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Transmogrified Tiger

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Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger

  1. Transmogrified Tiger
    I'm not a doctor, but it seems like your stomach is a bad place to try to grow bones.
  2. Transmogrified Tiger
    I won't be naive enough to think that no one will do something stupid at some point, but I do think there's a difference in the novelty. Fukudome was coming to MLB from Japan and was the first major player the Cubs have had from Japan, Darvish has been here for 6 years and pitched in Wrigley in the playoffs last year.
  3. Transmogrified Tiger
    Might they also land a high quality arm with the compensation pick for Arrieta? Maybe, but that guy isn't going to be a factor at the MLB level until 2021 in all likelihood.
  4. Transmogrified Tiger
    The distinction is that they're trying to stay in the green this year so they can fly into the red next year with less worry. Depending on their tolerance for total payroll and the penalties for luxury tax they might have to make a tweak to fit in Harper's deal(like selling off the last year of Zobrist's deal by attaching a prospect), but already being in the red for 2019 is not a large concern.
  5. Transmogrified Tiger
    Also, an opt out given to a 31 year old SP for 2+ years into a top of the market contract might as well not exist. I don't care if the Luxury tax magically goes up by 50 million tomorrow and he wins the Cy Young the next 2 years, Darvish isn't opting out.
  6. Transmogrified Tiger
    An understated result of this offseason's moves is the SP depth being built up beyond this year. The 2019 team has: Quintana Darvish Hendricks Lester Chatwood Smyly Montgomery All under contract, plus Alzolay, Mills, Tseng, and an outside shot at at one of the college pitchers making the leap. Even considering the toll the '18 season will likely take, that's way better a starting point than this offseason. Combined with there being no current gaps or departures on the position player side, it really lines up for next offseason to be Harper and miscellany moves.
  7. Transmogrified Tiger
    There's an off day every week until the 3rd week of June, so they'll be halfway to a 6 man rotation on that alone until nearly the all-star break, plus the early months are more rainout prone. That said, as founding member of the Start Montgomery PAC, I do not object one bit to him getting more innings.
  8. Transmogrified Tiger
    As long as it's not after 1 year he can have an opt out every year starting after 2019 for all I care. And I don't even care all that much about an opt out after 2018.
  9. Transmogrified Tiger
    Wait until Chatwood ends up being better than all of them. Lester re-enacting WS Game 7 for an entire postseason seems....good
  10. Transmogrified Tiger
    The Cubs now have 4 starters projected by ZiPS to be worth at least 3 wins. The rest of the NL Central combined has 2.
  11. Transmogrified Tiger
    Brewers: Hey Cubs, you scared that we got Yelich and Cain? Are ya? Also Brewers: We are terrified that our stadium will be overrun by Cubs fans in our most anticipated season in a decade.
  12. Transmogrified Tiger
    The NBA's competitive landscape may be broken beyond repair, but the video game trades sure are fun.
  13. Transmogrified Tiger
    Depending on your definition, Clark is the first former player to head the MLBPA, the only other possibility is when Bob Feller was President of The American Baseball Guild, which was pre-unionization. It's been labor lawyers running the show for the 55 years between Feller and Clark.
  14. Transmogrified Tiger
    [tweet] [/tweet] My favorite part about this tweet is that it gets *more* accurate when you replace "Cubs" with "Reds".
  15. Transmogrified Tiger
    I would imagine because Travis wants to make guaranteed money in 2019, and the Tigers offer wayyyy more opportunity for innings that he can use to make his case.
  16. Transmogrified Tiger
    Other NL competitors: Dodgers - 49 WAR Arizona - 34 WAR Colorado - 32 WAR Nationals are the one team with ZiPS yet to be released. And in the AL (which has an extra spot on the depth chart for DH): Houston - 52 WAR Cleveland - 48 WAR Boston - 46 WAR Yankees - 46 WAR Angels - 36 WAR In other words, the Cubs are a Darvish away from having the best on-paper team in baseball, maybe even if they *only* added Arrieta too.
  17. Transmogrified Tiger
    Hendricks is definitely going to be underrated by FIP-based WAR, but that probably balances out that Lester is probably a longer shot for 4 WAR himself.
  18. Transmogrified Tiger
    Depth chart comparison to the rest of the division: Cubs - 50 WAR Cardinals: 40 WAR Brewers: ~35 WAR (theirs came out pre-Yelich and Cain, but that 35 is probably the optimistic number) Reds: 32 WAR Pirates: ~30 WAR (theirs came out before the Cole/McCutchen trades, 30 is definitely the optimistic number)
  19. Transmogrified Tiger
    These two things are very, very closely related. Obviously, but there's still going to be a ton of discontent next offseason. Yeah, the big names will be signed sooner and for more money, but that's not going to fix the situation, especially in regards to stuff like the decreasing players' share becoming more and more of a thing everyone is aware of, or how badly players are getting screwed by rookie deals and FA being put off for so long. This is gonna get ugly. I agree, I said the same thing a few weeks ago. But the reason so many people are unsigned is *because* the top guys are unsigned, and there will probably be much greater urgency given the quality of FAs and willing participants next year. That's not going to make the MLBPA decide that everything is hunky dory, but it does make this particular issue a more ephemeral one.
  20. Transmogrified Tiger
    These two things are very, very closely related.
  21. Transmogrified Tiger
    We're in uncharted territory so there's room for either side to be logical, but I have a hard time seeing how 7 years is more likely than 4. Do we really think Darvish would have waited this long if he was sitting on a 6 year offer? And if he's not, how is he gonna get from 5 to 7? It strikes me much more likely that the lack of competition from high market teams forces him to maximize AAV over 4-5 years.
  22. Transmogrified Tiger
    [tweet] [/tweet] [tweet] [/tweet] [tweet] [/tweet] [tweet] [/tweet]
  23. Transmogrified Tiger
    Also, "I think simply being 25 or under is reason to guarantee a maintained or improved line, also I think the Cubs offense has a high potential for collapse" is some phenomenal logic.
  24. Transmogrified Tiger
    Watching BABIP regression tank Santana, Pham, Ozuna, and DeJong this season is gonna lead to so many 'who could have seen this coming?' retrospectives I'll have to make a scrapbook out of them.
  25. Transmogrified Tiger
    Oh is today the day where other teams try the Yankee playbook on this? "As can be clearly seen by Darvish(and 70 other free agents) waiting this long, he really wants to come to our team. The fact that there's been no news of any interest from the team is irrelevant, as they're working hard to clear the salary to get him, which you can see based on the fact that they [punches numbers in calculator] traded for Matt Kemp."
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