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UK1679666180

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Everything posted by UK1679666180

  1. UK1679666180
    http://www.baseballamerica.com/today/prospects/features/263354.html Q&A with Bowden. For the record, Terry is a heck of a guy, not that old (mid to late 50s), and definitely not "crusty".
  2. UK1679666180
    Is that Napoleon Dynamite talking about Kennedy? :)
  3. UK1679666180
    Before each game, a member from the coaching staff should get the advanced scouting reports and tell the players how good the move to 1B and the times from the P/C. From that, he can mentioned to the players whether or not it would be wise to be more aggressive. That's how I think it would be wise to handle every player that is a baserunning threat. I'd have it posted in the dugout in the reg. season, during ST mention how quick they are at stealing 2B.
  4. UK1679666180
    Before the game, it's up to the coaching staff to point out to the runners, if the opposition is easier to steal off of b/c of who's in the game for them. In the minors, I would give them green light whenever they wanted w/out sending them to go or putting up the stop sign (unless the game is already decided) and let them develop their own learning curve as far as good situational running as well as the ability to improve reading the pitcher and feeling comfortable stealing when they're ready.
  5. UK1679666180
    Bruce, have you noticed any similiarities or differences between Perry and Matthews/Clines as far as work ethic and their abilities to drive home what they are trying to teach to the hitters, despite it being early?
  6. UK1679666180
    I've always leaned towards more aggressive running with more information. There's nothing more important as far as predicting what will likely occur if you know the times for the runner, P, and C. Given current SB ratios, I can't imagine any intelligent manager wanting a player's SB ratio more than the times of the runner, P, and C. Accumulative stats go in the toilet compared to play by play data, I'm glad the stat world is catching up to that idea.
  7. UK1679666180
    Every team knows the time of the runner to steal 2B, every team knows to pitcher's delivery time to home, and the pop time of the C to 2B. Factor in the quality of the pitcher's move to 1B and the situation of the game and ball/strike count of the AB (pitchout probability) combined with everything mentioned in the previous sentence to give you an idea of whether or not it is a good idea to steal. SB% ratio tells you what HAS already happened, what I mentioned above gives you a much better idea of what WILL happen for each situation with the exact pitcher and C. If you a time from pitcher to C to 2B at about 3.35 and the runner can get there at about 3.2, if the situation benefits advancing a runner and outs aren't as much of a premium (you're leading), why wouldn't you try?
  8. UK1679666180
    It's all situational as well, if you have a pitcher with a slow release to home or is easy to read combined with an avg. arm behind the plate, you become more aggressive. Stating an absolute 70% as the deciding factor doesn't factor the abilities of the C and P.
  9. UK1679666180
    If it's part of the BP handbook or the premium webpage, I doubt they would. I can't really fault them, just that someone could paint a pretty good picture using avail. data w/out having to pay.
  10. UK1679666180
    I'm sure they'd give you a brief explanation, but I doubt they'd give the exact formula for obvious reasons. Salaries don't factor. I use as many stats as poss., if I want the best offensive stat I use XR. I don't have one for pitching, but use many stats (WHIP, HR/9, PRAA).
  11. UK1679666180
    WARP-3 VORP
  12. UK1679666180
    Fwiw, they recently updated their top 2100 (100 were considered others to watch).
  13. UK1679666180
    There are plenty of statistics that show that Pujols is the best hitter in the game, I want to know what he does that makes him that way. FWIW, he has the best balance, great vision acuity, his bat speed is great and his bat angle is such that it stays in the zone longer than most and hits line drive HRs rather than higher arcs like Dunn such that he maintains high avg./low Ks. Of course, his work ethic and intelligence at the plate are extremely high as well.
  14. UK1679666180
    UK has a very useful method for weighting OPS toward OBP, i can't remember what the exact weight is, though. Usually, you'll see ((1.6*OBP)+SLG) to get an adjusted value. I forget where it was mentioned but someone had mentioned OBP was undervaled 3 times its present value, which is nuts. Every stat has value, where and when to apply it adds less or more value. The more you know, the better off you'll be, as it's more like a puzzle and each stat is a piece of that puzzle rather than a beauty competition looking for the most attractive stat. I try and look for both sides of the equation, not only analyzing how well a player has done as far as his numbers, but what does he do physically that got him to that point.
  15. UK1679666180
    Wade Miller isn't going to do this. You are most likely correct. I was simply responding to his statement that location of his pitches wouldn't matter if he was struggling to hit the mid-80s with his fastball. I disagreed. I still do. Also need a deceptive delivery or pitch backwards off the change-up.
  16. UK1679666180
    The Miller I saw at Peoria and I believe he cont'd this trend throughout the rehab was process was starting off the 1st 20 pitches around 88-89 and by he got around 40+ would be down to 83-84. Atkins said he had been like that with all of his starts and Atkins should know as he charted most of his starts.
  17. UK1679666180
    I'm sure the Cubs put him on a baseball intensive type of weight gaining program. I've seen plenty of kids use the wrong program and become stiff rather than staying loose.
  18. UK1679666180
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rogers_Hornsby
  19. UK1679666180
    Quotes like that make it seem like there is no grey area between pitchers with perfect mechanics always stay healthy and those who don't always get injured. Who has said that House ruins pitchers? There are things that I think House teaches that very helpful as far as proper mechanics and there are things I disagree with that he allows that come from his system. His late rotation and early fall towards the plate leads to a longer stride than I would like to see.
  20. UK1679666180
    I don't have much of a problem as far as how he lifts elbows, the area I care about is how does that impact where his arm at foot strike. Reyes at foot strike has that ball by ear, rather than a L. Once that happens, his arm path is poor from their until pronation. My main concern is whether or not they can get to a L at foot strike. I haven't looked at Reyes' stride leg during follow-thru, but if it's anything like Prior's it's way too stuff with no bend in the leg. I showed Raisin these... http://homepage.mac.com/djjord/iblog/C170816066/E20060316102617/Media/10131655.jpg http://imagesource.art.com/images/products/large/10288000/10288466.jpg One of things I look for in a pitcher is a bent but firm stride leg to take some the pressure off his shoulder while his arm is slowing down. Most shoulder injuries occur after the ball is released in the deceleration phase of the delivery.
  21. UK1679666180
    I'm always up for some talk about mechanical side of the game, whether it be pitching, hitting, or fielding.
  22. UK1679666180
    I'm not sure if it is or not (I hope it is) but stats like that are better off being reserved for play by play data.
  23. UK1679666180
    I'm curious as to how many scouts were there?
  24. UK1679666180
    I think 10 years from now, House will be making sign. mechanical adjustments again.
  25. UK1679666180
    Despite the potential language and cultural barrier, I would like to see it segregated by something other than that (not that I want it segregated but it'll happen regardless) from a social standpoint. Having been around it most of my life, I wish there would be more progress in this regard. Of course, this picture is just a very small snap shot of a very in-depth issue.
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