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Transmogrified Tiger

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  1. this is when we get to cash in our bonus outs right we were better than the Indians by 9 games so it's the 7th for them
  2. okay Kyle you get the bottom of the order in the 4th then Lester for 2.
  3. The dichotomy between the unshakeable perception that Hendricks is on the verge of complete failure and also that he's a Greg Maddux clone every time he does well is hilarious.
  4. He'll be on RF duty, not much to screw up there. Tonight's home plate ump, Sam Holbrook, appears to be the best in this crew: http://www.hardballtimes.com/mlb-umpires-2016-review-world-series-preview/
  5. The Argument for Starting David Ross in Game 7 Considering this is an AL game I'd probably play it like this: - Start Montero, he has a better shot of hitting Kluber and you don't lose much defensively compared to Contreras(less arm, more framing) - When the catcher's spot comes up against Miller or whenever Lester comes into the game(whichever comes first), insert Ross. He's already seen Miller once and gave him a good at bat, and naturally he's well equipped to catch Lester - If needed, pinch hit Contreras for Ross against Allen. By that time we should be to Chapman's portion of the game so the consideration is getting runs if you need them. That said, using 3 catchers for 9 innings is pretty unorthodox. Considering that Baez and Heyward are likely starting for mostly defensive purposes though, I don't know if you want to forfeit another lineup spot against Kluber by starting Ross.
  6. Kluber had 9 starts of 32 this season where he gave up 4 ER or more, 2 of them in September. For reference, Arrieta had 8 such starts. Hendricks had 3.
  7. Addendum: Chapman throwing 1+ inning on 0 days rest, career: 15 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 24/0 K/BB, 1 HBP
  8. For anyone curious Chapman on 0 days rest this year after throwing 20+ pitches the day before, including postseason: 5.2 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 9/0 K/BB, 0 HR The one outing with a run was in Coors Field, and was his 4th outing in 4 days(both games of a double header, day off, 24 pitch outing, then that outing). If you expand it to throwing 15+ pitches the day before: 14.2 IP, 6 H, 1 ER, 21/2 K/BB, 0 HR
  9. If you know of a place where I can bet against Chapman pitching poorly over 2 innings tomorrow, you let me know. i'm gonna guess the odds of him pitching poorly tomorrow are higher than the 1 in 1000 odds that the cubs blew a 7 run lead in the 9th inning. Maddon's biggest mistake was not having someone warming up prior to Rizzo's HR. That cost him 5 pitches. With there being literally no more tomorrow, that's going in the category of "not ideal, but not worth defcon 1 freakout" for me.
  10. he's thrown 60 pitches in 3 days. that's not nothing, and if he's needed to throw 2 innings tomorrow and pitches poorly, it will be very fair to question his usage tonight. If you know of a place where I can bet against Chapman pitching poorly over 2 innings tomorrow, you let me know.
  11. All the handwringing and Chapman throws 20 pitches. Should be more than fine to throw 2 very effective innings tomorrow. Almost literally nothing lost.
  12. oh this is ice cold [tweet]https://twitter.com/cubs/status/793621530219540482[/tweet]
  13. The entire series has been identical for me. Pregame: "eh, if they lose it happens, I like their odds but baseball, etc" The moment the Cubs give up a hit or make an out: "come on you idiots I am DYING here" I've discovered that if you get hung up on every play going your way - every pitch to the Cubs you either want called a ball or to be a meatball down the middle, every ball in play you want to be a hit, every ball in play the opponents hit you want to be an out... there are so many of these plays in baseball that you'll only make yourself miserable. Easier said than done, I know.
  14. The entire series has been identical for me. Pregame: "eh, if they lose it happens, I like their odds but baseball, etc" The moment the Cubs give up a hit or make an out: "come on you idiots I am DYING here" i'm basically on edge as soon as the game starts...then i relax at the first good play we have. then if we are losing i actually WANT to be dying. The moment we have a lead I start playing count the outs and then I realize there's like 21 at least and I want the sweet release of death
  15. The entire series has been identical for me. Pregame: "eh, if they lose it happens, I like their odds but baseball, etc" The moment the Cubs give up a hit or make an out: "come on you idiots I am DYING here"
  16. I'd be half tempted to say "if it's not on the inner half, do not swing under any circumstance"
  17. No problems with Lackey the reliever, I'd rather Edwards and Grimm get their shot first though. Or in other words, sell out with the true relievers to try to win the game in 9, and let Lackey be your insurance policy in extra innings instead of Rondon/Strop/Wood.
  18. Neither Arrieta or Tomlin pitched with West behind the plate this year, so not sure if there's much to take away other than that West couldn't derail SuperJake. That heatmap is promising though, Arrieta is way more likely to try to bust righties inside(even though he'll only face 2-3), and if Tomlin can't get low fastballs called a strike then a diving curveball is easier to lay off. In general a tighter zone slightly favors the Cubs too, who have a more patient and powerful offense and the starter with better stuff.
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