Transmogrified Tiger
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Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger
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Brach's success seems very closely tied to his velocity, and his velocity came back after a dip to start the year so I think he's as good a middle reliever bet as anyone. Morrow/Edwards/Strop/Cishek/Montgomery/Brach is very good depth, and a roll of the dice on health at the top end.
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Less about Pomeranz in particular, but any buy low candidate is going to be low for a good reason. You don't have to bank on 200 IP from Pomeranz or his proxy, but you also have internal options(Start Montgomery) and buy low options are easier to stack for cheap too. -
That is a super perfect illustration of why you don't give Hamels 20 million if you aren't going to go bonkers with the payroll.
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There is a chance Lester is in there too. 25 mill option with 10 mill buyout, option vests with 200 IP in '20 or 400 IP in '19 and '20 Rizzo's is technically an option too, but they aren't going to give 37 year old Lester that money. And he's at 180 IP each of the last 2 years so he's not gonna vest either.
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As a point of reference, the 2021 rotation is currently Darvish, Montgomery, Graveman, Alzolay, and you (yes, you). The 2021 offense has basically everyone you know and love on the precipice of free agency(Bryant, Rizzo, Baez, and Schwarber), with Happ, Almora, Contreras, Heyward still around beyond that year.
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I wouldn't think opportunity would be a big problem. He's gonna make the roster, and if nothing else Joe has the sliding scale of relievers he trusts late in games. To start I imagine he'd be soaking up innings in long relief, and if he's effective he'd move up the chain, like we've seen several folks do in the last couple years(2018 Wilson, for example).
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Cole you gave up 6 home runs in September too.
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The New York media sure thinks they know a lot about the inner secrets of the Cubs organization all of a sudden.
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There’s a really good Stockholm syndrome/mormon joke here that is just beyond my grasp
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They are similar to 2016 because they put Rizzo there for 25% of the season and he put up a .979 OPS at leadoff. It’s not high on the priority list but there is a lack of a good person for that role that gets a ton of PA. Zobrist is probably a better option than most reasonable external options though.
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By my count, the absolute maximum number of days Russell can spend on the roster is about 153. At least with the Cubs schedule, other teams might be a day or two different.
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4 very good relievers, 2 dead weights and the hope that Chatwood's brain isn't broken anymore, with Morrow on his way back. I want one more reliever personally, but unless someone else goes down(looking at you Carl) I think it's fine.
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They have to be thinking that Hamels is a near lock for 30 starts and 3+, maybe 4+ WAR. Otherwise they're in the category where a tactical buy-low addition gets you really close to Hamels production. To quote myself since literally nothing has happened since then:
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It is important to remember that the Cubs do still have the best roster in the division. It'd just be real nice if they pushed it back above the typical margin for error in those projections instead of doing nothing.
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So that podcast is just him telling the story of how he did it once the statute of limitations expires?
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Dabo's recruiting didn't really pick up til he won 10 games and went to the Orange bowl, and he's averaged more than 12 (!) wins per season since then. The rest of those teams are among the richest schools around who are recruiting heavyweights regardless of coach.
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I know you're not advocating for this route personally, but that is such a terrible course of action. Like shockingly inexcusably bad decision making from the front office. That's why this is so confusing. The more the offseason goes on and more relievers go off the board, the more it seems clear they're hamstrung financially. And if that's true, that means that the front office made easily the dumbest choice of their tenure in picking up Hamels, a choice so terrible that I can't help but try to think of other circumstances where it might otherwise make sense, given the front office's track record at not making inexplicably bad decisions.
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"Then why did you give Cole Hamels 20 million dollars", he screamed into a pillow in between shots of bleach
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I think it says the guy on the Yankees/Mets beat has no idea what the Cubs plan is.
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Minor League Musings
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Little Slide Rooter's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
Spin Rate is stolen bases for nerds, a secondary skill that is undeniably positive, but weighted way too highly by enthusiasts -
Ah, Javy may never be better than a 5+ win MVP candidate? Shame. Next-gen Placido Polanco
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*looks at forward list* Me too.
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His injuries may have played a role in that right? Somewhat, but he didn't get better after coming back from injury(6+ ERA in September), injuries beget injuries, and he'll be 34 by Memorial Day.
