I just think the questions at QB and OL will overrule the good talent elsewhere. We lose three of our starting five offensive linemen after the year (returning starters are Douglas and Shaw) and will be left with guys like Hood, Schofield and Dallas Thomas to take over the starting positions. Add ot that we'll have no experienced depth whatsoever and very few warm bodies. Plus, the linemen we've gotten committed so far are not immediate help kind of guys, they're talented raw guys. At QB, Stephens could be at least decent, but he's still quite an unknown and who knows how he'll respond when he gets in an actual game. Receiver should be good with Teague and Richardson along with Gerald Jones returning. Bryce Brown and the RB corps should be fine. With Cottam graduating, I'm not sure what kind of depth we'll have at TE. Stocker should be fine, but after that the best we've probably got is Ben Bartholomew. We'll almost definitely be underdogs to LSU as well. I see 6 sure wins (UT Martin, UAB, Memphis, SC, Vandy, UK) and a couple more games I'm confident about (UGA, Ole Miss). If we finish this year 8-4, then to improve on that we'll have to upset one of Bama, UF, Oregon or LSU and that's going to be tough with an inexperienced QB and no depth on the line. Those are definitely good reasons and I could see them being quite persuasive. As shnsajax said, though, the rookie cap likely being instituted after 2010 will hold a lot of sway. As will the risk of injury next season before he gets his guaranteed money. I really hope you're right and I'm wrong, though.