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Transmogrified Tiger

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  1. [tweet] [/tweet]
  2. The real question is whether Theo wants to push Javy plus the rest of our farm system. I think it's more likely he tries to trade Soler for a slightly better version of Montgomery. Agreed. I've been talking myself into a deal for someone like Odorizzi or Bauer if they can avoid touching anyone better than Soler from the MLB team(and Eloy from the farm). Although they might be more willing to gamble on health if they're only giving up a Soler caliber lead piece, at which point names like Smyly, Manaea, or someone from Arizona(Ray? Corbin?) come into play.
  3. best Jordan flu game ever imo
  4. Schwarber isn't a terribly unreasonable ask if we're talking about Archer, but not one that's going to happen.
  5. Here's the thing about Blackmon that confuses me, he's 3 months younger than Fowler. Everything then becomes a point of comparison in that light. Blackmon doesn't have a pre-FA deal so you're basically trading for him on a 2/22 deal or so if MLBTR's estimates are to believed. Is the trade cost worth it when you can give Fowler 4 years instead? Blackmon doesn't really fit the front office's MO at the top of the order with his walk rate either. That said, the Rockies look like they have decent options pretty much everywhere and OF is where they have the most depth(unless you include the rotation, which no not really especially for the Rockies). I wonder if they'd be interested in Rondon? His repertoire would work better than the average reliever in Coors, and they sure aren't going to buy a closer of his caliber. Other potential Rockies matches might be Almora to serve as a platoon partner/hedge for any of Tapia, Dahl, or Blackmon. I'm a little fascinated by Gerardo Parra myself, I wonder what caused his defense to collapse outside Arizona(the fact that they'd probably give away his contract is the large part of the appeal). And if you're making a deal that the Rockies need to add more to, I like the cut of Carlos Estevez's jib.
  6. [tweet]https://twitter.com/tomfornelli/status/802726832521052160[/tweet]
  7. Montero has very little trade value with his contract, so trading him either nets you no savings, no real return, or both. Montero hit very well once he made his David Ortiz swing change, September + postseason: .258/.317/.476/.783 Montero is a great framer and game caller. Montero is a left handed hitter, a relative rarity that makes pairing with a RH starting C easier. There are no obvious good backup C candidates in FA. Montero does have problems with base stealers, costing 10 baserunners from average over 66 attempts. He also spends a disproportionate amount of time catching Arrieta though. If that's the only flaw, I'm not seeing much motivation to try and displace him given the benefits he brings and the lack of benefits in getting rid of him. If they end up making a big trade and a backup C comes in the return then maybe, but that's something that's driven by circumstance more than a dedicated search for a new backup.
  8. just kidding I made a stupid math mistake, they might be north of 50 WAR already for 2017
  9. [tweet] [/tweet] Just from eyeballing the two lists, it looks like the depth chart will come in the neighborhood of 45 WAR. Last year's depth chart had 50 fWAR and didn't include Fowler displacing Soler, so they've got some work to do to match the expectation. Last year the Dodgers at 46 were the only NL depth chart above 41 WAR.
  10. I think roster spots become a consideration with the bullpen at a certain point, although I guess if it's a 26 man roster then that spot has to go somewhere. In a 7 man pen you're looking at Rondon, Strop, Grimm, Edwards, the Strop or better acquisition, Montgomery(or a LHRP), and probably Zastryzny as the last guy(2nd LHP, multi-inning, and most importantly optionable).
  11. The bare minimum: - a LH platoon outfielder, preferably CF unless the FO really wants Heyward logging time there - a reliever of Strop's caliber - a SP option of 2016 Montgomery's caliber The upgrade path: - a starting CF - a closer-caliber reliever(I realize I'm splitting hairs since Strop is pretty good, but I hope you'll see the intent) - a SP option better than Lackey with team control Odds are you can go the upgrade path on 2 of the 3 but not all 3. Also what you do to tackle those 3 might open up smaller holes that need patched, like a reserve SS if Baez is traded.
  12. Starlin Castro could put up a 5 WAR season in his dreams maybe Poor man's? wtf lol castro has barely sniffed a season as good as Segura's second best. Castro never got to hit in Arizona for 80 games either. Castro's career wRC+ is better and UZR likes him ever so slightly more at SS too. But 'poor man's version' might be an overstatement, it's certainly possible Segura's coming valley won't be as deep. EDIT: Put another way, entering this season, Segura had a *career* .290 wOBA and 78 wRC+, which is nearly identical to 2015 Castro.
  13. Segura is a poor man's Starlin Castro, traded after a peak instead of a valley like Castro was.
  14. I believe davell was referring to Roberto Osuna, the Blue Jay pitcher. Marcell Ozuna is a decent player, although it looks like ideally he's more of a corner OF than a CF.
  15. Next year might be scarier with Lodeiro, hopefully Clint, Morris, and probably a DP winger. Set Roldan and Alonso behind those 4 with the center backs they have and they'll win a lot of games.
  16. Was the call incorrect because it wasn't grounding, or was it incorrect because it shouldn't have given the opponent an untimed down?
  17. It's nothing short of miraculous that the Sounders went on this run with one DP hurt and another playing like a 15 minute holdup play sub.
  18. how in the world is that not a straight red I don't know how many patty cake straight reds I saw this year because it came at the neck level, and that's a yellow?
  19. Update on negotiations that's worth a read: http://www.foxsports.com/mlb/story/labor-peace-lockout-collective-bargaining-agreement-owners-players-baseball-112216 The language is a little alarmist, but I imagine that's half posturing on both sides at this point. Most interesting to me is that the union is going to bat over an international draft.
  20. James' projections are a lot like those you see inside an ESPN fantasy draft, where everyone is somehow on track to be better than last year and if they were accurate then the league average OPS would be like .900.
  21. As long as they're comfortable with Gardner's ability to play CF, I'm okay with sending a marginal prospect to get him. This actually seems like it might be Underwood's time to shine, since it'll take something at least half interesting to get the Yankees to bite considering they can afford to pay Gardner if they want. This also assumes Gardner wouldn't undermine any other efforts on the pitching staff by taking up 13 million, but I doubt that'll be a problem. I think I saw Ellsbury's name pop up in a similar vein too(I don't recall if it was w/ the Cubs specifically). On the field he's probably about the same as Gardner(same age, similar profile), but 4/90 is a much more bitter pill to swallow.
  22. Cameron Carter-Vickers was in camp for these last two games but hasn't been cap-tied yet. Considering he's an English dual national instead of German like so many others have been(Jones, Green, Zelalem) and that he's right on the cusp of playing time at the moment, I don't think Klinsmann getting fired makes a huge difference. I'm not an expert though, so maybe others have more context. Lynden Gooch just got cap-tied this past week, so from a search it looks like the next best option that isn't cap-tied would be Mexican dual national defender Villafana? Again, I'm not the most knowledgeable at this world so maybe there's others I'm missing.
  23. Bauer has 4 years, Odorizzi has 3. Odorizzi I probably still like better as a pitcher, but if you think his HR problem is more structural to him than the Rays, or that he won't be able to start getting righties out(he has a very odd reverse split), then Bauer is close enough to be as attractive an option, especially when you consider the team control and likely player cost.
  24. Wahl says Arena the likely replacement, possibly announced as soon as tomorrow. Good. Thanks for the dual national recruits Jurgen, maybe someone else can do something with them.
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