soccer10k
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Everything posted by soccer10k
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For those that pay attention closer, is this year just a fluke year with the SEC being really good and the ACC being down and the Big 10 not being that great? Looking at the rankings and the SEC has 5 of the top 8 plus 11 and 15. Meanwhile the only ACC team in the top 25 is Duke and the highest ranked Big 10 team is MSU at 12. Normally there’s like 1 or 2 good SEC teams and that’s it.
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My first instinct was a kind of want to bet the over. 51-111 is still an awful team and that gets the over. At the same time, that’s still a 10 game improvement which is a lot for a team that hasn’t done anything except trade away their best SP.
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Buffalo better win tomorrow because we deserve to get Allen vs Jackson next weekend.
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The counter to that is the last six years their QB's have been Russell Wilson and Justin Fields Kenny Pickett Kenny Pickett Big Ben at 39 Big Ben at 38 Mason Rudolph (Big Ben got hurt) And because they don't tank, it makes it harder to get a top QB.
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Glad these two games have been close. Hopefully the title game is too.
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It just didn’t seem worth the risk. ND still had all three timeouts so there’s a scenario where they pin you back at the 5, you run three times and punt the ball right back to them and ND gets it back at midfield. If your offense had moved the ball all game then sure, go for it. But with how they’d struggled to throw the ball all game, I don’t think the potential reward was worth the risk. Obviously you don’t bank on Allar throwing a pick there but that’s not the only thing that can go wrong.
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So your QB is 11-20 for 139 yards (before the interception) and rather than just go to OT, you choose to run the hurry up offense starting at your own 20 with less than a minute left? I mean I get you have 2 timeouts but in that scenario I think you're better off just going to OT.
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Derwood talking about the Reid coaching tree as if it’s the Belichick coaching tree. Now that’s a disaster. I believe Bill O’Brien is the only one with a winning record as a head coach and he was only 52-48.
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The Chiefs will win the title while winning all three games by a combined 10 points or less with an inexplicable big play going their way late in the 4th quarter of each game.
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The Jets...
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Well you said "doors blown off in the first half" and the second Notre Dame touchdown you refer to was in the second half. I'd add that is largely irrelevant anyway because it was a kickoff return touchdown which, like I said about the Texas one, is fluky. That's not one team outplaying another or coming out flat or being rusty. It's a fluky play. Georgia-Notre Dame was 6-3 with 30 seconds left and if Kirby Smart just kneels on the ball like he probably should have, that's the halftime score. So it's way more disingenuous to say Notre Dame blew the doors off Georgia in the first half. That's just flat out wrong. As for Boise, again, were they flat or were they just not that good? They're 31st in Sagarin and 27th in Massey. Yes that comes after getting hammered by Penn State, but I doubt that one loss caused them to drop that much. I mean, if you just want to look at the line score which shows halftime leads of 26, 14, 10 and 10 and use that to form your opinions while ignoring how the first half of the latter three games actually played out, well you do you.
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1. Oregon 2. Georgia 3. Texas 4. Penn St 5. Notre Dame vs. 12. Clemson 6. Ohio St vs. 11. Arizona St 7. Tennessee vs. 10. SMU 8. Indiana vs. 9. Boise St. Only Ohio St is a favorite over Texas in all likelihood in the QF, which is better spread-wise than what we got. Oregon is a big favorite over Indiana/Boise, Georgia is favored, especially since we saw them beat Tennessee already this year. ND is -1.5 over Penn State for their upcoming game but that's a neutral site so PSU is probably favored in Happy Valley.
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I don’t agree at all that rust caused the four teams with byes to lose in the QF. Also, only 1 team for their doors blown off in the first half (Oregon). Boise was down 10. They weee 11.5 point underdogs so you’d expect them to be down 6 at half. So is them being down 10 due to rust or were they just playing a better team? Arizona St was down 17-3. They were 13.5 point underdogs so you’d expect them to be down 7. They also were only down 14 due to a punt return TD (fluky) and outgained Texas in the first half. Georgia was down 13-3 solely due to Kirby Smart having his backup QB drop back from his own 25 with 33 seconds left and the result being a strip sack which led to a TD. So that was essentially a 6-3 halftime score. I don’t know what happened to Oregon. Could it have been rust? Sure I suppose. But to say all the home teams got their doors blown off in the first half due to rust is just wrong and you’re likely overreacting to one years worth of results. Going back to the 2009 season (so the 2010 playoffs) NFL teams with a bye are 39-13. If it were that much of a disadvantage to have a bye, wouldn’t we have seen a trend in the NFL by now? Keep it at 12, give the top 4 teams a bye regardless of whether or not they won their conference title, guarantee the top-5 conference champs a spot and let this play out for a couple years.
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So your solution to three of the four QF games not being close is to invite more undeserving teams? The solution is to just give the best four teams byes. I don’t think the long layoff had much to do with it I think it was fluky in that the 3 and 4 seeds were huge underdogs, the 2 seed was playing its backup QB and the 1 seed got stuck playing a team that should have been seeded higher. Give the 5 conference champs auto bids but then seed them where they are among the 12 teams in the field. If that means they’re seeded 10-11-12 (not that they necessarily would have been this year) and they don’t get a home game, oh well. Also, Clemson, ASU and Boise were certainly rewarded for winning their conference title games because none of those teams are in if they lose that game.
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I thought he was questioning you calling all four of the remaining teams blue bloods. It didn't even register to me either that Texas is in the SEC. So you're definitely not the only one.
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He originally had Texas -2 before sending out a new tweet later with OSU -6.
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Oregon looks awful.
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That's a shame. Texas didn't deserve to win that one and I look forward to betting against them next week.
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Perfect inside of 40 on the year but it's off the upright. LOL.
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Texas's offense sucks and it would be hilarious if they blew this game. The only reason their winning is because of a punt return TD, a missed FG and a turnover on downs at the 2 right before the safety. 5 minutes left in the game and they have 210 yards of offense.
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I don’t know what you guys were watching but that game told me Alabama was certainly a playoff team. I mean like Ohio St, they too showed they could lose a close low scoring game to Michigan.
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Seems like a fluky year more than anything. In 2023, only 4 teams had 4 or fewer wins and only 7 had 6 or fewer wins. Only 4 teams had 12 or more and only one of those was 13-4. In 2022, only 4 teams had 4 or fewer wins and only 7 had 6 or fewer wins. Only 7 teams had 11 or more wins.
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It's pretty wild. Even before they started losing, the underlying numbers weren't good but they didn't suggest anything like this could happen. If City won each of their 20 remaining games, they'd end up with 88 points, which would be enough to win only 1 of the last 8 EPL titles. Liverpool would also need 47 points from 21 games in that scenario to still win the title and they've picked up 42 from 17 so far.
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Hilariously bad decision from Pitt. They’re down 40-37 in the second OT and they have 3rd and goal from the 1. They direct snap to a WR and he tries to throw it and it’s incomplete. Probably should have been completed. Then on 4th and goal from the 1, they kick the FG to go to a third OT. So rather than a play from the 1 to win the game, Pitt chooses 1 play from the 3 which Toledo would then have their own chance from the 3 as well.
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Eh, Alabama/South Carolina/Ole Miss easily could have been blown out too. We had blowouts with the BCS and the 4 team playoff too.
