UMFan83
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Everything posted by UMFan83
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Damn, we're trusting Leiter to hold this lead? Yikes given his last 2 games. -
I would have been ok with stretching him if a) the Cubs had more than a 1 run lead, b) the Cubs had shown any sign of life at the plate that would lead me to believe another run was possible, c) the Cubs werent in a 2-9 stretch where they desperately need a win and playing the 1st place team (I know its only May but you should probably avoid falling farther back if you can). In this situation, 1 mistake takes a much needed win into yet another likely heartbreaking loss, and Brown almost threw that mistake in the last inning. On the flip side, is the Cubs bullpen really any better than a fatiguing Ben Brown? It's a good question.
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Only shocker here is that it took 2 batters to get that 1st hit.
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Also bonus points if they blow it this inning so I can update my “blown lead in the first inning after the bullpen comes in” stat which I will try to compile if it happens
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Lmao the cubs are really gonna try to win another game 1-0. well this is a win win for me. Either the Cubs get a really needed victory or I get to update my “blown leads in the 8th or later” stat.
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Man I wish Brown was more stretched out/the Cubs actually gave him some run support so that we could live with a single mistake. I really don’t think we can afford to keep him in the game any longer, certainly not long enough to finish it off. Then again a fatigued Brown is probably better than anyone in the Cubs pen
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You know that the Brewers have been biding their time knowing that the Cubs pen will have to pitch at some point
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Yeah I don’t think our problem is with not finding trash heap guys to be effective relievers, it’s that we try to build the entire bullpen out of them most years.
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We don’t have a hitter on this team that is even slightly matchup proof. Once a lefty was coming in to face Happ you knew the inning was over
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I know there’s not an obvious person to move up but I’d seriously consider moving Seiya down until he shows a pulse. He’s so incredibly lost right and it makes me very sad
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Unfortunately given that he's probably not fully stretched out, I have a tough time seeing Brown going more than 1 more inning after this. He hasn't thrown more than 68 pitches in a game since May 2nd and is at 64 through 5.
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Unfortunately even as efficiently as he's pitched he cant go all 9
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Oof, that long AB leading to a walk could have a devastating effect on this game simply because it will probably lengthen the amount of time the Cubs bullpen has to be in the game. Also Brown has suddenly lost his control, hopefully he gets it back asap
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Holy crap is Swanson bad. 1 combined hit so far through 4 1/2 innings Cubs are on pace to strike out 18 times tonight
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Not sure how you optimize the lineup when everyone sucks
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Time to google when the last Cubs lead was. Nice work Busch edit: duh, forgot they blew that lead in STL on Saturday
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The only XBH the Cubs have had in their last 22 innings were Happ’s HRs on Sunday. Every other hit has been a single
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They don’t look like they’re gonna come out of this naturally but they’ve also had off days to clear their heads. What are they waiting for the all star break?
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Oof that’s not gonna help his player of the month candidacy
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Bellinger swinging at ball 4 at roughly the height of the C on his helmet to finish up Peralta striking out the side says it all about how things are going
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If I had to guess he probably won the April award and they don’t want to give the same guy the award twice in a row
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one of the options for Cubs POM is Morel who has a .175 BA and .678 OPS in May.
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This is just typing without putting a lot of thought into it, but Swanson seems like similar to the Heyward signing. A guy with elite defense and a capable but not great bat, hitting free agency at under 30, who accumulates WAR without having a big bat. Couple of differences of course (Swanson at a premium defensive position, Heyward stronger with the bat and was more consistent in piling up WAR). Sometimes I wish we could just throw big money at a true elite bat. I understand why they went after Heyward, believing that the core of Bryant, Rizzo, Russell, Baez, Schwarber would provide enough elite hitting. But while I was ok with the Swanson signing, I did have a bit of a hesitation about his bat being worth paying that much for.
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I'm not an expert on the differences, but that seems to track knowing that PCA has 0.9 bWAR and I think 0.5 fWAR this year.
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Speaking of the 4 SSs of the 22-23 offseason, here is an updated look at each. Sorry I'm just using boring slash lines and bWAR: Carlos Correa 2024: .270/.356/.452/.809, 1.0 bWAR Trea Turner 2024: .343/.392/.460/.852, 1.6 bWAR (injured last 4 weeks) Xander Bogaerts 2024: .219/.265/.316/.581, -0.1 bWAR Dansby Swanson 2024: .213/.283/.333/.616, 0.3 bWAR Carlos Correa since 2023: .238/.321/.409/.730, 2.4 bWAR Trea Turner since 2023: .280/.333/.459/.791, 5.0 bWAR Xander Bogaerts since 2023: .269/.331/.410/.741, 4.3 bWAR Dansby Swanson since 2023: .238/.318/.399/.717, 5.1 bWAR This year Dansby appears to be the 3rd best of the 4 SSs. Since 2023 he's been the worst overall hitter, but the most valuable overall player based on at least the bWAR metric. Considering how the other 3 signed much larger and longer contracts, I suppose Swanson is still defensible as a signing, but maybe "none of the above" may have been an option to consider more.
