I don't think Dunn's skill set is valued enough by anyone to get a five year deal. He's probably going to get a long hard look at a 3 year deal, maybe a four year deal. Either way he should be relatively fine the first three years after this, he might start to slide in the fourth (or a potential fifth) but if you're signing him to a four year deal, that's just a price you have to pay (in addition to his salary) for his production in years one through three. Part of the Adam Dunn allure here is that he's the Anti-Cub. For years the lack of walks by the team and several managers and GM's not appreciating them has become the Cub m.o. Years of this has driven this board to appreciate it and single out Adam Dunn as the opposite of that, hence the falling in love. Not to mention we became relatively close to acquiring him before (rumored deal was nixed on a Rich Hill for Dunn swap iirc). While the appeal for him here may overrate him to a certain extent. You're painting a picture that's way to bleak. He's not a great player overall but he certainly is a difference maker on the offensive side of the ball. He's been .300 TAV hitter his entire career, half the time being in the .310 range. For comparison, Alex Rodriguez's career TAV is .310 or so. He's a top ten or so hitter in the National League. Sure he has slipped a bit walks wise this year, but he's hitting for more power and it has balanced out to give him another .310 TAV year. You can look at whatever statistic you want, but Adam Dunn is without a doubt one of the top 20 or so offensive players in baseball. He, however, is a brick in the field and that takes away some of his offensive value. There's no reason to suggest that he will decline abruptly, he will probably plateau at this level for two or three more years.