This is an excellent point that shouldn't be overlooked. Anytime you feel bad about this team, look at the Nats and that should make you feel a little bit better. We are a flawed team. Our starters are weak and our offense can be inconsistent at times. But the fact that we still have the best record in the NL shows you that every NL team has significant flaws. We're obviously not a lock to make the playoffs but we're looking pretty good. 538 has us at 93%, Fangraphs has us at 97% and BP has us at 95%ish (it was 96% but that's before today's game). So lets say 95%, which means there's a 1 in 20 shot of the Cubs going something like 17-22 or 16-23 (87 or 88 wins might not be enough). For the division, there's about a 1 in 4 or 1 in 5 shot we don't win it. That's certainly not nothing. But it also means we're probably 75% to win the division. As for the playoffs, if we make it, we only need four starters. Hamels and Hendricks appear to be a relatively solid 1-2. If you can get either Lester or Quintana going at all, that's 3. Then the 4th you just have a quick hook. In the Division Series, we'd have a day off after Game 4 so you can ride the pen if needed. Hopefully in the NLCS or WS (if we advance) you'd only need the 4th starter once (maybe twice in one of the series). We do have a pretty solid pen. And as bad as the offense has looked recently, they're still pretty good and capable of getting hot for a couple weeks at a time. It wouldn't be crazy for this team to go on a run.