That was before today, at least I am assuming it will go down after today. Cubs = 97.4 Brewers = 2.6 Wow, it's really that much in our favor now? I could see the crew ripping off, say 5-2 in their last 7 at home. Cubs would need to win 2 games, on the road. That's losing 2/3 in each series. Ok, it's definitely in our favor big time but I would have thought more like 80%. If you played the season out 100 times from this point, wouldn't you think a team thats 3.5 games up with 6 to play would win it more than 80 times? Remember the computer doesn't know that a few days ago it was tied. The Cubs could have been 20 games up in mid-August and now 3.5 up. Either way, the odds that a team has managed to be good enough amass a 3.5 game lead through 156 games will be able to win enough to make the playoffs an extremely high perentage of the time I guess that depends on what the sim takes into account. Are they factoring in the Crew's home record, which is excellent? Are they factoring in the Cards, who are a dead team playing like they're dead? Are they factoring in how difficult it has been for us against the Reds? Or the fact that the Marlins are still playing well with their young players? I'll take it, don't get me wrong. I just think 97% is high, that's almost out of the realm of possibility for the Crew. But I could see them winning a ton this final week, and a stumble on the road is not out of the question IMO for the Cubs. I know the odds are very much in our favor.