I don't think they are "dead set" on Hester as the #1 receiver. Although, even if they spend their first pick on a WR, he likely won't be a #1 receiver right away, so Hester becomes #1 by default. The only way we'd have a different #1 is if we did something like sign Tory Holt. And if they're confident that Williams is the LT, and are looking for a RT, they might rather wait until the second round for Loaholt, rather than take someone like Britton at 18. I think the Bears could go multiple directions with the first few picks. Sure they could go multiple directions. But OT always has been, and still is, the most obvious glaring need. Smith talked up Hester emerging and performing as a number 1 late last year. They've shown no interest in what has been a fairly large number of available free agent WR. They could take one in the first, but I seriously doubt it. The offensive line is a place where you need 5 starters and probably at least 2 capable fill-ins. You only need 2 starting receivers and maybe 3 in any game. They need lineman and they need them badly. Smith almost always supports his players, ie- "Rex Grossman is our QB". I would never put too much stock into that. It could just be posturing. Besides Jerry always surprises in drafts. How many years did we clamor for a TE before we got Olsen. He never goes with an obvious need, and he certainly isn't afraid to pick a later pick with the intent that they will be a main contributor or starter. We may still go OT in round 1, but it will depend on whats there. If Maclin falls and Britton is the best OT, does Jerry pass that up? I don't think so, he takes a WR and waits in round two for someone like Loadholt or a Guard. If some really good DE or DT was available I wouldn't put it past Jerry to take him even though its not our most pressing need. Even a DB I could see Jerry picking if the value was right. I think the odds are WR:35%, OT:35%, Other/BPA:30%. As far as your point about needing 5 lineman and 2 WR: We have 1 WR good enough to start. We have 3 lineman who started every game last year, a first rounder, and a guy we gave a pretty decent sized contract to. Which one looks more complete? Finally, I think its much more likely that we find a starting OL in the second vs. a starting WR in the second.