Transmogrified Tiger
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Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger
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Feels like that phrase means the opposite of it's intention when applied to Lackey. -
When do they face the Reds bullpen? welp, see ya later
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you know what i don't want the Cubs to score if they win the world series people will forget right away, but if they're the team who never scores, they'll live forever yep, that's it
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if Toles breaks his bat and singles home a run here I might have to go on a long walk
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I don't think anyone in the world actually knows what a balk is If you start towards the plate and then throw to first, it's a balk.
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100% balk more of a balk in that every LHP pickoff move is a balk, but first base umpires are cowards
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how many runs do we get for picking the guy off 2nd isn't it like 3
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it doesn't matter if it hits the ground first guys
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at least only bad things can happen until we get to hit again
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I honestly don't care if Lackey gives them right back at this point, please just score a couple runs
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I'm already pre-emptively ready to be furious about this
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Would it be suicide for Kershaw to pitch, lets say, 5 innings in Game 6 and then come on in relief for 2 innings in Game 7? Or would Roberts be that desperate to risk it? If we reach a game 6 and Kershaw only pitches 5 innings in it, there are non-trivial odds there isn't a game 7. If the Cubs win tonight I'd say those odds go from non-trivial to probable.
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[tweet] [/tweet] Bad news is that it looks like Roberts won't be dumb enough to repeat his SP mistakes from the NLDS, but that does up the odds of going home up 3-2 quite a bit.
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Yep, with a lefty starter you're going out of your way to get Almora and/or Ross in the lineup if you deviate. Ross had a good year against lefties, but probably not so good to jump through hoops to get rid of Heyward or Russell's glove(and the latter's offensive potential). Also Urias will be done by the 5th anyway so you want as neutral a lineup as you can get. HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHA YEAH RIGHT Urias recorded an out in the 6th inning in 5 of his 15 starts. He failed to finish the 5th in 6 of 15 starts. He hasn't thrown 4 innings or 80 pitches in an outing in a month and a half. In his professional career he has not taken the mound in the 7th inning of a start. He's been handled so carefully that his previous IP high was 87 and he is now at 124. He is not pitching deep into this game.
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Yep, with a lefty starter you're going out of your way to get Almora and/or Ross in the lineup if you deviate. Ross had a good year against lefties, but probably not so good to jump through hoops to get rid of Heyward or Russell's glove(and the latter's offensive potential). Also Urias will be done by the 5th anyway so you want as neutral a lineup as you can get.
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[tweet] [/tweet]
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The important thing to keep in mind is that measures damage when that particular pitch is thrown. So if the Cubs lay off curve balls out of the zone and then hammer fastballs, that's not reflected. Eyeballing the game logs of the highest curveball users, I don't see much sustained success. There's a couple guys that had one good start against the Cubs(Pomeranz, Koehler, Moore), a few that the Cubs dominated(Wainwright) and mostly guys who gave up 3 runs in 5-6 innings(Gio Gonzalez, Quintana, Eickhoff).
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Yep, I think it's the length of the series. And that I'm relatively optimistic about Kershaw on 3 days rest v. Lester on regular rest.
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I momentarily forgot that the 2003 NLCS would fall in this category, and would not have expected to laugh so hard when I was reminded.
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Such a tedious thought process. The Urias that the Cubs crushed wasn't real because he hadn't started a bunch of games, but the recent Urias who hasn't seen the 5th inning since football season started doesn't count because the Cubs(the best team in baseball against LHP who already torched him once) are bad. The Cubs could very easily lose 2 in a row and their season could be over. That doesn't make the bizarro freakouts about the Cubs being pathologically incapable of hitting breaking balls to be true.
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8 pitchers had at least 100 IP and an ERA below 2.80. 2 of them pitch for the Cubs, and those two have a 1.56 ERA in their 4 starts. The Cubs have faced 4 of the other 6 in their 7 playoff games. In those other 3 games the Cubs have 19 runs, 6+ per game.
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I'm halfway through anger-eating a bag of M&Ms and hating myself for letting a game impact me this much, and I still can't even fathom the things people do to try and find their way to pessimism. Julio Urias isn't similar to Rich Hill. Hill throws 2 pitches, Urias fairly evenly mixes in 4. Hill had a 2.12 ERA, Urias's is higher than John Lackey's. Urias has already had an outing where the Cubs bombed him into oblivion. He hasn't thrown more than 3.2 innings in 46 days. The Dodgers preferred to send both Kershaw and Hill on 3 days rest than let him start in the NLDS. He is undeniably talented and has had a strong outing against the Cubs, but spare me the 'likely loss' stuff.
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There's a gap of some size between 'suck' and 'not Jon Lester'. Somewhere in that gap is 'John Lackey v. the Dodgers', so you let him go(with a parade of lefties ready in relief) against the worst Dodger starter and let Lester go on normal rest where he can be the best version of himself he can be.
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Starting Lester in Game 4 will make me want to scream into a pillow, a capper on a truly garbage baseball day You are smart. Why is it such a bad idea when the dodgers are a completely different team against LHP? They are like the 95 Indians against righties and the....206 NLCS Cubs against lefties. Ok maybe that's a liiitle bit extreme but I don't trust us to win 3 of 4 games when 3 of the games will be started by right handed pitching. It's a bit of a gamble because of the 3 days but I feel better knowing Lester is going 2 more times. He's had a really light work load lately. Now you respond with 500 reasons why my thinking is all wrong and change my mind Because Jon Lester is not Jon Lester on 3 days rest, and Jon Lester is especially not Jon Lester when you start him back to back on 3 days rest. It's especially because of the latter that you don't do it, because you either start Lester doing his best Lackey equivalent in Game 7, or you have a need to start Lackey anyway prior to that point.
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It's going to be Lackey. That's what he wants you to think. Pulled after 77 pitches in game 1, last chance to get 3 starts by LHP in the series, Dodgers hit 175 points of OPS less against lefties, Cubs in a situation where it's not must win but probably should win, every other manager is abusing their starters and having success etc Have lackey go against kershaw in game 5, maybe he will have a chip on his shoulder and match him. Starting Lester in Game 4 will make me want to scream into a pillow, a capper on a truly garbage baseball day
