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David

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Everything posted by David

  1. He was very good in both 02 and 05. He didn't just have one great year. In fact, the only year he was ineffective was last year, and he clearly wasn't right. We'll see, come April, if that is still the case or if this is just early spring training rust.
  2. Every team does. The key isn't not leaving guys on base, it's having lots of guys on base so that there's a greater likelihood of having guys on base when they do get the hits.
  3. I guess the announcers were right about Prior's velocity. :x Or Sullivan could have just been using them as a source. I doubt that it is uncommon. Or, even scarier, using US as a source. :shock:
  4. Hey, does anyone know what Prior's velocity looks like? I don't think anyone has asked yet.
  5. Not saying I disagree, but these guys got some pretty decent contracts from teams other than the Yankees: Beltran Soriano Arod Guerrero Yea, I'm not sure why the myth that the Yankees sign all the biggest free agents continues to persist.
  6. My only reply is that you can teach Ronny Cedeno to be more patient at the plate, yet he will never be able to slug like A-Rod. How do you account for the Adam Dunns and Mark Bellhorns of MLB? I'm not sure what you're asking. Adam Dunn's and Bellhorn's (or any ballplayer's) abilities are all the result of their approaches at the plate and their world class baseball talent. Obviously, Ronny's slugging (or his patience or his overall hitting ability) will never be at ARod's level. That doesn't make SLG independent from OBP or from batting average or even strikeouts, and certainly not from the hitter's actual approach to batting. They're all intertwined (to varying degrees) and are all the result of what the hitter is doing up there at the plate. Dunn's numbers are a result of an incredibly powerful swing, a very patient approach at the plate (both of which could lead to strikeouts), and an assload of hitting talent.
  7. Haven't been able to find the pic of him in a Cubs hat. Wish it would happen. Looks like it might be hard to get done, though.
  8. I'm not sure how it proves anything like that-anybody can be taught to take more walks at the expense of some of their hits. What San Diego is trying to do is instill plate discipline and make their hitters better, which I don't think this evidence has any proof for that at all. Edit: I do think plate discipline to a point is learned (some of it is natural, and some of it can be improved)-but this shows me very little except that they pushed their hitters to take more pitchers, which in a couple leagues caused high walks, high SO's, and very low AVG and SLG. That's not true at all. The high strike outs, low average, and slugging are independent of plate discipline. It shows how bad some of the players are in their system. Adam Dunn has high strikes, low average and great slugging. I can't agree with the bolded statement. While I in no way believe that lower AVG and SLG numbers are the result of their more patient approach at the plate (it probably has a lot to do with a lack of talent, by and large), they are definitely not independent of one another. They're all linked pretty closely as the result of a general approach at the plate.
  9. Nope. I just checked my program guide. Damn. Thanks.
  10. Anyone know if they're broadcasting this in HD? I highly doubt it, but it'd be nice.
  11. It's definitely Gail Fischer, not Kerry Sayers or Muskat.
  12. I agree Thirded.
  13. In an effort to save this from a lock - EDIT http://chicagosports.chicagotribune.com/sports/baseball/cubs/cs-070302cubs,1,1105071.story?coll=cs-home-headlines Too bad he didn't predict 120 wins this year.
  14. DLee has better numbers than ARam? and close to ARod? One season, sure. Let's see if he ever does that again. I sure hope so, but for the most part, those statements are inaccurate.
  15. IBL See thread in Social.
  16. It is so not cool that ARod is on the downhill part of his career now. I still picture him as the best young player in the game, yet he's pretty damn close to officially being "old" now. Another 5-6 years and he'll be near retirement. Don't even get me started on Kerry Wood or Kevin Garnett.. Their oldness makes me feel old. :?
  17. Especially if Prior proves effective and healthy this year.
  18. Am I the only one who laughed when reading this? Guilty.
  19. I've already stated multiple times (as have others) that past MLB performance and minor league numbers would give you the information you need to make that determination about whether or not a player is capable of eclipsing the breakeven point. You then have proceeded to try and counter this by saying that in a world where nobody ever steals, there is no data. OK, fine. If we really were advocating NEVER stealing (which we absolutely aren't), why on earth would we need to know the success rate anyways??
  20. Now that I could see. But, you still need somebody to steal for you to get the information to make the % move. I agree with dav when he says to steal in the minors but still, that doesn't give you that golden number to go by to be able to make sure you have that exact 70% or above type success. Goony, what happens if everyone in MLB feels this way. How do you get the correct barameter to judge this by? I really don't understand your question. He's saying that in some crazy scenario where nobody stole ever (in the MLB or minors), there would be no way to know the success rate of basestealers. Close enough?
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