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Jason Ross

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Everything posted by Jason Ross

  1. Way to work out of it. Hope he can get you one or so more and then go to the pen. Today would be a good day for your favorite of Soroka/Civale/Rea to eat an inning or two if need be
  2. The one positive is that every single one of those good arms sans Suarez saw time yesterday. A little less rested. And even if they all go today, they'll be in a weird spot tomorrow where they'd almost all be on a third day in a row. Underrated aspect of yesterday was Schildt using his good arms. He can't simply rely on them. They'll either have to use less good arms today or tomorrow (if they hold on). At some point we'll get to the softer arms for a few innings.
  3. That and this time was his 1st time facing Tatis and Machado. We can assume the numbers will be worse the 2nd and the 3rd time, so this was a great time for him to see them a first time instead of a second.
  4. In PCA's defense, ESPN's K-Zone makes it seem like he's chasing more than he is.
  5. Unless they pull him in the 3rd, the Cubs are going to get a second look at him. His wOBA against the 2nd time through is the same as the 3rd time through. And mirrors most pitchers 3rd time through. They can pull him in the 4th. They'll still get through the hitters you want to see him a second time.
  6. Cease really struggles once teams have seen him once. First inning was a lot of really hard hit balls. wOBA against jumps almost .100 points once it's a 2nd viewing this year. Feel good that the Cubs will get to him, even if it's not the first two or so innings.
  7. Rea is a much worse pitcher than Kittredge. If we're worried about the Padres seeing BP players two-days-in-a-row in a three game set, then we were already screwed.
  8. The Cubs have hits of: 99mph, 101 mph and 99mph. Fans are reacting to really hard hit balls. Wind is killing things today.
  9. I think most pitching is going to look pretty good today. The wind is going to knock most things down.
  10. He'll be facing 3 LHH who hit significantly worse against LHP. It's a good inning for him.
  11. He's got a few starts as an opener under his belt. Probably felt the most comfortable going with the guy who's done it. Soroka probably the other option but Kittredge did well against Tatis and Arraez yesterday so I'd guess that coupled with experience made him the option.
  12. I know the feeling is going to be that the opener totally backfired, but it may not have entirely. The goal of an opener is to get your SP deeper into the game - in this instance when Shota would be facing Tatis and Machado for a third time it will still only be his second. Giving up a run certainly is not optimal, but I wouldn't classify it as a total bust if Shota gets 5 innings of good quality behind it.
  13. Regardless of what the wind is doing at Wrigley today. Cleveland's wind-insanity wins the day. Woof. What a rough day to be an outfielder. Even rougher; Chase DeLauter is making his MLB debut in this nonsense after not playing since July due to injury.
  14. Meaningless for 2024 and 2025, they can't apply it retroactively. It's just for 2026 and beyond, the AAV would jump under $3m. But yeah, overall, I think the Cubs would be very hard pressed to decline the option. Shota at $16m is very reasonable for a mid-rotation starter. That we know that he can find some extra juice is more reason to believe he'd be a very likely pickup. I won't ever say "never" but I think the Cubs picking up his option is one of the most likely things all offseason.
  15. Oh duh. You quoted Craig.
  16. Miller has a few injuries in his history including a UCL sprain. He's started some games in the minors, but he's never gone very long. He's just not a starter. Much of the reason he can consistently hit 100mph and have such a good slider is because he only throws 20 pitches a game. If he threw, 80, he'd probably lose a few mph and some of the ability to throw his slider. Daniel Palencia has a slider that grades out really good on Stuff+ and hits 100+mph and he isn't a SP either (anymore, his issue was really walk related, but he also wasn't averaging 100mph in the MiLB when he was a SP either). Just is what it is. It's what makes someone like Skenes and Skubal that special that they can carry 100mph into the 7th. They're insane.
  17. His final contract would be 5/$80m if they opt in. These numbers come directly from MLB.com. 5/$80m is $16m AAV. Currently his AAV is being factored in from his 4/$53m deal. Which is $13.25m. His AAV would rise under $3m. I'm only looking at AAV. https://www.mlb.com/news/shota-imanaga-cubs-deal
  18. The Cubs care about the LT more than anything. It's the AAV that will matter most, especially with a lot of the dead money from releases and retention off the book. I don't think $2m is really a big deal - it's a near non-factor, even to the Cubs. It's half of what Turner made.
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