Northwestern lost to Minnesota at home last night. Care to give us back our win at NU ronnie?? Iowa beating UM last night might be enough to take Michigan out of the tourney. 8 games left playing Minnesota twice, MSU twice, OSU twice, at U of I and at home against IU. Even stealing a game they're supposed to lose(Pomeroy gives them their best chance with 42% against MSU which seems generous to me), they wind up 7-9 in conference and 19-12 overall. 1 conference tourney win would put them at 20 making it tough to pass them up, but you've got MSU, IU, OSU, and Wisky looking like locks, with U of I looking fairly certain to go at least 8-8 in conference with 20 wins pre-conference tourney. Barring a couple hot runs by the middling teams, I can't see the Big 10 getting more than 5, and right now it looks like Illinois's spot to lose. If Iowa can hold serve at home(a tough task with IU and Illinois left), they could go to 10-6 in the Big 10 and wind up with 18 pre-tourney wins, which would at least put them on the bubble, but I'd guess those early losses to ASU and Drake are going to keep killing their RPI. Purdue needs to hold serve at home(again, tough with MSU and IU coming to West Lafayette), and they need to actual win some road games for the first time in a couple years. Penn St. and NU are obviously musts, and Iowa on the road coupled with one of those tough home wins would go a long way towards pushing Purdue equal to Illinois. The wild card in this is that MSU could lose their lock status when put under further scrutiny. MSU's best win RPI wise is over #35 BYU in essentially a home game (Auburn Hills, MI) They'll have their chance to get a marquee win(RPI wise) with home games against IU and Wisky, but slip ups there could put them in some jeopardy, with their only 2 gimme wins on the schedule being Iowa at home and UM at home. There's really only one good matchup this weekend with OSU at MSU, but Saturday could go a long way towards clearing things up. An Iowa loss to IU would put them at 12-11, and probably out of tourney contention An MSU win against OSU would alleviate any fears of a late season slip out of the tourney and losses by Illinois or Purdue may force those teams to just about run the table to save their seasons. I of course see none of these happening.