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Transmogrified Tiger

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  1. Transmogrified Tiger
    Welcome to the Forum! I'd prefer Dunn to Pena in acquiring Reds OF's(I think they'd be more willing to trade Dunn too). Aurilia I want no part of. I'd rather see Cedeno play every day. He could likely put up similar numbers while assisting his development at no player cost.
  2. Transmogrified Tiger
    At what point do we start considering the Maddux factor with pitchers leaving Milwaukee? Turnbow, Bottalico, Kolb among others have kindled their careers in Milwaukee, and I'm not so sure it would continue outside of Wisconsin.
  3. Transmogrified Tiger
    Wells is a bit of an upgrade from Patterson, but I think you're overstating Wells' ability. He had a great 2003, but that's been bookended by unspectacular years with a pretty low OBP and good SLG. Better than Corey? Sure. Worth giving away another player in addition to Corey to provide a marginal upgrade over Hairston in CF? Not in my opinion. I'm a big CP fan (as evidenced by the truckload of his rookie cards I will be using for kindling this winter) and hopeful he will get back on track but at this stage saying Wells is a bit of an upgrade over CP and marginaly so over JH is definite understatement. Wells isn't Abreu by a streach but he is several steps close than those two. Wells: 52 RC in 378 PA's, .1376 RC/PA Hairston: 31 RC in 259 PA's, .1197 RC/PA They're not too far away in production, Hairston would have less than 7 fewer RC in the same number of PAs. Wells isn't a bad player by any means, but considering he's not head and shoulders above what we have, and he's going to cost more than his value in trade most likely due to reputation/potential, I don't think it's worth it.
  4. Transmogrified Tiger
    Walker is a better leadoff hitter than anyone mentioned in this thread thus far. The only reason to keep him out of there is because he has enough power to be a great 2 hitter, and that can work while Hairston is getting on base at an improved clip. I'd rather get a power hitting player with that OBP and hit them or Barrett second than overpay for a singles hitter because we're enamored with speed, with no concern to SB efficiency.
  5. Transmogrified Tiger
    Despite what that report(many of which have proved to be less than reliable previously) says, Wells doesn't hit a lot of line drives, as evidenced by his 16.5 LD% this year. I don't know why you bolded that part about defense. Wells is a fine fielder, but Patterson isn't bad at all.
  6. Transmogrified Tiger
    Wells is a bit of an upgrade from Patterson, but I think you're overstating Wells' ability. He had a great 2003, but that's been bookended by unspectacular years with a pretty low OBP and good SLG. Better than Corey? Sure. Worth giving away another player in addition to Corey to provide a marginal upgrade over Hairston in CF? Not in my opinion.
  7. Transmogrified Tiger
    Here it is, all the teams .500 or better and how they've fared against each other. W L Pct. CHI 13 18 0.420 Atl 32 24 0.570 Fla 23 31 0.430 NYM 27 26 0.510 Phi 26 29 0.470 SD 12 5 0.710 StL 9 12 0.430 Was 24 22 0.520 The Cubs have the worst percentage among the teams, but several teams are very close, and the Cubs have played fewer games than many. San Diego is by far the best, but has played only 17 games against that competition, having not faced NY, Philly, or Washington. Based on this smaller sample, most good teams in the NL are around .500, with more slightly below. I'll do last year's numbers and see if they are like I remember. EDIT: ESPN doesn't have last year's grid anymore, rats.
  8. Transmogrified Tiger
    I'd be interested to see what other NL teams did against .500 and > teams. I recall looking this up last year when the same argument was made, and found that most good teams(the Cubs included) hovered around the same level against good teams. I think I'll check it out.
  9. Transmogrified Tiger
    Chicago 61 29 Minnesota 49 41 Cleveland 47 45 Detroit 44 46 Kansas City 32 59 St. Louis 59 32 Chicago 46 45 Milwaukee 45 47 Houston 44 46 Pittsburgh 40 51 Cincinnati 38 53 I wouldnt say the AL central is weaker then the NL Central. Minnesota is leading the WC and Cleveland is 3 games behind them. The Cubs are the only team besides St. Louis above .500 and barely at that. Let's see the cubs pose a record like the sox, but in the weaker division first. Welcome to the Forum!
  10. Transmogrified Tiger
    2 injuries? A few months? Whether he's had 40 injuries or 1, the fact is the dude has pitched 48 innings in the last 23-24 months. He's yet to got thru an entire minor league season uninjured. He's never thrown more than 94 innings in a season. Who knows if he will even pitch this year? He will be 24 at the end of this year, and still hasn't pitched above AA (outside of spring training). By the time he is completely recovered from this injury, he'll be 24. By the time his arm strength is where it needs to be he's 24.5. By the time the Cubs can reasonably expect his "bright major league future" to benefit them, he's 25. Nolasco has a much better shot at a ML future than Guzman. There are a lot less talented pitchers around than Nolasco. Guzman has the talent, but what's the point if he can't pitch? Holding out hope that Guzman will be healthy enough to one day reach his potential is similar to holding out hope that Brownlie will throw 95 again someday. It may happen, but nothing has been shown to suggest it will. Nitpick, but Guzman threw 156 innings in 2002, 62 at Lansing and 94 at Daytona.
  11. Transmogrified Tiger
    Emphatic no. Also, as O_O pointed out in a similar debate about Podsednik, it's not quite as fair to just add SB to SLG, since they are not the same as a total base, which has other impacts(advancing and scoring runners). It's more fair to do with CS, since it's a pretty black and white measure of whether he got out or not. That said, It probably is fair to add SB in some way, but it probably shouldn't be considered as valuable as a total base.
  12. Transmogrified Tiger
    Drove past it the other day. I like the brick facade, it looks like it's going to be nice.
  13. Transmogrified Tiger
    I was thinking the same thing. Would Mora go back to LF?
  14. Transmogrified Tiger
    After the 2008 season.
  15. Transmogrified Tiger
    Is that right? Prior 8 IP 0 ER Wood 6 IP 1 ER Maddux 8 IP 2 ER Zambrano 8 IP 0 ER Total 30 Innings 3 ER, for a 0.90 ERA. :shock:
  16. Transmogrified Tiger
    I've gotta be honest. No offense, but I can't believe some of the things some of us are finding as important. He doesn't have enough sac flies? Well, Aramis Ramirez has none so far this year. Does that scare us to death? On a Reds radio braodcast, Marty Brenneman mentioned that stat, but said someone in the Reds organization did some research and found that Dunn had 9 homers in those at bats, which is actually as good as 18 sac flies. I'm guessing that would pretty much lead the league. If you don't want Adam Dunn because his power and patience hinders him from making "productive outs" then I think you are outsmarting yourself. This needs to be posted every time Dunn's name is brought up. Well said.
  17. Transmogrified Tiger
    Seeing Farnsworth v. Wilson again inspired my new sig.
  18. Transmogrified Tiger
    Maybe they should get 3 guys in the middle of the lineup who will put up at least a 900+ OPS so the average guys don't need to do as much. Adam Dunn anyone? Seriously though, if we got Dunn, would we have a better offense than the Cards? It'd be pretty close I think.
  19. Transmogrified Tiger
    Lee Solo HR, bunch of singles, Zambrano bases loaded double that scored 2.
  20. Transmogrified Tiger
    He racky-tacked him!
  21. Transmogrified Tiger
    He is posting these numbers while repeating AA. He's still just 22 though, and put up fine numbers at AA last year(3.70 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 9.67 K/9). He supposedly has unspectacular stuff, but I don't see how he could be considered any lower than Marmol on the list.
  22. Transmogrified Tiger
    While Barrett is at a .775 OPS, that's 2nd best for NL catchers, only a couple points behind LaRue. Last year was the exact same, with Estrada in front of him. So when compared to other positions like corner infielders and outfielders, Barrett is nothing special. But we'd be hard pressed to find a better offensive catcher.
  23. Transmogrified Tiger
    Kyle's numbers are pretty similar at home and away, with the home numbers being slightly better. He's only given up one home run this year, and it was on the road. That's the only XBH he's given up on the road. His IsoP Against are identical for home/road.
  24. Transmogrified Tiger
    Yes, in the form of Scott Podsednik, Tadahito Iguchi, Jermaine Dye, and A.J. Pierzynski. Yep, it's a real murderer's row. Completely compatible with Pujols, Edmonds, Rolen, anyone. Those 4 combined lines (assuming my math was correct) 271/333/418 I meant in general, not in any comparison to the Cards. Did you see the stat line there, none of those guys are much above average if that. The Cubs do not have a great(not even good sometimes) offense, yet in OPS they have better hitters than Sox at every position but RF, where Dye holds a slight lead over Burnitz. They are going to need an increase in production from somewhere, whether it's players improving on their first half totals(Rowand, Uribe) or an acquisition via trade(Randa?).
  25. Transmogrified Tiger
    But what does this stat help determine? Offensive value? BP's Stat Glossary contains pretty good explanations for many stats. Just search for the stat you are looking for at this link.
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