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Jason Ross

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Everything posted by Jason Ross

  1. Jason Ross
    In a weird way, you like hearing he fought something mechanical. It shows both that he understands an issue is present, but also that you assume the Cubs have identified this and a way to go about improving on it, as well.
  2. Jason Ross
    System is an interesting time with the 11-30 range right now. A lot of that comes with the territory - a lot of these players have little/no experience above A-ball but all have some glimpses and flashes of upside. Will be fun next year to follow and track the players of that group who rise through the fog. Figure there's probably 1-3 breakouts somewhere in that mix, be it a Cole Mathis, Ty Southesene, or a few of the younger arms like Erian Rodriguez.
  3. Jason Ross
    I like hearing that the team is remaining open to opportunities and exploring. It's also a good time for that - we have seen what happens, for example, when starting pitchers don't get to camp on time (Flaherty) so it could create a bit of a reason for him to accept a different (i.e. more creative) contract structure that would interest the Cubs. You'd also have to assume that the Padres, for example, will want to settle their financial things sooner rather than later, as well. I do hope it comes to something, however. There are some interesting paths with Bregman, Flaherty, a SP from SD that remain out there. I'll take a Ryne Stanek as a floor (however he's always felt more theoretically good than actually good) but would really like to see the Cubs use their ability here to go above that.
  4. Jason Ross
    The Cubs or any acquiring team is not likely to have any real concept of what a player is likely to want or need for a contract extension. They're not factoring this in to their bottom line. Ultimately, the Cubs are only acquiring Michael King or Dylan Cease for a year. Perhaps they're more interested, in say, pursuing King over Cease for that reason, but I don't think the bottom line is changing much. They can't be assured they're going to get King for any more time than 1 year.
  5. Jason Ross
    It is a separate transaction. Once the Padres trade Michael King or Dylan Cease, what happens between the acquiring team and that players has nothing to do with SD - it means they can't really ask for more or expect more. I also don't think the Cubs would thus, pay more. At least in terms of anything significant. I do think Dylan Cease, due to track record will cost more. But I don't think the price on King is going to magically equal that of Cease simply because he doesn't have Boras as an agent.
  6. Jason Ross
    An extension should not be taken into account on trade value since the contract either player would sign is a different transaction. As of now, the Padres and any team acquiring either are trading one year of control. I would assume King would be slightly less expensive via trade, however,. as the perceived value of Cease is likely more due to track record. Though I'm not sure it's a massive difference.
  7. Jason Ross
    Big "yes" for me on Michael King and would really be a nice addition.
  8. Jason Ross
    I think it's important to note that the second half of Caissie's season showed marked improvement in power. His ISO, pull rate and LA shot way, way, way up, to those impressive and lofty numbers you'd want to see. I'll also admit that the contact% dipped below 70% during that time, too. But that looks a lot like a swing change and a real damage mentality. The hope is that as the swing and the damage mentality really set in, the contact rate can rise around 70% again as he gets used to the shift in thinking. But I'm more bullish on his 2024 season than others when I dive into that detail. If you wanted a 40 home run guy, you'd look for him to start doing that more often and with authority.
  9. Jason Ross
    At $5m, however, that's all you're paying them for. Wins are being paid for at around a $9m going rate. This has some flucctuations with it and is not a hard rule, but at $5m, Canha or Turner would be fairly priced, would provide the Cubs with some floor and would fill a needed role. Yes, the Cubs could hope to strike on a Schwindel or a Wisdom, but it's probably important to point out, Schwindel had like, half a good season in his career, and finding a Wisdom would require the Cubs to gamble on a non-MLB type. The cost of going with something more proven is probably within the budget they have remaining and if the team isn't going to get a mid-rotation arm, that's probably the way I'd go over hoping real hard you find a guy who has a career half of a season.
  10. Jason Ross
    Brandon Birdsell will make his MLB debut in 2025 barring injury. I do think there's more juice to squeeze in there than a simple bottom-of-the-rotation type. He's got the profile of a guy who's going to have a somewhat underrated career, IMO.
  11. Jason Ross
    If they signed a second QO player they would then lose their 3rd and 6th round.
  12. Jason Ross
    Pretty cheap return. That's fine.
  13. Jason Ross
    I cant imagine much. If we assume at no-money it'd be a full salary dump, then if they're eating $5m, it's a player/prospect valued at very little...roughly half a win.
  14. Jason Ross
  15. Jason Ross
    I would guess it's essentially nominal. Maybe Keegan Thompson or Alexander Canario max.
  16. Jason Ross
    Feels like we will get a resolution fairly shortly.
  17. Jason Ross
    It would be the 2026 period that would take the IFA hit, not from this current class.
  18. Jason Ross
    For teams under the LT the previous season it is their 2nd round selection. For teams above it, it's a 2nd, a 5th and IFA money in the next signing period.
  19. Jason Ross
    Most of the Cubs/Bregman stuff (as well as the Cubs/Alonso stuff) feels like it originates with Jon Heyman. Jon Heyman has been rumored to get a good chunk of information from Scott Boras...who represents both. My guess is that while the Cubs would be willing to get creative (as Sharma suggests) to get Bregman in, that a good deal of this is being fueled by Boras trying to get his client a home.
  20. Jason Ross
  21. Jason Ross
    Ahh. Good ol' mystery team.
  22. Jason Ross
    It would be likely in that scenario that Brown, Assad, and Wicks would probably all end up in Iowa barring a ST injury (though we could probably assume one or two of those as well). Rea would be in the rotation as he's on a MLB contract.
  23. Jason Ross
    Yeah, can see it going either way. If Pressley comes in at, say $9m or so, and Robertson probably, what $10m? That's right around where Scott on his own (aav) would have been. Ship Thompson/Canario out (one trade, one DFA) and you've got two-40-man-spots open up as well. Gives you more flexibility to let Pearson really explore starting as an option, too.
  24. Jason Ross
    Coupled with the Pressley thing, it kinds of makes me wonder if: 1. The Cubs are willing to go with Robertson and Pressley 2. Or if this is a one or the other thing. as this also feels a bit like "Hey, Ryan/Houston (whomever is more of the hold up) please make this happen or we'll sign Robertson instead"
  25. Jason Ross
    If Pressley is basically a salary dump, that's pretty cool by me. He's declining but worth a one year shot as long as the stuff doesn't entirely fall off.
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