Soto's out of nowhere talent in 2007 didn't guarantee a fantastic rookie season. And Lee's season was pretty much par for the course for most of his career. It was almost exactly what he did in his first year as a Cub at 28. The Cubs won 97 games last year. They weren't a 97 win team. Led the league in runs scored without a single elite bat. They led the league in walks taken despite being a team that previously never really walked much, and they've since moved right back to the middle of the pack there. There most disappointing offensive player still had a more than acceptable .360 OBP. They probably should have been more like a 90-92 win team. This year they maybe should have been a 88-90 win team and they are on pace to win 84. 2008 was special but it's not something anybody can reasonably expect to happen again unless they significantly upgrade the talent. It didn't guarantee a fantastic rookie season, but it's not like there wasn't a reason to believe that Soto would be damn good. Lee's season was about 50 points of OPS lower than his career # heading into '08. Career #s that included 800 PAs of sub-replacement level offense when he shoulda been in the minors. In any given year there's maybe 1 true talent 97 win team. To be a 97 win team, you have to have some luck. I just don't think there were these astronomical # of events that everyone else wants to pretend happened that paved the way. They weren't lucky in the sense that they outperformed pythag(-1) If the Cubs should've been a 90-92 win team in '08, then no other team in the NL should have been a 90 win team. To call it a fluke isn't close to being true. It wasn't a bunch of blind kool aid swilling Cub fans that thought this team would take the division this year. From the most sophisticated of projection systems to the brain-deadest analyst. It's horribly annoying when every spaz goes on about the Cardinals being lucky and flukish, and it's just as annoying to say it about the Cubs.