Why does Baker (and Hendry) insist on attributing everything to luck? It's not luck. It's called pitch recognition. Are the same guys at the top of the league every year in OBP and/or BA because of luck? No. To support the notion that Hendry also thinks it's just bad luck, and not bad planning, read what Kent McDill wrote in the same edition: http://www.dailyherald.com/sports/story.asp?id=189911 Bad stretches at the same time, hoping the ship will be righted? You don't build a team on hope. These guys have always been looking lightning in a bottle. Instead of actually going out and acquiring the players necessary to make this a better team, they go after lesser players hoping for them to have career years. It was evidenced by the completely asinine words Hendry used at the Jones signing. They're hoping Jacque will just magically pull out of his decline and be the player he was at his peak. Bruce addressed this problem in the section of his column called "Fatally flawed philosophy". And he was dead on. This organization is trying to overcome years of ineptitude by relying on good luck, hope and breaks going their way in the form of career years and reversed trends. This is a reactive management group. They see what others did to win, then try and follow that path, but that path changes every year with each new champion. Couple that reactive (ie. late to the party) tendency with a philosophy of hope and you have a recipe for failure. Yeah, I saw the McDill piece too and almost qouted it as well. I don't dispute that luck has some effect on things like batting average from time to time. But there are far more reasonable and sound ways to build your offense. This is clearly why OBP can shed so much light on a players performance. BA can sometimes be attributed to luck (infield singles, bloopers, etc.), same for RBIs. Drawing a walk is not luck. However, it's also not all about walks; it's recognizing what pitches one is likely to be able to drive and swinging at those pitches instead of swinging at everything and hoping you find a hole. That's completely absurd. Bruce made a nice point (which has also been made by others on this board and elsewhere). Dusty continually laments about his pitchers giving up too many walks (because they so often come back to score) but absolutely refuses to acknowledge that his hitters take too few and that this adversely effects his team's ability to score runs. Not to mention the fact that it allows opposing pitchers to often go deep into ball games because their pitch count is so low. I don't have a problem with hitters swinging at pitches early in the count as long as it's a pitch they can drive (i.e. fastball right down the middle).