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UK1679666180

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Everything posted by UK1679666180

  1. B/C both Hendry & Kasper are employees of the Cubs & the Tribune Co. So are the ticket takers, it doesn't mean they associate with each other as well. I'm sorry, I don't see Hendry discussing it with anyone execpt those directly involved with the signing (scouts, assistant GM, agent, the player, etc). I don't place Kasper in the inner circle. Just as odd would be Kasper breaking it before it happens, doesn't make sense at any angle.
  2. Why the heck is Hendry talking baseball with Casper? Why is one of the more secretive GMs doing this? Why is Len discussing a deal that hasn't happened to the public? I'm sorry, for my skeptical nature, but if this deal goes down, I doubt this provides proof of it happening.
  3. In a similar format as Diffusion used. I'm just trying to gauge whether their role in the offense impacted their ratio of getting on-base to leadoff an inning.
  4. The final numbers: Overall, hitters batting in the #1 spot lead off an inning in 39.5% of their PA in 2005. In the AL they lead off an inning 38.1% of the time, while in the NL they lead off an inning 40.7% of the time. Looks like I was right about the AL/NL difference. :) Since I'm lazy, I'm wondering what some of the higher OBPs also generated like Giles, Lee, Pujols, Helton, etc?
  5. I fail to see a significant separation between overpaying by overlooking injury history or overpaying for lack of production. As we witnessed with Drew's injuries, it hurt his production per $ spent. He was productive while he was out there, just not out there nearly enough. As far as Furcal, he'll be out there, but I doubt if these contract rumors have validity, that he'll be worth what his contract requires. But, overpaying for injuries and overpaying for lack of production are both overpaying.
  6. Slight correction.. Furcal leadoff an inning over 40% of the time, he reached base on 13% of his total PAs, he didn't leadoff 13% of his total PAs.
  7. I don't know if Furcal is a typical example, or how much of that had to do with the Braves' lineup and its construction. A few other example. Juan Pierre had 719 plate appearances last year. 292 saw him lead-off an inning. Leading off an inning he had a .336 on-base percentage. That meant just 13.630% of his plate appearances saw him lead off the inning in front of the heart of the order. That's still about 40% for Pierre, which is up there. To put it in perspective as I was looking Michaels' numbers. (not much of a surprise I was looking at his numbers) He had 22 ABs hitting 1st in the lineup (7 starts) so most of his ABs were hitting 2nd in the lineup. 80 of his 343 PAs were leading off an inning, approx. 23%. Of those 80 PAs, he reached 41.2% of the time and approx. 9.6% of the time he was on to start the inning. Put that with Furcal or Pierre's frequency of leading off an inning and the 13% of Pierre and Furcal it jumps to 17% for Michaels. Basically, Michaels would have been on base 20 more times to start an inning if he rec'd the same of PAs as Furcal/Pierre over the course of the season.
  8. Higher than I expected, I assumed between 30-35%.
  9. They release the Sunday sports section on Sat., it obviously doesn't include scores, but has the feature articles on all subjects which were handed in earlier in the week.
  10. I don't think he's a poor option, he's an ideal 8th hitter on a team with a strong offense, but the Cubs have too many holes offensively. I think he's a marginal upgrade over what Perez would give you for 500ABs if given the chance.
  11. Hopefully start Cedeno or possibly trade for Lugo. I wouldn't mind Nomar, but I doubt the Cubs think of him as a SS anymore. They still need to concentrate on CF and RF.
  12. Those weren't Wilson's numbers in the minors, those were his 1st 3 years in the majors prior to his '04 breakout. He had about 750-1000 ABs at the major league level before '04. His numbers in the minors were not bad especially for a SS, but he was rushed by the Cards/Pirates as far as getting time between AA and the majors once traded to Pitt.
  13. Why would you want Wilson? The guy had a .299 OBP last year. Might as well put Neifi at SS. Aramis had a great 2001 with our AAAA team, but digressed in '02, and wasn't doing too hot either in '03 with them. Then he caught fire with us. Think Wilson could follow the same path? I wouldn't be disappointed if Hendry took a gamble on him if we missed out on Furcal. With Neifi, you know what you're going ot get. With Wilson, there's a chance to get a whole lot more, and we'd be buying low instead of high (like with Aramis). I think it's the exact opposite of Ramirez, Ramirez had several productive season in the minors as well as his breakout year before his regression. Wilson in his 3 years prior to his "breakout" season had OBPs of .255, .306, .303, then his .335 breakout, and back down to .299. OBP isn't everything, but it was his only season above.700 OPS as well.
  14. I'll save you some money by requesting RC. RC>Coke/Pepsi
  15. I was pro-Hendry when they hired him, I liked the move as he has a great work ethic and him along with the scouts did a great job of rebuilding the farm system. but, you have a large enough window to judge him on his job as GM, good or bad. Personally, I'm mixed on Hendry. I don't question his effort, I think has done overall a good job with most of the trades, he hasn't done well enough with FA, hired Baker, and the farm system has been depleted both in production and resources. I'd give him this year as his last chance to show progression in several areas as 4 years is plenty. As far as Baker, I have been anti-Baker since he's been in SF. Those who know me, know I've wanted Mclaren when they hired Baker. He's been the disappointment that I expected.
  16. I still think he's going back to ATL, they'll pay him close enough to the Cubs/LA and why not go to the best option of the 3?
  17. Offensively, he moves very well w/out the ball and is able to get free off a screen, the best pure shooter on a team that lacks the outside shot. As Dobson mentioned, he is streaky and unlike most pure shooters when he is cold he will either be on the bench or look to pass even on open shots. Defensively, knows how to play Tubby's style of defense can do well on full court or half court press when needed and can double team very well. Individually he is a poor defender, he is too slow to cover the 1 and get burned off the dribble and he is too small and weak to cover most 2s who can post up as it'll drag the 4/5 over to double him in man to man coverage.
  18. I wouldn't exclude a trade with Texas, they have two cheaper and less productive options at two positions the Cubs need most right now (CF with Matthews Jr/Nix and Rf with Mench), but I can't see Wood as part of that equation. I don't want any of those 3 players, but I wouldn't put it past the Cubs.
  19. This is a very poor UK team, the least talented I've seen in the last 13 years. The 3 year stretch where UK lost 10 or more games underachieved but those teams had more talent . This team lacks talent, which is a shame b/c of some being dumb enough to listen to agents and those without proper interest.
  20. Personally, I don't want the Cubs giving up anything of value similar to what Cano's value is. Throw in a couple of players, one who is a decent prospect (Henn, would probably rank between 25-30 in the Cubs system) and a middle reliever and I would be extremely disappointed if the Cubs gave up something close to what Florida is currently looking for.
  21. http://www.impactwrestling.com/PrinterFriendly.aspx?ID=4671 I wonder if insurance would cover an injury sustained in the wrestling ring? There are certain risks a player should not take during their career, this is definitely one of them.
  22. I was one of the more upset ones when it came to the Cubs using Wood out of the pen, when it was known he was having surgery at the end of the year and the team was done. It was completely idiotic at that point in time, but I'm going to wait and see if Wood is ready, if he isn't, it might take the cake as far as being the dumbest decision this organization has made during the Hendry/Baker tenure.
  23. Neither Shag, Woo, or Carter have stepped up enough to merit starting so Sims ill be the starting C. It'll be a small, quick lineup, that can create matchup problems having the C be one of the better outside shooters on the team, but will lack everything that counts on the inside (defense, rebounding, etc.). They'll be exposed, but it should be an improvement, I hope.
  24. As the assistant head coach, I believe his position means you can't get him out from under his current contract. And while it certainly sounds good, I'd much rather Lovie find a guy he knows can run his system rather than try to relive the glory days by going after the right name. If Mike is available and Lovie thinks he can do the job, I'm all for it, but he did ignore Singletary when he first put his staff together. You could simply ask for permission as the majority of elite promotions have entailed. Singletary had only one year of experience in Balt. when Singletary was hired unlike Rivera who was established in Philly. Rivera was unfamiliar with the C-2 before beinbg hired by the Bears.
  25. Sure, you'd regret it b/c they would have likely regressed if they traded Walker after Castillo was traded. But, I fail to see that scenario taking place over the original fact that Hendry traded a player who is productive, inexpensive, and fills a huge need as far as hitting at the top. I think it is a moot point inserting Castillo into the equation beyond trading them straight up for each other.
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