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David

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Everything posted by David

  1. David
    If the Cubs win, what would that mean in terms of dollars? I'm guessing, if vance's reasoning is correct, it would mean an Oswalt-like one year salary. According to ESPN.com, he's making 11,000,000.
  2. David
    Aramis arrived at camp today. They just mentioned it in passing on the Score update. Guess it was much ado about nothing, anyway. ARam bashers are going to have to find something else to jump on. I'm sure they'll be all over the pictures to see if he's fat or something.
  3. David
    Well, to be fair, the 69 team did win 92 games. They just didn't finish in first. And they didn't have the benefit of playing in a more inclusive playoff system like nowadays. It wasn't because they were great at sac-fly RBIs, though. Still, it's pretty sad that Cubs fans still talk about the 69 team. At least as Bears fans we have 1985, which is at least under 3 decades ago. And they actually won a championship. It's pretty crazy when you think about it... A team that started out hot and collapsed late in the season... Doesn't that happen all the time? Hell, in 2001 and 2004 it happened to the Cobs. Yet people still talk about that team all the time. I guess it's also because they had a few future HOFers. Still, I don't get it. Maybe it's because I'm younger.
  4. David
    Stitch was clearly trying to lighten up the thread by making an Office Space reference. I highly doubt he was actually trying to criticize Aramis with his line about doing "the minimum."
  5. David
    He gave up 40 million dollars to stay with the Cubs. He can show up April 1 for all I care I disagree. I hope he made arrangements with Piniella to show up at some point tonight (if he hasn't already made an apperance. A la Carlos calling Lou on the 14th to tell him he'd be there by 8pm). Aramis needs to be in camp on time to workout and get re-focused. Besides, he looked out of shape to me at his press conference. Whether he's a day or two late to camp or not isn't going to change that. Either he was working out and getting in shape at home, or he wasn't.
  6. David
    He gave up 40 million dollars to stay with the Cubs. He can show up April 1 for all I care I say it's 40 million reasons to show up early. The $40 million that he passed up on in favor of staying with the Cubs?
  7. David
    Exactly what IMB said. Plus, even if the hitter was trying to hit a home run, it's not a zero-sum proposition. The hitter could, quite obviously, wind up with a positive result that isn't a home run, even if he was trying to hit a home run (which, incidentally, probably doesn't happen all that often).
  8. David
    It was obvious that by 99% I was just saying "vast majority" and not referencing some advanced statistical study on base stealing. That didn't really need any explaining. Are you implying that this is an actual opinion that you hold? I'm confused. Anyway, this is a stupid offshoot of the actual argument, so unless you have anything else to add, I think we can both agree that this is going nowhere. My point is that if something has a low percentage of working why keep doing it? It's a very bad comparison.
  9. David
    What is wrong with how Floyd performed two years ago? Nothing, if you don't mind how Sosa performed 2 years ago. :wink: I'm assuming you mean 3 years ago?
  10. David
    You know, there is a difference between an actual study done with real numbers, and then something like this, that you just got flustered and made up. I LOLed... Anyway, a hitter shouldn't go up to the plate trying to hit a home run or trying to hit a single. For the most part, he should just try to hit the ball hard, and let the rest sort itself out once the ball leaves his bat.
  11. David
    Back up what? Your numbers helped prove my point by saying that if the situation exists you can help your team score. I didn't see it say that you can't steal 3rd and if you did 100% of the time it hurts your team. I saw 92.7 which means that if you do it correctly you can take advantage. Also, these numbers are flat across the board numbers and doesn't pertain to certain situations/matchups. How many players out there can you count on to steal 3B with a 93% rate of success?? Even a 70% rate of success stealing 3rd is tough to achieve.
  12. David
    Wade Miller Is that what the caption says? Yup.
  13. David
    Wade Miller
  14. David
    That's nowhere near true. It proved that stealing 3rd is only slightly more stupid than stealing 2nd when there are no outs, a little less stupid with 1 out, and far more stupid with 2 outs. How many players can actually steal 3rd base at even a 70% clip? Much less a 75% or 93% rate?
  15. David
    The chances of scoring by being on 3rd as opposed to 2nd aren't improved enough to outweigh the negative of the likelihood of being thrown out and killing the rally altogether.
  16. David
    For my 3500th post, I will just say that I agree with IMB! that attempting to steal 3B is a bad idea 999 times out of 1000.
  17. David
    It was actually named after the owner, not the company. I was really just being a smartass. :) But, I mean, that's pretty much splitting hairs, IMO. The company is named after the owner too, after all.
  18. David
    I think he was just joking with you. Everyone here needs to chill a little bit, damn.
  19. David
    Wrigley has never been a place free of visual ad clutter. Fans have always had enormous, impossible to miss ads. no, no, but the Budweiser house and Torco signs are CHARMING and HISTORIC and FULL OF OLDE THYME AMBIANCE and don't forget the name Wrigley Field. That's charming. Certainly, not the name of any big corporation or anything...
  20. David
    He really does... And I'm going to reiterate just how great it is to see Mark Prior actually throwing baseballs off a mound in the first week of spring training.
  21. David
    New pics http://us.news2.yimg.com/us.yimg.com/p/ap/20070219/capt.azmg20702191859.cubs_spring_baseball_azmg207.jpg http://us.news2.yimg.com/us.yimg.com/p/ap/20070219/capt.azmg20302191840.cubs_spring_baseball_azmg203.jpg http://us.news2.yimg.com/us.yimg.com/p/ap/20070219/capt.azmg20102191830.cubs_spring_baseball_azmg201.jpg http://us.news2.yimg.com/us.yimg.com/p/ap/20070219/capt.azmg20602191857.cubs_spring_baseball_azmg206.jpg http://us.news2.yimg.com/us.yimg.com/p/ap/20070219/capt.azmg20502191855.cubs_spring_baseball_azmg205.jpg http://us.news2.yimg.com/us.yimg.com/p/ap/20070219/capt.azmg20402191851.cubs_spring_baseball_azmg204.jpg
  22. David
    The graph you linked to just shows BA. If you look at his OBP and SLG numbers, he has always been significantly more productive against righties, and I don't think it's much of a stretch to say that in terms of OPS, if he only plays against righties, he could meet and exceed last year's overall production fairly easily.
  23. David
    Even if Jones sits 80% of the time against left-handers (which I fully support and hopefully it's even more than that) he likely will still have the most-at bats because he has an advantage on the other two outfielders with starting against right-handers (Murton because he is right-handed, and Floyd because Floyd would be terrible defensively in RF). Even with Jones getting the most at-bats though, if they are sitting him against left-handers the Cubs outfield will be incredibly productive. I don't expect Jones to come close to the numbers he posted last year, except OBP. http://www.fangraphs.com/graphs.aspx?playerid=735&position=OF&page=0&type=full Fangraphs also has an article on Big Z (not optimistic). http://www.fangraphs.com/ If Jones sits against the vast majority of lefties, his numbers will probably exceed last year's.
  24. David
    Even if Jones sits 80% of the time against left-handers (which I fully support and hopefully it's even more than that) he likely will still have the most-at bats because he has an advantage on the other two outfielders with starting against right-handers (Murton because he is right-handed, and Floyd because Floyd would be terrible defensively in RF). Even with Jones getting the most at-bats though, if they are sitting him against left-handers the Cubs outfield will be incredibly productive. Good point. I probably should've worded that better. I agree completely.
  25. David
    I sure hope Jones doesn't get the most AB's. I'm still holding out hope that he'll sit the vast majority of the time against lefties. The recent quotes from Piniella about being open to platoons and about working out/using Theriot and DeRosa in the OF provide reason for a little optimism, IMO.
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