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dew1679666265

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Everything posted by dew1679666265

  1. dew1679666265
    Howry was better from 2004-2007. Gregg has been better than him since then, though. Gregg was worlds better last year as well. This year, Howry has been far better than he was last year, but is still a little worse than Gregg is right now.
  2. dew1679666265
    Gregg isn't a bad closer. He's an average or so closer.
  3. dew1679666265
    Lee's hitting streak up to 20 games now.
  4. dew1679666265
    http://www.baseballprospectus.com/statistics/eqa2009.php That's a fantastic site. Thanks.
  5. dew1679666265
    Nice hustle by DLee on the tailor made DP.
  6. dew1679666265
    Good start by Soriano.
  7. dew1679666265
    It wouldn't be meant to disgrace them. I'd be just fine with just inducting them and moving on. But if people insist on a special wing for one group of players, why not wings for all the different eras?
  8. dew1679666265
    Ah, I've never been there before.
  9. dew1679666265
    KingCubsFan assumed the Cubs sign their draft picks - which Jackson is. Did I miss something? When did Jackson sign, and for how much? He hasn't signed yet, but, for the purpose of his list, KingCubsFan was assuming in his first post that the Cubs would sign him.
  10. dew1679666265
    Hindsight helps with some of them. I was probably most in favor of Zito, but I didn't like the price.
  11. dew1679666265
    Do you disagree? I do. All sorts of players have bent rules, including taking illegal substances, to gain an edge, throughout history and many of them are in the HOF. I've almost done a 180 on this. At first I didn't think they deserved to be in the HOF, but now I do. The reason for this is that in the era they played "juicing" was a common practice much like taking "pep" pills or throwing spit balls was in past eras. What Bonds and the rest have done doesn't diminish Aaron or Ruth at all. I think they do need a special section in the HOF for the "steroid era" though. Why not make a wing for each era and put the corresponding players in each? "Dead Ball Era," "Steroid Era," etc.
  12. dew1679666265
    More accurate at evaluating a player's production.
  13. dew1679666265
    Almost no one with any knowledge of baseball statistics thinks OPS is the "be all end all." Many people use it b/c it is pretty useful and it's easy to calculate. Even fans with an average understanding of stats (like me) know it's flawed and that there are much better stats out there. Seems to me that the people who think OPS is the one and only measure are the guys that now, begrudgingly, have accepted that AVG/HR/RBI maybe aren't the best way to evaluate players and espn uses OPS now so this must be as good as it gets. It's really funny to hear the few people who refuse to accept "advanced" stats at all attack "stat-heads" by saying they think OPS is this great tool. No stat-head, not a single one, thinks OPS is the best measure and flawless. The reason why people use OPS is because it is highly correlated with wins. It's probably one of the very best ways to measure the value of a player without resorting to inferential statistics like VORP and WAR which are also flawed but new and sparkly. I don't know how to calculate it, but I think EqA is pretty highly thought of - and more accurate (right word?) than OPS.
  14. dew1679666265
    I would have thought Wellington Castillo would be somewhere in that list. Is that just my lack of knowledge on the minor leagues?
  15. dew1679666265
    KingCubsFan assumed the Cubs sign their draft picks - which Jackson is.
  16. dew1679666265
    Three guys does not equal a top heavy rotation. And just about every bullpen is top heavy in the back end. But Detroit has 7 guys with 20+ IP and an ERA over 100. How is this a particularly top heavy staff in comparison to other AL pitching staffs? They've got three starters who have been excellent (or at least very good) and two others who have been fairly awful in the rotation. Top heavy might be the wrong term for the rotation, but the point still stands. As for the pen, I only count 6 with 20+ IP and an ERA+ over 100 - Rodney, Perry, Zumaya, Lyon, Seay and Miner. Of those, Perry, Zumaya and Miner have WHIPs over 1.5 and Perry's is 1.6. Those are some bad WHIPs. The Indians' pen actually has guys with better K:BB ratios than the Tigers pen does (Wood, Lewis, Betancourt and Herges all have roughly 2:1 ratios, while none of the Tigers relievers have that).
  17. dew1679666265
    Jackson's been far better than decent, though. I could see us hitting any of their pitchers, but those three certainly can shut us (or anybody) down as well.
  18. dew1679666265
    I would have to disagree, WSR. I actually think the Tigers are where they are because of a bunch of power arms in both the rotation and the bullpen. Their pitching is WAY better than the Indians. The bullpen has several guys who throw some heavy gas. I haven't looked to see who the starters will be the next two days, but Rick Porcello is a highly touted 20-year-old prospect who has done well so far this season, and while Armando Galarraga's stats aren't great, he certainly will be better than anybody the Cubs saw in the Indians series except for Cliff Lee. We are an underdog heading into this series, because I'm not sure we can score enough runs against this overall pitching staff. While I don't think the Tigers have a GREAT offense, they probably don't need to be to take at least two of three from us. Hope I'm wrong. Galarraga and Willis have both been terrible this season. Rodney, Lyon and Seay are good bullpen arms, but the rest have had their struggles. This is definitely a better staff than the Indians, but it's top heavy in the rotation (Verlander, Jackson, Porcello) and in the back end of the pen without much else.
  19. dew1679666265
    Dempster being due up definitely hurts the argument, I'll agree.
  20. dew1679666265
    Here's the Lilly signing thread. Most people were ok with Lilly as a secondary option, with the favorites being Schmidt, Padilla and Zito. Feelings were mixed, definitely, and there wasn't a lot of outrage, but there was quite a bit of worry that the money was too high. His inconsistency before the Cubs was brought up quite a bit as well. Given the 3 names above, Lilly looks like a great option. Yeah, I wasn't crazy about Lilly at the time (though I was intrigued by him), but I never understood the interest in those three.
  21. dew1679666265
    The likelihood of Hart throwing 2-3 scoreless innings was pretty low. I do agree that it was a bit risky to leave Demp in because of health questions, but the chances of a run or runs scoring in that situation were fairly high no matter which decision Lou made. Hart was brought up to eat innings, but not in the late innings of a 1-run game. As gassed as Dempster was, the better choice likely would have been to pull him and get an extra inning out of Hart, but runs were likely to score no matter which decision Lou made. So be it. You were already down on the road, so 3 innings was not a guarantee. Hart was going to pitch, regardless. He's a starter, used to pitching multiple innings. The point is you were prepared to lose the battle while trying to win the war, then all of a sudden you foolishly throw your starting pitcher another inning because you just can't risk the guy you brought up specifically to pitch in relief of a taxed bullpen to throw 2 innings? It's nonsensical. And if Lou brings in Hart in a one-run game to pitch 2 innings, he gets roasted by other people for bringing in a AAAA roster filler down a run. He was going to get criticized either way. I think he made the wrong choice, but I can understand why he tried to get one more inning from Dempster.
  22. dew1679666265
    The likelihood of Hart throwing 2-3 scoreless innings was pretty low. I do agree that it was a bit risky to leave Demp in because of health questions, but the chances of a run or runs scoring in that situation were fairly high no matter which decision Lou made. Hart was brought up to eat innings, but not in the late innings of a 1-run game. As gassed as Dempster was, the better choice likely would have been to pull him and get an extra inning out of Hart, but runs were likely to score no matter which decision Lou made. So if it was likely both pitchers were going to give up a run, perhaps he shouldn't have let a pitcher(a bad hitting one at that) bat for himself. I already said the better choice was to pull Dempster. I can understand the decision Lou made, though, even if I disagree with it.
  23. dew1679666265
    The likelihood of Hart throwing 2-3 scoreless innings was pretty low. I do agree that it was a bit risky to leave Demp in because of health questions, but the chances of a run or runs scoring in that situation were fairly high no matter which decision Lou made. Hart was brought up to eat innings, but not in the late innings of a 1-run game. As gassed as Dempster was, the better choice likely would have been to pull him and get an extra inning out of Hart, but runs were likely to score no matter which decision Lou made.
  24. dew1679666265
    And the point is that is still a stupid decision. Dempster wasn't great. He wiggled out of a few jams in the middle innings, obviously working his tail off in rough conditions. I can see the point. Neither route was a good one, but you likely are correct. I can understand both sides in this, though.
  25. dew1679666265
    I get the two and a half week thing, at least in theory. But at the same time, had he pulled dempster it would have required a whole 3 innings from our bullpen. That's nothing. I could see if Demps was at like 100 pitches in the 5th and he decided to keep him out for the sixth, but not the 7th. When the pen has thrown 14.1 innings the last three days, three more innings on the fourth day is certainly something. Again, especially with a long stretch without an off day that started yesterday. Kevin Hart was ready and rested, and able to go for a few innings as hes been starting in Iowa. They could always send Hart or Ascanio down to get a fresh arm up, or they could just do the smart thing and quit holding Patton up here. Noway in hell should Demp been allowed to throw that many pitches, in that heat, when he was clearly gassed. Lou is asleep at the wheel this year. I think the point is, the good arms in the pen were gassed and that left only Hart and Patton as fresh arms (though neither particularly good). His argument appears to be that Lou tried to get one more inning out of Dempster - who had been good - rather than go to one of the last two arms in the pen in a tight game.
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