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UK1679666180

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Everything posted by UK1679666180

  1. UK1679666180
    I see the purpose of the stat, it's too simple in nature though. My problem is with how those who put too much validity with the stat as some do with Wins by a pitcher. Baseball is a pitch by pitch segmented game. While it's great to look at a box score and see that a pitcher was effective, I want to see how and why he was effective.
  2. UK1679666180
    How do I? The standard definition has been given but it isn't much of a stat. You can tell how well a pitcher is throwing by watching him more than reading his box score.
  3. UK1679666180
    Definitely Jay Bruce.
  4. UK1679666180
    I'll be there. I might make it tomorrow, we'll see about the weather as I'll be in a hot air balloon in the morning and it's supposed to storm tomorrow.
  5. UK1679666180
    Vance is a hell of a poster.
  6. UK1679666180
    Once again, I'm envious. http://www.baseballparks.com/MustSeeSLC.asp The concept of watching a game and skiing on the same day has crossed me mind before.
  7. UK1679666180
    Theriot or Izturis wetting your noodle at the 6? :)
  8. UK1679666180
    They each have different arm actions, different release point, different breaks on the curve, diff. movement on the FBs, etc. Lilly throws more sliders than Hill and Marshall, Lilly locates his Fb differently than Marshall. Hill has the most deception among the 3 LH'ers. Buehrle relies on a cutter and his change as his out pitches, unlike the other 3. As I mentioned earlier, if a hitter faces some relievers, sleeps the night, goes thru BP, warm-ups, etc. and then faces a pitcher with a diff. arm action, release point, and movement he'll be staring over again as far as depth perception, etc. Right now, you have 3 Lh'ers who have pitched well for the most part, I doubt 4 would be the breaking point espec. one that doesn't have the same pitches as them. So you're basically saying that if a pitcher locates well w/his pitches, creates deception, and keeps hitters off-balance that he will struggle b/c they faced a LH'er the game before. Obviously most series are 3 game series and with the large # of Rh'ed pitchers, except for the 3rd game, it throws that thought process out of whack as far as familiarity. Buehrle would be one of the best pitchers in the NL this year if he was on the Cubs regardless of who the other 4 are. I'd much rather see Buehrle than a less productive RH'ed pitcher.
  9. UK1679666180
    He just hasn't been able to develop an out pitch and it's cost him. Good command, just nothing to put hitters away. He can't keep the ball down w/little movement on all of his pitches. I was talking to a former Cub about Reyes recently and he mentioned, (for Reyes) it's better going 0-10 at the majors rather than 10-0 at AAA.
  10. UK1679666180
    Odd how that works. (stupid really) Lilly, Hill, Buerhle, and Marshall have all shown they can retire RH'ed batters yet it's an assumption that hitters will get better after seeing too many LH'ers in a row. Yet, it doesn't apply to RH'ers despite the Cubs going with 5 RH'ers for much of the last 25 years. Baseball's backwards thinking at its finest. If a LH'er has deception, can locate with movement and has an out pitch, he can do well if the entire team was LH'ed pitchers.
  11. UK1679666180
    If Lilly can't find the release point on the curve, he'll be in for a long night even against Washington. If they had any approach they'd sit dead red until he gets that curve from bouncing every time.
  12. UK1679666180
    6 Inning, in '05 when it was the Cubs vs. D-Backs and Zambrano got it handed to him. I leave minor league games all the time. I've left HS/college games after bp/infield before the game started plenty o'times.
  13. UK1679666180
    That's exactly why he's doing it and that's the same reason why they asked for a no-trade clause so it doesn't happen. His trade value shoots thru the roof is he's signed for that contract.
  14. UK1679666180
    50/50 will now be 25/75.
  15. UK1679666180
    Also, if he's a FA and the Cubs can't bring back Zambrano, I'd have no problem with them going after Mark despite being one of many LH'ers as I've never bought into the concept of familiarity with each pitcher. While Marshall, Hill, and Lilly are typically LH'ers with plus curves they have different arm actions, different release points, different breaks on curve and iff. movements on FBs. Plus, the hitter has the night to sleep on it, likely faced diff. pitchers out of the pen, and went thru a round of BP with a pitcher throwing 50 MPH that is likely RH'ed.
  16. UK1679666180
    While the Cubs have typically stayed away from long-term pitching contracts, the Sox have been way more aggressive in the regard. I'm surprised they offered 4 years, they haven't done that since Navarro I believe. There's too much to lose for not giving him that clause especially for that contract, if the White Sox do go younger next year from a combo of new players at RF (Sweeney), SS, 2B, 3B (Fields), possibly LF, and whatever they do in CF maybe they go thru some growing pains and he's always able to waive that clause if he doesn't want to go thru that.
  17. UK1679666180
    Not giving Mark that no-trade clause will prob. end up being Williams biggest mistake in his tenure (unless he gets a future prospect(s) that becomes a good ML player within his 1st 6 years). 4yr at 13mil is a steal for him. He's already getting close to the 10-5 rule and with his track record for health and productivity throughout his career, he's worth giving that no-trade clause to.
  18. UK1679666180
    That's frowned upon.
  19. UK1679666180
    No, I believe Levine also mentioned it as well but I won't get into some smartass type of posting match w/you. If they prove me wrong so be it, I think Hendry exercised all trade outlets with Jones and the best he could do would be eating the majority of Jones' contract for a minor leaguer. Given the uncertain nature of the Cubs' ownership and the amount remaining on his deal, it was in the Cubs financial interest to not approve the deal. I doubt that trade rumor gains as much steam w/out both sides agreeing and then having it rejected by a 3rd party compared to Hendry getting cold feet and backing out at the last minute.
  20. UK1679666180
    I doubt Jones would still be on the Cubs if they had payroll flexibility. They can prob. add pieces here and there, but any significant move would likely have to go thru a winding road of approvals.
  21. UK1679666180
    The problem being can a trade even happen with the current situation? You've found the problem.... and there's no way to improve this team without taking on additional salary or getting some player that wasn't really wanted and he gets hot after being traded. (Assuming no one else surprises us from the minors)
  22. UK1679666180
    if he can sustain a good average on early count swings, i'm all for it. i don't mind him swinging on the first pitch at all. i just can't stand it when he makes up his mind to swing before the pitch is thrown, that bugs me. He has to improve on 1st pitch contact, he's only 2-12 on the 1st pitch, which is usually one of the better hitting counts. While 2-12 is horrible, he is hitting 5-65 when he has two strikes (0-2, 1-2, 2-2, 3-2). 65 of his 136 ABs have been with two strikes, not many (especially rookies) will be able to handle that.
  23. UK1679666180
    Sosa didn't get ripped off, he doesn't deserve to make it. Given that park and his low avg/obp (which his low amount of hits counters his 14 HRs as far as slg%), he doesn't deserve to be there.
  24. UK1679666180
    Pie is one of the few hitters that would benefit more by putting the ball into play early rather than later and hitting behind the count more than ahead in the count. He has the speed and the line drive swing to prob. maintain a higher than usual success rate when he puts the ball into play ala Ichiro.
  25. UK1679666180
    the funny thing is that most everyone in the city of seattle was dying to get dusty baker after lou left. i was surprised they passed over mclaren that year as well. Most of the players wanted McLaren as well.... As did Carl Crawford and several D-Rays when Lou left TB.
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