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UK1679666180

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Everything posted by UK1679666180

  1. UK1679666180
    That's...not good. The idea of trading Geo has been gaining traction with me throughout the offseason. That insight does nothing to diminish the appeal of that idea. He had a 25% decrease in contact with pitches outside the zone compared to the avg. batter and 20% lower overall contact ratio.
  2. UK1679666180
    It's more than just bad luck via BABIP as you mentioned, he hit .308 off of FBs and about .140 off of everything else off-speed. He's going to have to adjust a higher % of secondary pitches if that's the new book.
  3. UK1679666180
    yeah, I'm not sure why small market owners were behind this. At all. We're complaining because in the short term we wanted to spend and replenish the farm. but in the long term, this benefits the big market teams. They save money. It might be marginal and hurt those that build from within (Tampa) but they weren't saving money at the expense of the MLBPA.
  4. UK1679666180
    I think your assumption is faulty. Trading Soto + Marmol (and Garza) would likely be about using our best trade assets to get as much a return as possible. Not to mention clearing close to $10M in salary for use on Pujols/Fielder/Wilson/Darvish/Cespedes I wonder if they see a Francisco Rodriguez type window for Marmol, given his drop in velocity last year (although only season), his delivery, and his usage over the last few seasons whether or not he can regain his plus FB. With more traditional GMs, I feel Marmol might be overvalued by them and Soto might be undervalued by them. If they want to use method as far as acquiring talent and clearing space, assuming value has been rec'd in return, I would be all for trading those two assets.
  5. UK1679666180
    Slow release + lead feet + Bears offensive line = not good. Orton was performing at just about replacement level this year before his benching. I'd rather see if Hanie can do the same while also being mobile. I think with the 3 step drop, he'd be fine. Maybe not this week vs. Oak but other than that he'd be ok. Even though Cutler has a much quicker release and is more active, one of the bigger changes was that he wasn't holding onto the ball as long. Over the options... Garrard, Bulger, Edwards, etc. and Hanie as the in-house option, once Orton can grasp the watered down version of the offense, he's probably the best option, IMO.
  6. UK1679666180
    I would be so jealous if Illinois got Leach, I can't imagine why they wouldn't.
  7. UK1679666180
    I don't see equal to where he's at now success for Fielder either beyond 31/32. To me, he's similar to Mo Vaughn and while Vaughn might've had his career cut short by the bicep injury, he was starting to decline. I expect Fielder to experience something with a gradual decline once he gets into his early 30s which is quicker than Pujols. With that said, I would sign either to long-term deals.
  8. UK1679666180
    :( Hope Shabazz really does come to UCLA. Need a major talent infusion. Also need the most talented player on the roster not to eat everything in sight. I'm hoping Shabazz with the recent struggles of UCLA decides on UK. Although, I still think the Bruins are definitely the favs at this point. As if you guys need any more talent. If you're an assembly line, need as many as parts as possible. They're recruiting to assume the starting 5 needs to recruited annually. Miller will be gone, I full expect Davis, Jones, Kidd-Gilchrist, Lamb, and possibly Teague to be drafted.
  9. UK1679666180
    I could not see any scenario where the Cubs would actively pursue trading him initially, therefore I wouldn't trade him right now except for something completely made up.
  10. UK1679666180
    I can't see Heyward-Bay playing after being carted off, not with the newer tests.
  11. UK1679666180
    In his highlights, his swing wasn't long although I'm sure the editors deserve credit. Like many Latin players directly coming over, I could see him being a high K/low BB type of hitter with plus power and plus bat speed.
  12. UK1679666180
    :( Hope Shabazz really does come to UCLA. Need a major talent infusion. Also need the most talented player on the roster not to eat everything in sight. I'm hoping Shabazz with the recent struggles of UCLA decides on UK. Although, I still think the Bruins are definitely the favs at this point.
  13. UK1679666180
    Cutler was yelling after the play. The announcers thought he was yelling at the refs for a previous play, but he was clearly yelling at Knox that he needs to get up and finish the play. Falling is one thing, but if he'd gotten up immediately, he could've tackled the defender with the ball. I thought he got up pretty quickly but by the time he reacted probably assumed it was a pick 6 and didn't bother going after him besides a medium paced jog.
  14. UK1679666180
    Anyone notice Knox not run out the play on the INT? He slipped obviously but he got up with plenty of time and didn't run it out ala Cutler. Cutler hurt himself much earlier in the game. Go with Haney, bring in Bulger in case of emergency, and dumb down the offense. Bears go 3-3 and get in at 10-6 and hope he's avail. by then.
  15. UK1679666180
    well but what about this guy http://www.chicagotribune.com/media/alternatethumbnails/story/2011-09/23456406441600-20145204.jpg well sure, all baseball data is accumulated through observation. my issue is that, to my knowledge, there is no standardized system in place to accurately record EVERY activity on the baseball field a la pitch f/x (but not just for pitches). while we can certainly watch video and observe a player's reaction to a batted ball and how long it takes that fielder to throw the ball from the moment he receives it, so on and so forth, that activity is not quantified in a standardized way to allow for comparison and analysis amongst an entire field of other comparable data points. furthermore, gauging anything by radar gun, and especially the naked eye, simply doesn't provide the level of accuracy and comparability required. those tools might serve the purpose of a scout, but for those looking for information that isn't colored by the fallibility of human observation, it simply is not good enough. You'll never get that point though, even with pitchers and hitters. There's too much luck and variables even with the more advanced data with pitching and hitting. The goal is to get the best with what you have and right now, defense still requires that human element.
  16. UK1679666180
    Fwiw, I've done freelance work for Stats Inc doing video analysis (baseball only), I've seen their technology and how its applied, for defense as well as other aspects, it should be the present as far as data analysis.
  17. UK1679666180
    5 and a half years here. Then what is a reliable way to evaluate defense? Scouting? Scouting via play by play data. ok so my question is does one need a hawaiian shirt and binoculars to scout the play by play data? jk i just hate baseball but no seriously man, do you really believe that the existing information captured by play-by-play data tells us as much as we need to know about a defensive player's abilities and execution on the field? Never seen binoculars with a scout and very seldom a hawaiian shirt. I think you can, its the most accurate way to do so. The technology is there to analyze the ball coming off the bat, they can on a play by play basis analyze the read, break, and speed of the defender as far as long it took him to get from point a to point b. You can gauge the velo of the throw either by radar gun or naked eye as well as the accuracy and how long it took him to get rid of it. Play by play data incorporating defense is what Oak has tried with their recent market ineff. approach.
  18. UK1679666180
    Scouting via play by play data. ok then, how many runs was Soriano's arm worth in '07? God damn. Let me go through all of '07 and I'll get back to you.
  19. UK1679666180
    5 and a half years here. Then what is a reliable way to evaluate defense? Scouting? Scouting via play by play data.
  20. UK1679666180
    It would be stupid under that scenario, between losing the DF&Es a few years back and this, the draft is becoming worse and worse for teams to fully utilize advantages of their scouts, the better drafting teams get screwed more. It goes hand and hand with all the increases in travel ball, collegiate summer leagues, etc as far as scouting, now signability plays a much greater role as important as it is today. Any draft cap will put an emphasis on more college players in rounds 3-11, teams won't be able to buy HS kids out of their education and college juniors typically only have "slot leverage" unless they want to wait till they're 22 and willing to be drafted after their senior season. I'm torn as to how it plays with drafting of HS players, 90% of the top picks really have bought into the college life, despite their development as a player not the same priority as coming up thru the farm is. If you're a parent of a HS arm and you're selected 20th overall, is it worth it to go to school to try and move up 10 slots knowing it might only be worth 200K more if it all works out?
  21. UK1679666180
    Of those guys: Andres Torres in Reed Johnson's role. Ian Stewart James Loney-LH bat off bench (likely will start somewhere) Schumaker-25th man type of role. Barton Luke Scott if he wasn't a rectum would be interesting. Pitchers: Gorzelanny in a similar role as '10. Jose Mijares-Loogy Pelfrey 6th starter/long-relief Kuo-Loogy
  22. UK1679666180
    All boys? Their names are: Ray, E.J., Kara, Jeff, Jo, and Matt. They also fostered several other kids.
  23. UK1679666180
    I did not know that Sandusky has 6 adopted children.
  24. UK1679666180
    Given they would get nothing or little in return beyond another bad contract, I am inclined to agree with this.
  25. UK1679666180
    Sure, but if the hitters are still overly aggressive isn't it difficult to judge from the stands whether a guy is actually throwing strikes that would be considered good strikes in a more patient league? It's not like they have Fox broadcasting with the K zone or anything. It's not perfect, but it's not that bad, either. If nothing else, you can tell by the hitter's swing path and how much the have to reach, pull their hands in, etc. I always loved Cabrera. One of many odd likes of pitchers throughout the years.
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