things, Tatum shot miserably yet Boston won by double digits is pretty alarming for GS. The Celtics think they can pretty much bludgeon the Warriors the whole game and take their chances at the end. I mean sure, if you're just looking at those two factors. Steph averaged 4.5 3's and 25.5 ppg this year. In Game 1 he made 7 3's and scored 34 points. So slight overperformance but nothing too crazy. Jayson Tatum averaged 26.9 ppg this year but only scored 13 in Game 1. That's more of an outlier than Steph. Smart, White and Horford averaged 33.3 ppg this year while shooting an average of 4.3-13.2 (32.6%) from 3. In Game 1, that trio was 15-23 (65.2%) and scored 63 points. Obviously there's more to it than just those 5 players and handful of stats. I just was saying that those four Celtics regressing to the mean is a net negative for Boston due to how absurd those three players were in Game 1. And I don't think anyone would be shocked if Steph averaged 34 points and 7 3's per game in the finals. I wouldn't bet on it, but its within the realm of possibility (especially 34 ppg). But Tatum isn't averaging 3-17 shooting per game in the series and that other trio isn't averaging 15-23 from 3. Steph's performance wasn't LeBron going for 51 on 19-32 shooting in G1 of the 2018 finals. And while I'm not rooting for Boston in the series, I actually bet on them because I couldn't believe they were +130 to win the series.