We beat everybody but Purdue, but we’ll lose to you by 25 next week and somebody will probably finish with 3 losses. Iowa and Minnesota play next week so one of them will have 4 losses. Iowa has tiebreaker over Purdue, Purdue over Minnesota. Assuming the Michigan loss, if it gets to 4 losses, Illinois has the tiebreaker with every team but Purdue, and would win any multi team tiebreaker except 3 way with Purdue/Minnesota So this scenario seems relatively reasonable and makes a 5 way tie. Assuming Illinois would win that tie due to being 3-1 against the others? Illinois: L @ Mich, W @ NU Purdue: W vs NU, L @ IU Iowa: L @ Minn, W vs Neb Minn: W vs Iowa, L @ Wisc Wisc: W @ Neb, W vs Minn H2H: Ill 3-1 Wisc 2-2 Minn 2-2 Iowa 2-2 Pur 2-2 Yes, all Illinois needs to worry about is getting Purdue out of a tiebreaker, so just tying with them on a group H2H moves it to the next tiebreak of W-L within division which IllInois would have over any other 4 loss West team (assuming a Michigan loss/NW Win) No team controls their own destiny, Illinois winning out still misses if Purdue wins out and Iowa loses a game. Purdue winning out still misses if Iowa wins out. Iowa winning out still misses if Illinois wins out. Minnesota winning out still misses if at least one of Purdue or Illinois win out.