JudasIscariotTheBird

Did...did they just play Days of the New during that graphic? Bizarre.

I don't spend a lot of time imagining escaping this hellscape, but when I do, I'm thinking about Belize, and largely because of the Cub connection. (That and my wife really likes scuba diving.)

You can look at the outcomes of WR screen attempts and you'd only be getting a partial picture of the effectiveness of the play. If you can threaten plays like that, your go routes becomes much more effective. The same applies to running plays. There is a balance, and a lot of teams get that balance wrong, but in-and-of-itself, WR screens and immediate passes to the flats are pretty much required from time to time to make offenses effective and stretch defenses.

nah, the Rams D is insane I know Wilson isn't bad. But I see an offensive coordinator position opening up Monday. That O line is a mess. Wilson can escape pressure from one rusher, but not two, partly because he isn't good at throws that require a lot of zip into tight windows, and he makes some bad decisions in those situations too. ...but his mobility and deep ball touch are fantastic. He's still a top 5 QB, imo.

I dig it. I'm more interested in what everyone else in the league did, in general.

Also, Taylor has to be chalk city, right? Who else are you going to play from that team? TY? The kicker?

I like that line up. I just think its a cash game line up. Its top chalk at literally every position. 78 is a fair amount and payout is very top heavy. I might even get more wild than where I went with my previous line up. I understand that thought. But I think over 2-4 games, the variance becomes a little smaller and fading the absolute stars becomes harder than it does in a 1 week lineup. You have to pick your spots carefully to try to differentiate. I think if you were going to go wilder you should do it based off teams you don't expect to advance. That's probably the best way to pick a crazy scenario (for example, picking Roethlisberger or Lamar Jackson at QB, Taylor at RB, etc). Well yes and no. Likelihood of advancement/elimination actually makes fading the stars MORE palatable. They might get limited to just one game, and many are capped at three. Its like getting a game-ending injury in DFS, but MUCH more likely. I'll be curious to hear how this goes. I've never thought about this type of format before. Kinda dig it.

Yeah, if that's true you definitely have to swing for the fences. Here's my best look QB: Josh Allen, Tom Brady RB: Derrick Henry, Alvin Kamara, Chris Carson, Cam Akers WR: Davante Adams, Diontae Johnson, Marquise Brown, Allen Robinson TE: Travis Kelce, Austin Hooper K: Rodrigo Blankenship Defense: Washington If one of your QB's only plays one game, your lineup is probably finished. And you want to maximize your QB games. So in this lineup, I put wildcard teams in different conferences, and made sure to put the teams facing them in kicker/defense. I think you have enough differentiation points to put some studs in there, so that's why Kelce/Adams/Henry are pretty much locks IMO. I went back and forth on Baltimore/Seattle, but because Metcalf is facing Ramsey this week and Seattle wanting to run the ball made me go that way. I like that line up. I just think its a cash game line up. Its top chalk at literally every position. 78 is a fair amount and payout is very top heavy. I might even get more wild than where I went with my previous line up.

So yeah, in .5 ppr, the QB's median projections are much larger than positions projected medians. Because of that, and other ownership shenanigans, I would go: QB: Allen, Brady RB: Kamara, Jones, Carson, Taylor WR: Robinson, Hollywood Brown, Dionte, AJ Brown K - Parkey TE - Kelce, Thomas DEF - Rams Allen has a gigantic ceiling advantage on the field (and being a rushing QB gives you TD leverage on teams using Diggs), and Brady has the best ceiling in the NFC. Everyone and their mom is going to use Adams (and if not, Rodgers). Jones is almost as good of a value compared to your alternatives, and he'll come with nearly no ownership. Kamara is just projected for too many points to pass on.

Oh! One more thing. Let's assume that QB is the highest scoring position, on average, in your settings. I think it's a minor mistake to have QBs from the same conference on your roster. If taking first is important, you are capping your upside because those two QBs cannot face each other in the SB. Otherwise, I think Wilson and Brady (not on 1 seed teams) are good plays. It all hinges on what you think your opponents are likely to do.

How many teams, and what is the payout structure? Depending on those details, I would possibly do things a LOT differently. You also have to take into account how sharp your opponents are. You start getting into DFS ownership game theory and things like that. If everyone in the league is choosing Adams, Diggs, Kelce, etc, what do you really gain by having them? If the goal is to win the league, you want to have players that are not owned by many/all the other players, so if they do well, you are gaining on the entire field. That isn't you say that you want to pick shitty players and just pray that they do well...but there is a balance, and it depends on A) how many opponents are in this contest B) how good you think your opponents are at identifying the obviously best plays (which I think you largely have) and C) how many players you think are galaxy braining it like me/we are. PPR also has a big say in it. For instance, I think you are right that you want to burn K and DEF on likely-to-lose teams in general, and most especially in PPR formats. But a DEF on a good team could easily outscore a smith schuster or the like in standard. Bills D will likely go unowned, so if they get a few TDs on their way to a SB appearence, you have a big leg up on beating everyone. ...I think you'd need to be up against more than 12 people to consider something like that tho. Also consider that the 1 seed teams' ceilings are capped at 3 games, while the better 2 and 3 seed teams have legit shots at 4 games. Depending on format, you might want to load up on positions that will tend to score the most for those 4-game-upside teams largely for value, and most especially if you don't think other opponents will roster them. Edit: Just saw that its half ppr...hmm. Decided to look up median projections. See below.

The time used to decypher it won't be worth the payoff, guaranteed.

Hurts was not even close to playing poorly enough to be pulled, most especially considering who his replacement is. It really didn't make any sense and looked like an intentional tank. But I did enjoy the outrage.

horsefeathers you Amos

Guy just doing his best Bakhtiari impersonation.

Are you saying bumping/crowding Adams is the way to attack him? Can't say that I agree.

Karma for what? Did he cause someone else to tear their ACL? Or are you talking about him doing the same thing that every single offensive lineman does in every single play? Weird take. All o-lineman laughingly talk about wanting to beating the piss out of their opponents? News to me. But whatever, ACLs are standard procedure nowadays. And it's not like they can't win w/o him, they did it earlier when he had rib issues. They really have no excuses. horsefeathers the packers I'm going to narrow my angst to just horsefeathers you.

We don't need a veteran catcher to mentor Amaya, we need somebody to teach him how to hit ML pitching. He's not a great hitter down in the low minors. Not a great hitter? He had a 114 wRC+ in 2018 in South Bend and 122 in 2019 in Myrtle Beach. He's also absolutely mashing the ball in Winter Leagues right now with a very Rizzo-esque .261/.514/.609 and 6 HBP in 35 PAs, in case this thread isn't aware.

I wonder if there’s a veteran catcher out there with a long, storied career who could mentor Amaya for a season. Perhaps even has a ton of experience in the NL central and could pass along that expertise as well. (At this point, might as well right? Burn it all down) I think I just threw up in my mouth a little bit Yeah, EVERYONE hates Ross.

This thread sucks.

Doug is early-puberty Caillou so that completely checks out and is extremely on brand. Quality whiny Tom post. This trade sucks ass.

Yeah, but how many wins, holds, and saves did they have in those seasons?

Three consecutive interrobangs?! I suck at the internet. Anyway, this trade isn't great, I agree. Prob because I think in chess notation. This horsefeathers is a dubious blunder.

I even watched the Boosh and I don't entirely get the reference.