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UK1679666180

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Everything posted by UK1679666180

  1. Because the pitchers are young and for some reason many people can't get to the point to criticize young pitchers, especially if one is named Prior. Most are likely being more critical of an organizational philosophy rather than a player(s). Especially when the player you brought into question has been hit w/numerous injuries, I can see how someone value the potential organizational lapse more than one player. If you blame Prior, then you have to blame Lee.
  2. For BP subscribers only: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=1596 http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=1605 http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=1622 It's a three-part article by Rany Jazayerli. He's holding a chat at 5:00 tonight, so feel free to ask him about the pros and cons of the 4-man rotation, Dusty's usage of Z, etc: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/chat/chat.php?chatId=220 I believe non-BP subscribers can participate in the chat. There's always one thing that needs to be added. A 4 man rotation that is closely monitored as far as pitcher fatigue and being overworked is more healthy than a 5 man rotation that is being over-worked and vice versa.
  3. As much as I touted him in the past, there comes a point when being away from the game too long has an impact. With his age and time from the game, I still think he can do well, just that he won't be given a chance. IMO, Hershiser is the best potential candidate out there for manager. Orel over Fredi? I disagree. Yep. While it's not a lot, everything I've heard from Hershiser has been Kruk-esque. Many broadcasters are similar in that aspect, their goal is to appeal to the avg. fan. Dierker as a broadcaster, I only heard him pre-managerial stint was very much like that.
  4. As much as I touted him in the past, there comes a point when being away from the game too long has an impact. With his age and time from the game, I still think he can do well, just that he won't be given a chance. IMO, Hershiser is the best potential candidate out there for manager.
  5. Taveras immed. came to mind, how many speedster leadoff guys are there in general? (Of course, he has struggled at getting on-base) Hmm, do you count Ichiro as a speedster leadoff guy? I see Ichiro, Dave Roberts, Brian Roberts, Damon?, Furcal?, Reyes, Hanley Ramirez, Rollins, Posednik, Figgins-those are the other leadoff hitters out of the 19 that qualify that have at least 20 stolen bases (Sizemore had 18)-I'm not sure you would count those players as speedster leadoff hitters (that's a really hard thing to define). Looking at some players who didn't qualify, Freel, Lugo, and Luis Castillo could both be put in that category also. Of course, half of those players are not outfielders. You have 4 potential OF'ers, although I don't consider Ichiro a leadoff hitter in that manner, I'll use him. 1 cannon, the rest are avg. to below avg. That ratio isn't too unusual combining 2 + plus arms like Ichiro ans Taveras with Pierre, Posednik, Damon, and Roberts. I also think hitters like Reyes & Ramirez will be middle of the order type hitters, but at the top of the order b/c of the speed. Rollins has more power and a lower batting avg. than most at the top.
  6. Taveras immed. came to mind, how many speedster leadoff guys are there in general? (Of course, he has struggled at getting on-base)
  7. I think Grossman does everything good w/nothing great and has no weakness besides his height and occasionally touch on the ball. He has good enough arm strength (probably his greatest strength) is in the top half of starting NFL QBs. His accuracy is probably around the middle of the pack at this stage. His mobility is around the same as his accuracy, it doesn't jump out at me as being a strength. His ability to read defense at the line or make adjustments on the fly doesn't sway me in either direction. Neither does his ability to lead at this stage. I think he'll be an avg. starting QB as he progresses thru his career. Good to enough to start, but not good enough to make the Pro Bowl.
  8. Even I can miss. :)
  9. Heh, I'm good at projecting middle infielders. Note: I also wanted Bill Hall and Freddy Sanchez for quite some time (Sanchez while w/Boston and Bill Hall when he was the utility player when he 1st came up).
  10. 1st, It was Neyer quoting a great study done by Dr. Rany Jazayerli. 2nd, it isn't as cut as dry and just eliminating the 5th starter and going from there. A team that goes to a 4 man rotation will have to strictly monitor fatigue and likely reduce the amount of pitches per start to make up for the extra starts during the season. If this involves the Cubs, I'll let everyone else gauge how the Cubs have been as far as monitoring pitcher workloads (pitching while fatigued and pitch counts) during Dusty's tenure.
  11. Mark pitched a good ballgame, he mixed his 1st pitches up better than I've seen in awhile. I still think the Sox will make the post-season.
  12. Pirates had a great trio with Bonds, Bonnilla and Van Slyke, and some nice complimentary guys like Lind, Merced, Buechele, and the immortal Dom Slaught. I believe Johnny Ray was their 2B, Pena wat at C, and the Joe Orsulak was the CF'er before Bonds. Where's Larry McWilliams now? I just watched the '84 clincher recently.
  13. Tim, here's an interesting look at Abreu's numbers this year compared to his overall career numbers. http://www.insidethebook.com/ee/index.php/site/comments/verducci_v_abreu/ That separation between runners on and runners off is amazing, despite the lack of future correlation, it adds value to what he has done this year.
  14. Those were some interesting and bad Braves teams before their surge... Hubbard, Oberkfell, Virgil, Murphy, Horner, Washington.
  15. This is just my opinion of Murton but... He's become bigger than he was last year in the legs, arms, and torso. He's definitely more rigid than he was even last year and he's never been real fluid as an athlete. But while he's a decent athlete, I see him more of a corner OF'er with his arm strength keeping him in LF. I like the improvements as of late, he's hitting line drives now and always hit the ball to other fields, now he's doing it w/power again. I don't know if he's gone back to hitting more of the center of the ball or increased the arc of the swing, though.
  16. http://globalbaseball.wordpress.com/2006/08/01/cuban-defectors-we-know-are-available/
  17. I used this phrase in a previous thread. Too many assumptions again. I don't see any great LF'ers avail., Lee is the best, will be costly, and there will be a bidding war. You're assuming Barrett will duplicate or come close to what he has done this year. If Pierre produces like he has done in '05-'06 with Cedeno or Izturis hitting 2nd, the Cubs will struggle to score runs. If I was to build a line-up going into next year, I'd try to avoid best case scenarios as the basis of how the offense will do. Will do and could do are different.
  18. 2 under .700 isn't bad for any team. Including Eckstein into that isn't fair either given his role is to get on base and he does that pretty well, not ideal but good enough to not become a weakness. But, if have players with weak OBPs (top of the order hitters) and weak OPS (btm of the order) there has to be extreme compensation by having a great 3-4-5-6. From a cost standpoint, it's more difficult to obtain a great 3-4-5-6 than a balanced lineup.
  19. That '84 team overall was a better team than the '03 Cubs. The '03 Cubs had better pitching, but offensively that '84 team was the best offense the Cubs have had since '35. That's more of a hot team doing well in a short amount of time and cooling off in '03 than the '84 team which controlled the division from the beg. of Summer on.
  20. The decision to decide on whether to come out of the pen or start should be secondary to whether or not he'll have surgery. I'm more surprised he did not have surgery.
  21. The best Cubs offense in my lifetime was '84. 6 players w/80+ RBIs. The ability to draw BBs, work the count, hit for power, while having higher OBP and speed at the top with the punch to knock them in. http://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/CHC/1984.shtml There's an ideal blueprint for any team.
  22. You're gonna need to elaborate, because there's still no connection between the two. I believe you stated that the Cubs will not need Lee, but rather an OBP stud. I believe he said that Lee is not enough, rather than they will not need Lee.
  23. Early potential Soriano rumors have that one being tough. I think I read 5 yr. 80 (16mil per).
  24. 867-5309. Now that song is in my head, thanks. :)
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