The Cubs were historically dominant for almost 20% of the season. Not just like record wise. Like in terms of how badly we destroyed the teams we played. Even with this bad run, they are lapping the field in RD meaning they are losing a lot of closer games (with a few stinkers) and still occasionally blowing teams out. A lot of losing close games is bad luck. Either bad sequencing, or a scalded ball a few inches away from a double, closer leaving one pitch up, etc. The Cubs have basically lost every single close game they've played since early June. And in this 5-13 stretch, their record in 1 or 2 run games is 1-7. That's really bad luck, even the worst teams on average will win 3-4 of those. Overall the Cubs are so unluckly they are 7 games off of their Pythagorean projection. They should be 59-26, but are 52-33. Almost any team that is 7 games worse than their record would fighting an uphill battle to make the playoffs. The Cubs instead are currently 8 games up in the division. That's how good they are (and how mediocre the Pirates and Cardinals have been, although I guess in a worst case scenario world, the Cardinals would be overperforming their pythag instead of also well underperforming and the Cubs really would be in 2nd) I may spin a different tale when we are all upset during the games, but I still have little doubts that we will come out of this tailspin and soon.