UMFan83
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Everything posted by UMFan83
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Am I reading this pessimistically? Probably...but this is what Carter Hawkins said the other day about going after a big bat: On the surface this seems logical, but based on how we've seen Jed and co operate, it sounds like a FO that is going to be hesitant to pull the trigger on any major moves that would sacrifice the prospect capital they've built up. -
Cubs are now 206-233 since Jed's "retool not a rebuild" began. We're in the 4th year of that retool. In the 4th year of "we're going to lose on purpose and not apologize for it" gut rebuild, Theo's Cubs won 97 games and made the NLCS.
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And the bullpen blows it
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Why cant the Cubs win a game like 8-1 or something? It seems like every game is a loss (most of the time) or a nail biting 1 run victory.
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Busch's out there had a 105 mph exit velo, was hit 394 feet, and had a .930 xBA
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How many warning track shots are we going to hit today.
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Well damn. Of course the Cubs offense couldn't do the first part of your post.
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Because our SP are the only part of the team that is working right now and bringing in a new catcher with no experience catching for those starters might affect that. They should absolutely be figuring out a solution to their massive catching issues but I'm not sure sending Amaya to Iowa and making the catching situation Gomes (a worse hitter and catcher) and a new guy is the best way to address it.
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after my pessimistic post Seiya ties the game up with a HR lol
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Why does this team suck so bad? I cant get over how awful they've been and continue to be. Snap the horsefeathers out of it already. If they lose I believe that's 3-10 in our last 13 with our 3 wins being: -Walkoff after Bellinger knocks the ball out of the catchers hand -Walkoff on a baltimore chop single to score the Manfred Man -10th inning offensive explosion after blowing a 1-0 lead with 2 outs in the 9th.
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I'm pretty sure the 7 INTs thing is fake...I keep seeing this blurb about him getting benched on 7v7 because he threw 7 consecutive INTs or something, its always worded the exact same way and makes no sense. It is true though based on all reports that he struggled on one of the days during OTAs. Here is a blurb from The Athletic: https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/5516383/2024/05/23/chicago-bears-caleb-williams-ota/ What doesn't typically get mentioned: 1) Reports suggest that the offense was actually better than the defense the day before this report 2) This is a new offense that everyone is learning going against an established defense and a rookie QB getting acclimated to the speed of the NFL 3) It's literally May and there's really no point in taking anything away from a couple of early practices run without pads. Basically yes it sounds like he struggled, possibly mightily, but I am pretty confident in saying that it should not change your expectations of Caleb or the Bears at all. If Caleb absolutely dominated, it shouldn't change your expectations either.
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Still don't get what the point of Vazquez was. Brought up right when when 2 middle infielders were returning from injuries, given (I believe) 1 PA and 1 PR opportunity in 2 weeks. Counsell often seemed hamstrung with his roster decisions as if he were playing with 1 less man than the other team. I don't think Jed said anything about "we're giving him a chance to experience the major leagues for a couple of weeks" like they did with Canario last year. And now he's back down.
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The cubs are now 10-16 in May. If they lose their next 2 games they will finish with the exact same record as last May which I don’t think anyone thought was realistic. Really early in May I said something like “2023 has had a similar feel to 2024” with the hot start in April followed by struggling offense and bullpen causing struggles in May but by no means did I think they were about to go potentially 10-18 in the month, I was thinking it was more like a less extreme similarity to last years team. One other “fun fact”, the Cubs have won consecutive games just once since April 27th, way back on May 4th and 5th against the Brewers. The team has gone 11-19 since then.
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They were also a few innings from the World Series in 2018. Meanwhile if the Cubs don’t make the NLDS this year, they will have their longest gap between NLDS appearances since the round was created in 95. 95-98 - 3 seasons 99-03 - 4 seasons 04-07 - 3 seasons 09-15 - 6 seasons 18-24 - 7 seasons Granted the Cubs have made the playoffs twice in that span and there is now a new round added before the NLDS but kind of crazy to think about what they’ve “accomplished” in recent years
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It’s crazy how this team seems to have more glaring holes and issues than last years team. We had an offseason to fix the holes we did have and instead we seemingly have more issues than before. But JedPax has tons of flexibility for future if he chooses to use it.
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Well Shota is no longer the MLB ERA leader. He’s like 4th now
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I also wonder about the extra rest thing but I feel like it’s a convenient thing to blame. Maybe he was just due for a terrible game. Starting pitchers generally don’t carry ERAs below 1.
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Morel’s 2 ABs today produced a 108 MPH groundout with a .510 xBA and a 101.5 MPH flyout with a .670 xBA that would have been a HR in 6/30 parks. Annoying
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Well thats payback for last night I suppose…
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I’m wondering if Swanson was moved down to 8th to get him going again knowing that teams were gonna pitch around him to get to our pitcher spot (aka Amaya/Gomes). Not sure if that even makes sense but it seems like opponents lately are happy to try to force our catchers to bat when there’s 2 outs.
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Glad to see Happ coming around. No doubt he’s been frustrating but he has a long track record of being a competent hitter. Sometimes you just have to be patient with him.
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Well if he does regress tonight I will say that on May 29th, Shota has the lowest ERA in baseball for any pitcher with 50+ IP this year (0.84) and he’s leading by 0.90 runs over the 2nd best pitcher, Seth Lugo (1.74)
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That does make me wonder a little bit about WAR. If you have a team of 5 win players, but 80% of their value is from defense, are you better off than a team of 4.5 win players with lets say 70% of their value from hitting? Like right now we're seeing a Cubs team excel at run prevention (largely due to starting pitching but still), but we're still in a 3-9 stretch because we can't score any runs. We'd likely see something similar with my first example...your defense can't prevent less than 0 runs, but a good offense can score lots of runs. Basically is all WAR created equal?
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Holy horsefeathers, not sure if this was discussed yet but Cubs starting pitching has not allowed a run to the Brewers yet in the 5 games that they’ve played. And crazier yet - it has been done by 5 different starting pitchers. And even crazier, none of those starters has been Shota! That’s unreal! Wesneski - 6.1 IP, 3 H, 2 BB, 0 R Taillon - 6 IP, 2 H, 2 BB, 0 R Assad - 6 IP, 4 H, 3 BB, 0 R Steele - 7 IP, 3 H, 1 BB, 0 R Brown - 7 IP, 0 H, 2 BB, 0 R Total - 32.1 IP, 12 H, 10 BB, 0 R Honestly I’ve seen my share of crazy stats and it’s not the craziest but it’s up there. Just incredible work by the Cubs starters.
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Always love when a game that was 1-0 with 2 outs in the bottom of the 9th inning ends up 6-3 (with the Cubs winning of course). Last year when Happ had that double play assist at home to beat the Brewers during 4th of July, the Cubs were coming off a stretch of 7 losses in their previous 8 games. While they didn't immediately get hot, it did stablize them into more of a .500ish team for another 2 weeks before really hitting the gas and playing themselves into the playoff race. Hopefully tonight's win can give them a similar boost.
