I think Minnesota could stumble a bit. I don't understand what everybody sees in the Jets. They were 9-7 last year, and lucky to get that 9th win. They squeeked through in the playoffs thanks to some missed field goals and then got bounced. Their best defensive player is sitting out, they have a starting LB who is going to miss time. And their QB is a mess. They were the #1 defense, but it's tough to win consistently with defense. They could win their overrated division, but they don't look like world beaters to me. Top 5 overall defense, top 5 offensive line, good RB corps, rookie QB that is likely to improve over last year, decently deep set of WRs (although no truly elite guys - S. Holmes, Edwards, Cotchery, Coles). NFL is way too unpredictable to say the are for sure going to contend. But the team has a lot of talent and pretty good depth. I can certainly understand why they are a popular SB pick, even though my expectations for them fall a bit short of that. I'll probably have egg on my face in a few weeks for saying this, but I feel like it is just as likely that Sanchez falls flat as it is he improves over last year. On one hand, I agree with your overall point that they have some good talent & depth. But on the other hand, so do a lot of other teams in the AFC, and it just feels like the Jets are being promoted above & beyond their accomplishments to this point. I feel like a lot of their expected returns this year are based on year 1 to year 2 improvements that people think will be inherent, but really we don't always see that in the NFL. Many times we'll see year 1 to year 2 decline.