I totally agree with you. If the Cubs play .538 ball the rest of the way they end up 84-78 and have a decent shot at the Wild Card. Now I agree that they have sucked this season, but you can't tell me that they can't play .538 ball assuming ARam and DLee start hitting. ARam might have a "down" year, but he's not going to stay in "Aaron Miles land" the whole season. The average wild card winner in the NL the past 5 years has had 89 wins (92, 90, 90, 88, 89). Winning 84 games this year may not give us much of a chance at a wild card. With 130 games to go, we have to go 75-55 to hit 89 wins. That's a .576 winning percentage. Eh, 4 games under .500 on May 10 wouldn't cause me to panic even if I had high expectations coming into the season. My mind is much more focused on securing the best possible opportunities starting in 2011.