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Jason Ross

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Everything posted by Jason Ross

  1. Jason Ross
    MacKenzie Gore, Edward Cabrera and Sandy Alcantara were all available in some fashion. Two of the three of them have been very good since the ASB.
  2. Jason Ross
    ...did you not see the prices this deadline? Shane Bieber who hadn't throw above High-A, coming off a TJS went for a borderline top-100 prospect. The SP asks were reportedly very high and the trades that did go down all went for more than SP's had been recently. We can call a spade a spade. That isn't me necessarily saying they shouldn't have overpaid. In fact, I wrote a whole article talking about it here, so I bring receipts.
  3. Jason Ross
    I think it's a little column A and a little column B. They outpitched their peripherals, likely in part, to their excellent defense. In the playoffs, you really only need four starters (though teams have proven recently you can do with less, sometimes two or three). They also got more from Cade Horton than anyone expected, and had he not fractured a rib a week before the seasons end, I think the Cubs SP's numbers would be generally fine for now. They could have also overpaid and gotten one more guy, or had bought one more impact reliever.
  4. Jason Ross
    Listen, no matter what ya'll have going on today just know this: you aren't sitting here with the realization that whenever this is over, you are scheduled to go live an react about this debacle. That'll be real fun.
  5. Jason Ross
    Someone has to pitch game-4. I'd rather not get swept...so let's hope we see Boyd again.
  6. Jason Ross
    Yeah, he's been really bad. Have to wonder if he rushed back from injury and his mechanics are off some. He was really good in Washigon and hurt by a bad defense! And the stuff is there. I don't know. I barely have anything optimistic to say today and ya'll know how rare that is. It's game 1, though. And it doesn't matter if you lose by 1 or 50, it only counts once.
  7. Jason Ross
    It certainly hasn't worked out, but the worst case scenario in that trade is like, we lost a backup OF'er. It's barely on the register of bad trades in history.
  8. Jason Ross
    Hey, the good news is that the Brewers only have an xBA of .441 so they're technically getting a little lucky today... (This post is dripping with sarcasm for anyone who needs that assurance)
  9. Jason Ross
    Cant' tell what's worse; The Cubs down 6-1 to the Brewers or my other viewing choice...Kentucky - 7 Georgia - 35
  10. Jason Ross
    It feels like this one is already over. I'm hoping that it's just that nagging voice inside my head, but feeling a bit despondent about it already.
  11. Jason Ross
    After today the Cubs will have the rest of their pitching on normal rest. First inning has been rough, but I understand the logic here. Colin Rea has not been particularly great against Milwaukee himself. 5.2IP, 3ER, 5BB, 4 K in August 4IP, 2 ER, 1 BB, 2 K in August So that's 5 runs in 9 innings with as many walks as K's. I'm not sure there was a great choice game 1 coming off the series. But this the advantage of being the 1 seed and not the 4 seed.
  12. Jason Ross
    Goddamnit. You know it's a rough inning when Hoerner is making errors.
  13. Jason Ross
  14. Jason Ross
    Just not sure he has a spot. Cubs already have Colin Rea, Aaron Civale and Michael Soroka who all are in the same "eat some innings" RHP role. Ben Brown has been really good in small samples against Milwaukee and offers a different type of look; RHP with velo. Assad has been fine this year, but I'm not sure there's a right or a wrong way to rank Assad with the other 3 "RHP who eat innings". If the Cubs have him ranked fourth there, I think it's pretty understandable. And Brown can even eat some innings if they want to go that way. So between Brown and whomever you have ranked fourth there, I think going with Brown has an argument as well.
  15. Jason Ross
    Ben Brown in the year vs Milwaukee: 11 IP, 9K, 2 ER, 2BB While small sample stuff is what it is he has been successful in two starts against them this year. He won't be counted on for much, but for a neutral splits team (even with the BABIP as Bertz pointed out) his success probably a small benefit here. He can be dominant with his fastball and curve. And if you use him it's likely only for an inning or two, but his length could be important in any extra inning game. Cubs have two lefties as well and the Padres were much worse against LHP than RHP.
  16. Jason Ross
    There's always something. Teams have essentially hacked physics with the concept of seam-shifted wake. And Kittredge is a good example of what happens when you can make a guy throw a 90-mph slider. Ben Brown is throwing a curveball at 90mph and he's not alone in that.
  17. Jason Ross
    His glove is likely too important. The Cubs are going to be in another low scoring series. Castro might be able to draw in if you expect a high-fly-ball game and a pitcher who has a strong LHH split, but I think you roll with the glove. Swanson and Hoerner showed last night how you can create your own variance (similar xBA' but the Cubs had 2x the hits because those two ate up about 4 of them). Shaw at 3b will help to create the variance defensively.
  18. Jason Ross
    I believe that is simply due to the graphics used by Statcast to display their strikes as I believe they just use the save overlay. Consider it a visual representation versus a 1:1 implementation in graphic of a specific hitter. Hawk Eye is the system being implemented by Savant and MLB and Hawk Eye certainly accounts for batter height. Every hitter has a customized and created zone according to MLB and how they use Hawk Eye.
  19. Jason Ross
    I think it's a trick from K-Zone. Every year ESPN's K-Zone gets flak for stuff like this. Because K-Zone makes it look low, we automatically believe it with our eyes. But here is the Statcast track of the Bogaerts PA. That's a strike according to Savant. Similar things were happening early in this series when PCA was swinging up and inside. K-zone said he was chasing, Savant had him swinging at high strikes in the zone. It's always tough to figure out which system is the best as the zone is not something that lives on a two dimensional plane, but something that exists in three. Yet K-Zone and Savant both depict is as flat. As long as a pitch clips the zone in that three dimensional plane, it's a strike according to the rules. What makes that hard is showing it throw a flat, 2-d panel and how it may or may not clip that zone. I always tend to lean towards Savant. I use K-zone from a viewing standpoint and then allow Savant to either confirm or refute the K-Zone call (I am that dork who has a 3-screen split when watching games which includes a Savant screen. This is a judgement free zone) This is getting first party data from MLB's system direct, Hawk Eye. Hawk Eye will be used by the ABS system next year. Just feels the most prudent everything considered.
  20. Jason Ross
    I was working at Circuit City. That sentence dates me.
  21. Jason Ross
    This will be on repeat for the next 48 or so hours.
  22. Jason Ross
    38! I just have a baby face. The light hides all my gray haha
  23. Jason Ross
    Join us for live reactions! Hell yes.
  24. Jason Ross
    He got him
  25. Jason Ross
    Ugh.
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