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WrigleyField 22

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Everything posted by WrigleyField 22

  1. Eh, there's still the Tom Telescos of the world who unequivocally hit on QBs and still having everyone very much care about their other moves.
  2. So Bedard is better than Gretzky confirmed
  3. Im pretty doubtful you can get good enough to be close without also being inefficient first. Which perhaps begs the question of how me meausure efficiency in the first place. But no, they were doing things like spending huge on Quinn after one offseason and the supposed terrible cap situation Pace left behind lasted like 4 months (generously, it actually didn't exist). They weren't ever hamstung by having the deal, even if it didn't hit desired efficiency/results measures.
  4. For funsies: The net cost of Mack (because the claim was made that it saddled them, I'm also counting picks they got back at the end of the deal) Pick #24 equivalent (yes, just the one pick, everything else netted in value, any time value adjustments aside) 90M/4 years, 22.7M or about 12% of the average cap Cost of Sweat: pick number (insert your best guess) and 98/4, 24.5M if he plays the full deal, or an anticipated 10% of the value of the average cap.
  5. Man, I'm not sure you can make more a vibes statement than that. Once we see where that pick 2 lands, the total value of both those moves (draft capital + extension) are not gonna be magnitudes of difference. Plus Mack deal never really hamstrung them.
  6. Again the math's proving to be difficult.
  7. Flus can't add up percentages to 100%, maths is hard for him.
  8. This game has lived up to the sicko expectations
  9. Just has to be the least bad option (as bridge QBs are)
  10. Eh, let's not debase it down to extremes. There's plenty of plausible scenarios where he is your QB for 2024. You're basically asking if he can come out of this year comparable to end of 2021 Daniel Jones.
  11. I don't think I can be talked out of a top two pick at QB at this point. More interesting questions would be: 1. Could Fields play well enough to be a bridge to those QBs for a year (maybe like a Rivers/Brees scenario?) Or 2. If they land outside of the top 2, how agressive should they be in getting into the top two and/or accepting the 3rd/4th QB off board, or exploring other options altogether (like say a Kyler Murray if Cardinals finish top 2?). If picking 3rd or 4th QB insert Fields as bridge or punting long term decision scenario.
  12. I don't know if I can get behind the idea that certain decisions are defensible if that brain making the decision is attached to an arm incapable of making it.
  13. Cardinals really come down to Kyler Murray. Hopefully he balls out.
  14. Has there been reports about whether Stroud was their QB anyways? Maybe Houston still takes Stroud and Bears take a slightly worse trade down offer for Young on draft day, OR they end up with the other Houston trade (I guess technically that was the Stroud trade)
  15. It might be begging the question, but if Bears lose to Carolina, do they have a few likely wins left on the schedule? 🤣
  16. Even a Carolina W isn't looking as bad for SoS tie breaking as it did earlier. And later in the year it is, the more stable SoS should start to be. 10 teams have hit the 5 L mark. This is the SoS ranking from worst (highest pick) to best, with their current game behind rank Green Bay +2.5 Chicago +1.0 Tampa +2.5 Carolina +0.5 Denver +2.5 Los Angeles (Rams) +2.0 New York (Giants) +1.0 Arizona +0 Tennessee +2.0 New England +1.0 So their worst tie break scenarios for either pick have already picked up a couple games. When it comes to a team like NYG, NE, or ARI, they basically have that extra half game edge with the likely tie breaker. Anyways I said I wouldnt tank track again, so I officially hate myself.
  17. Eh, I don't know if a Bears L gets them much further, if at all, away from #1 pick than a W: Carolina loss: still just a half game "back" from Arizona Bears loss: one game back from Arizona The difference between each scenario is the bye week imbalance, and the fact Bears play Arizona, whereas Carolina doesn't. Either way, both teams are one L back from Arizona right now, but both positioned to win the tie breaker. So in any case you're hoping for Arizona to outplay one of them by a game the rest of the way.
  18. If you're gonna jump into tank rooting the rest of the way, might as well tack on this. Almost certain to control their #1 pick destiny if they lose out (since I don't think either Carolina or Arizona can realistically catch them in SoS)
  19. Plays his way to Green Bays slot / becomes next hall of fame / my nightmare
  20. That doesnt look right. Also Watt's are all fully guarantees, whereas looks like Sweat's aren't. If I have my math's right he has 4th highest % of full guarantee and 3rd highest % total guarantees. Effective value wise should slot in 5th richest amongst current top 10.
  21. So the guarantees are a lot but upon closer inspection, I don't hate the structure against Gary's. It should be noted Packers tend to operate as a "signing bonus are the only guarantees " standpoint, with really only Bengals as the other team in that camp. His contract reflects thst, but that can be good or bad. I tend to think it's limiting over time. The cashflows are very similar from years 2-4. Really the biggest difference is Sweat's 2025 salary vests in 2024 whereas Gary's doesnt until 2025.
  22. Yea, that AAV is fine, but those are big guarantees. I'll have to compare to other contracts, but that might be near tops of guarantee % for Edges. I'm not gonna dog him too much on the deal though. With the pick it's all together agressive, but on the contract front the Bears likely have a bad team premium they will pay until they are a good team
  23. At this point, the only real standard of Poles is "isn't Pace" Yeesh
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